Tipps Philadelphia Union Inter Miami Major League Soccer 16/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Inter Miami wins the match

1. Recent Performance: Inter Miami has won 80% of its last 5 away matches, while Philadelphia Union has not won any of its last five home matches. This parameter gives an advantage to Inter Miami.

2. Offensive Potential: Inter Miami averages 1.4 goals per away match, which is higher than Philadelphia Union’s home average of 1.2 goals. Inter Miami has also scored more goals (12 goals) than Philadelphia Union (7 goals) in their respective last 5 matches.

3. Previous Results: The recent away results of Inter Miami are more convincing with several victories against notable teams. These results reflect a certain team form that could be carried into this match against Philadelphia Union.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Goals Average: Both teams have a high goals average, with 1.2 goals per match for Philadelphia Union and 1.4 goals per match for Inter Miami on average over their last 5 matches respectively. This totals to an average of 2.6 goals per match.

2. Defensive Issues: Both teams are showing defensive problems, conceding an average of 0.8 and 1.4 goals per match in their last 5 matches respectively. The combination of these two averages results in over 2 goals per match.

3. Betting Probabilities: The most probable bet according to bookmakers’ odds is “Over 2.5 goals in the match” with a success probability of 62.2%. The ratio between the success probability and the odds of the bet indicates that bookmakers foresee a rather offensive match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. In their respective last 5 matches, Philadelphia Union and Inter Miami have shown a fairly consistent offensive ability, scoring an average of 1.2 and 1.4 goals per match respectively. This indicates that each team has the capability to threaten the opposing defense.

2. Based on their last 5 matches, Philadelphia Union has conceded 10 goals at home and Inter Miami has conceded 14 goals away. This suggests a certain defensive vulnerability in both teams, increasing the likelihood that each team will score at least one goal.

3. Lastly, the recent match history of each team shows that they have regularly managed to score when playing (at home for Philadelphia Union and away for Inter Miami). For example, the results of Philadelphia Union’s recent home matches show that they have scored in every game, and Inter Miami has scored in their away games, with only one exception.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Inter Miami wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Philadelphia Union 1-2 Inter Miami

1. Inter Miami’s away performance: In their last 5 away matches, Inter Miami has won 80% of games, showcasing a strong ability as visitors, indicating they can score goals and secure a win even in challenging away conditions.

2. Philadelphia Union’s defensive weakness at home: In their last 5 home matches, Philadelphia Union has conceded 10 goals, which is higher than their average goals scored at home. This defensive vulnerability at home may explain why they are at risk of losing against Inter Miami, whose offensive performance is relatively strong away.

3. Increased goal-scoring chances in the match: The odds and probabilities suggest the match is likely to have over 1.5 goals (86.59% probability of success) and it is also highly probable that both teams will score (69.51% probability of success). This supports the prediction for a 1-2 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Philadelphia Union struggle at home, with a 0% win rate and 60% of matches ending in a draw. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 10. Inter Miami is in good form away, winning 80% of their matches and drawing in 20%. They have scored 12 goals and conceded 14.

Philadelphia Union averages 1.2 goals per home match and concedes 0.8 goals. Their offensive potential is at 43% and defensive potential at 29%. Inter Miami, on the other hand, averages 1.4 goals per away match and also concedes an average of 1.4 goals, with an offensive and defensive potential of 50%.

The probability of Philadelphia Union winning the match is 45.12% with odds of 1.92. A draw has a probability of 31.71% with odds of 4.20. Inter Miami has a 23.17% chance of winning with odds of 3.60.

Regarding the number of goals, a bet on over 1.5 goals in the match has a success probability of 86.59% with odds of 1.16. A bet on under 4.5 goals has a high success probability of 90.24% with odds of 1.26.

Both teams score in 69.51% of cases, with odds at 1.48. Both teams not scoring happens in 30.49% of cases, with odds at 2.60.

Given these data, one can anticipate a closely contested match with potentially a few goals. The statistics slightly favor Philadelphia Union for a win or draw at home, but Inter Miami has shown good away performances recently.

The potential number of goals

Analysis of the Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami match:

– In their last 5 home matches, Philadelphia Union has not won once but has drawn 60% of the time. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 10.
– On the other hand, Inter Miami have had success away from home. They have won 80% of the time and scored 12 goals while conceding 14.
– In terms of potential, Philadelphia Union have an offensive potential of 43% and defensive potential of 29% at home.
– Inter Miami, with an offensive potential of 50% and defensive potential of 50%, have a balanced performance during their away matches.
– Considering the probabilities, the match could end in favor of Philadelphia Union with a probability of 45.12% or in a draw with a probability of 31.71%.
– For goals, there is a high probability of 86.59% for over 1.5 goals and 62.2% for over 2.5 goals in the match.
– Furthermore, there is a strong likelihood (69.51%) that both teams will score during the match.
– Given these statistics and probabilities, this match could be very competitive with a slight advantage for Philadelphia Union at home.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, it seems that a favorable prediction for Inter Miami is the best decision for this match despite the fact that Philadelphia Union is playing at home. With an exceptional form away from home, having won 80% of its last 5 matches, as well as a higher average of goals compared to Philadelphia Union, Inter Miami seems to be capable of winning this match. However, the gap between the two teams may not be significant given the offensive and defensive performances of both teams, which gives interesting odds for the bets “Over 2.5 goals in the match” and “Both teams to score? Yes”. It would be advisable to take into account that the match will certainly be competitive and could result in a high-scoring game.