Tipps Philadelphia Union Orlando City SC Major League Soccer 12/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Philadelphia Union wins the match.

1. Performance history: Based on the last 5 matches history, Philadelphia Union has a 20% home win rate and a 40% draw rate. Moreover, Philadelphia Union has a higher probability of winning or drawing at 79.59% compared to only 52.55% for Orlando City.

2. Attack and defense performances: On average, Philadelphia Union scores more goals at home (1.8) compared to Orlando City away (1.4). Additionally, even though Philadelphia Union concedes more goals, their defensive potential remains higher at 71% compared to 57% for Orlando City.

3. Match odds: The odds also indicate an advantage for Philadelphia Union with a 47.45% probability for a win. Furthermore, the “draw or Philadelphia Union win the match” prediction has odds of 1.26, indicating that bookmakers see Philadelphia Union as the more likely team to not lose the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The analysis of Philadelphia’s home statistics and Orlando’s away statistics shows that both teams have an average of goals scored per match above 1 (1.8 and 1.4, respectively), indicating some offensive potential.
2. Both teams also have a less reassuring defense rate (2 and 1.6), suggesting that their matches are often high-scoring.
3. Based on established probabilities, the bet “Over 2.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 54.59%, which is significantly higher than the bet “Under 2.5 goals in the match”.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent offensive performances of both teams: Philadelphia Union has scored an average of 1.8 goals per match at home, while Orlando City has recorded an average of 1.4 goals per match away. These high averages suggest that both teams have sufficient offensive potential to score during the match.

2. Defensive performances of both teams: In their last 5 matches, Philadelphia Union has conceded 11 goals while Orlando City has conceded 12 goals. Their defense appears vulnerable, making it likely that both teams could score in this match.

3. Betting statistics: The calculated probability of both teams scoring according to bookmakers is 60.71% for this match, meaning it is more likely that both teams will score during the game. This high probability can be explained by the factors mentioned earlier and reflects the confidence of bettors in both teams finding the back of the net.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Orlando City wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Philadelphia Union 2-2 Orlando City

1. Both Philadelphia Union and Orlando City have shown decent offensive performance in their previous matches, averaging 1.8 and 1.4 goals per game respectively. This highlights the possibility of both teams scoring in their encounter.

2. The defensive capabilities of both teams are weak, as indicated by the number of goals they have conceded in their previous matches. Philadelphia Union averages 2 goals per game and Orlando City 1.6 goals, suggesting that each team could concede at least 2 goals.

3. The statistics from their previous matches show that both teams tend to draw. Philadelphia Union has drawn in 40% of their home matches and Orlando City has drawn in 20% of their away matches. This could indicate a possible draw between them.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Philadelphia Union has won only one match in the last five at home, scoring a total of 8 goals. They have conceded 11 goals. Their offensive potential is estimated at 64% and defensive at 71%.

On the other hand, Orlando City has achieved only one victory in their last five outings, scoring 7 goals and conceding 12. Their attacking potential is assessed at 50% and their defense at 57%.

Probabilities strongly suggest that Philadelphia Union (47.45%) will win the match or that there will be a draw (32.14%). The option of fewer than 4.5 goals in the match has a success probability of 89.8%.

Both teams seem to have the ability to score, with a probability of 60.71%.

Given the history of both teams and the probabilities, the forecast could be a victory for Philadelphia Union, with fewer than 4.5 goals in the match and both teams scoring.

The potential number of goals

Based on the last 5 home matches for Philadelphia, there is a poor performance noted with only one win and two draws. They have scored 8 goals but also conceded 11. Their offensive potential is at 64%, but they have a defensive weakness with a score of 71%.

For Orlando City, the story is quite similar. In their last 5 away matches, they have only won one game and drawn once. They have scored 7 times and conceded 12 goals. Their offensive potential is lower than Philadelphia at 50%, and their defense is slightly better at 57%.

In light of this information, the probability of Philadelphia winning the match is 47.45%. A draw seems almost as likely at 32.14%, while Orlando has only a 20.41% chance of winning.

Regarding goals, over 1.5 goals in the match have a success probability of 82.14%, while over 2.5 goals in the match have a 54.59% chance of occurring.

In conclusion, considering the offensive and defensive capabilities of both teams and the number of goals scored and conceded recently, a safe bet could be to opt for over 1.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this prediction suggests a high probability of victory or a draw for the Philadelphia Union in their match against Orlando City. This is based on their stronger home performance and superior offensive potential. However, the defensive instability of both teams points to a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match. Additionally, the offensive potential of both clubs hints at the possibility of both teams scoring during the match. On the other hand, the bet “Draw or Orlando City win” emerges as a significant value bet for the match. Furthermore, another prediction leads us to a final score of 2-2. All things considered, the match could be a tight encounter with several goals and a rather favorable outcome for the Philadelphia Union. It is advisable to closely monitor the odds movement, playing conditions, and roster updates, as these factors can influence the match outcome.