Tipps Philadelphia Union New York Red Bulls Major League Soccer 07/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or New York RB wins the match

1. Success probabilities: According to the provided success probabilities, there is a 69.44% chance that the match will end either in a draw or in a New York RB victory. This statistic is higher compared to the other possible outcomes.

2. Philadelphia Union’s home performance: In the last 5 home matches, Philadelphia Union has won 40% of the time and drawn 60% of the time. This trend leaves a fairly strong probability of a draw.

3. New York RB’s away performance: Despite a mediocre performance with only one win in the last 5 away matches, New York RB has managed to score more goals (9) than Philadelphia Union (7) in the same period. This indicates an offensive potential that could translate into a victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

More than 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent offensive performances of both teams: Philadelphia Union has an offensive potential rate of 79% and has scored an average of 2.2 goals per home match in their last 5 games. On the other hand, New York RB has an offensive potential rate of 50% and has scored an average of 1.4 goals per away match in their last 5 games.

2. Defensive vulnerabilities of both teams: Philadelphia Union has a defensive potential rate of 93% and has conceded an average of 2.6 goals per home match in their last 5 games. On the other hand, New York RB has a defensive potential rate of 36% and has conceded an average of 1 goal per away match in their last 5 games.

3. Recent match histories: The recent matches of both teams also show a trend towards higher scores. In the last 5 home matches of Philadelphia Union, 4 games have seen over 2.5 goals. Similarly, 4 out of the last 5 away matches of New York RB have also seen over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. In their respective last 5 matches, both teams have shown an ability to score with 7 goals for Philadelphia Union and 9 goals for New York RB. This suggests some offensive potential on each side that could lead to a match where both teams score.

2. The defenses of both teams have been vulnerable, with Philadelphia Union conceding 9 goals and New York RB 15 goals in their last 5 matches. This defensive weakness could allow each team to score during the match.

3. Probability statistics suggest the match could be offensive with a success rate of 55.56% for the “Both teams to score” option. Furthermore, the probability that the total goals will be over 2.5 is 58.33%, reinforcing the idea that each team has a good chance of scoring during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Philadelphia Union wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Philadelphia Union 2-2 New York Red Bulls

1. The recent performances of both teams have shown a certain balance, with a strong tendency for draws for Philadelphia Union at home (60% of cases) and New York RB only winning a modest 20% of its away games but managing to score goals.

2. In terms of offensive and defensive potential, Philadelphia Union has a home offensive efficiency rate of 79% and a defensive rate of 93%, meaning they are likely to score but also to concede goals. On the other hand, New York RB has an away offensive rate of 50% and a defensive rate of 36%, also showing an ability to score goals.

3. Betting statistics indicate a high probability for more than 2.5 goals to be scored in the match (58.33% success rate). Furthermore, there is a considerable probability that both teams will score – a 55.56% success rate.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Philadelphia Union struggles at home, with only a 40% win rate. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 9.

On the other hand, New York RB struggles away from home. They have one win in five matches and have scored 9 goals while conceding 15.

Philadelphia has an average of 2.2 goals per home match and concedes 2.6 goals. Their offensive potential is at 79%, but their defense is concerning at 93%.

New York RB scores 1.4 goals and concedes 1 on average on the road. Their offensive capability is at 50% and defensive at 36%.

A Philadelphia Union victory seems unlikely at 30.56% with odds of 2.55. A draw is more likely at 50% with odds of 1.53.

In terms of goal betting, all indicators point to a high-scoring match. Over 1.5 goals is very likely at 88.89% with odds of 1.18. Less probable but still possible is the scenario of over 2.5 goals at 58.33% with odds of 1.55.

There is a 55.56% chance that both teams will score with odds at 1.47.

In conclusion, a draw or a Philadelphia Union victory seems an interesting option. Furthermore, given the offensive potential of both teams, a bet on over 1.5 goals could be advisable.

The potential number of goals

Philadelphia Union has an average performance at home, winning 40% of their matches and scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game. However, their defense is a bit weak, conceding an average of 2.6 goals per match.

On the other hand, New York RB struggles when playing away. They only win 20% of their matches and score an average of 1.4 goals per game. Nevertheless, their defense is solid, conceding only 1 goal on average per match.

The trend of the matches seems to favor New York RB with a 50% probability of winning the game, compared to 30.56% for Philadelphia Union. However, there is also a 19.44% probability of a draw.

In terms of goals, we can expect a high-scoring match. The probability of the match having over 1.5 goals is 88.89%. However, the probability drops to 58.33% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for under 4.5 goals.

It is more likely that both teams will score, with a probability of 55.56%.

Analyzing Philadelphia Union’s recent home matches, they have lost two of their last five games against Electric City Shock and Charlotte. As for New York RB, they have only won one of their last five away matches.

In conclusion, although New York RB is slightly favored, Philadelphia Union’s strong offensive capabilities could make a difference. A bet on “Over 2.5 goals” seems like an interesting option.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the upcoming match between Philadelphia Union and New York RB is expected to be highly competitive. Although New York RB is slightly favored with a higher probability of winning, the strength of Philadelphia Union at home should not be overlooked, with a win probability of 30.56%. The bet of “Draw or New York RB wins the match” seems to be the safest based on the data.

Furthermore, both teams have shown solid offensive performance in their recent matches, indicating a potentially high-scoring game. Statistics strongly suggest that more than 2.5 goals will be scored during the match, making it a potential betting option. Additionally, betting on “Both teams to score” could also be considered given their recent offensive form and vulnerabilities in defense.

Despite their recent weaknesses, a Philadelphia Union victory is seen as an interesting “value bet” due to its higher odds and potential for an upset. For adventurous bettors, a bold wager on the exact score of 2-2 could offer significant potential gains.

However, as always in sports betting, it is essential to bet responsibly and acknowledge that past performances do not guarantee future results.