Tipps Philadelphia Union Toronto FC Major League Soccer 30/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Philadelphia Union wins the match

1. The offensive potential of Philadelphia Union at home is higher than their defensive potential, suggesting that they score more goals than they concede, which could give them an advantage to win the match.
2. Toronto’s defensive potential away from home is lower than their offensive potential, indicating that they tend to concede more goals than they score when playing away. This defensive weakness could be exploited by Philadelphia Union to secure a victory.
3. The win probabilities according to the betting odds give a significant advantage to Philadelphia Union with a success probability of 65.98% compared to only 10.31% for Toronto. This suggests that Philadelphia Union is the favorite to win the match according to the bookmakers’ odds.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Toronto’s statistics in their last 5 away matches show a high number of goals, with an average of 3.6 goals scored per match and 2.2 goals conceded per match. These figures indicate a tendency for high-scoring matches, which could contribute to a total of over 2.5 goals.

2. In their last 5 home matches, Philadelphia Union scored 8 goals and conceded the same amount. This also reflects both offensive and defensive potential that could lead to a total number of goals higher than 2.5.

3. Lastly, the “Over 2.5 goals in the match” prediction has a success probability of 57.73% with odds of 1.63. This suggests that it is more likely for there to be over 2.5 goals in the match according to the betting market.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Match history: Historical data shows that in their recent matches, Philadelphia Union and Toronto have always scored, with an average of 1.6 goals per match for Philadelphia Union and 3.6 for Toronto. This clearly indicates that both teams have a significant ability to score goals.

2. Offensive potential: The offensive potential of each team is high, with 57% for Philadelphia Union and 129% for Toronto. These numbers demonstrate a strong tendency to score goals during matches, indicating that both teams are likely to score during the game.

3. Goals conceded statistics: Both teams tend to concede goals, with an average of 1.4 goals per match for Philadelphia Union and 2.2 for Toronto. This indicates a defensive vulnerability on both sides that could result in goals being scored by both teams during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Toronto wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Philadelphia Union 1-2 Toronto

1. General statistics: Toronto has a better away performance with a win rate of 40% compared to Philadelphia Union’s 20% home win rate, and a higher offensive potential at 129% compared to Philadelphia Union’s 57%.

2. Teams’ past scores: By examining the recent home matches of Philadelphia Union and away matches of Toronto, it is evident that Toronto tends to win by at least 2 goals, while Philadelphia Union always manages to score at least 1 goal at home. This supports a predicted score of 1-2.

3. Match result probabilities: Although the probability of Toronto winning the match is relatively low at 10.31%, the chances of over 2.5 goals in the match are higher at 57.73%. This indicates that it is more likely for there to be at least 3 goals in the match, further backing the projected 1-2 score based on the expected goal quantity.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Here is a summary for the Philadelphia Union vs Toronto match in Major League Soccer.

Philadelphia Union won 20% of their last 5 home games and had a draw situation in 80% of the cases, with a total of 8 goals scored and 8 goals conceded. On the other hand, Toronto won 40% of their last 5 away games, with 7 goals scored and 11 goals conceded.

In terms of offensive and defensive potential, Philadelphia Union at home has an offensive potential of 57% with an average of 1.6 goals per game, and a defensive potential of 50% with an average of 1.4 goals conceded per game. Toronto away has an offensive potential of 129% with an average of 3.6 goals per game, and a defensive potential of 79% with an average of 2.2 goals conceded per game.

The probabilities strongly favor Philadelphia Union to win the match at 65.98%, while Toronto only has a 10.31% chance of winning.

The goal market probably predicts more than 1.5 goals in the match with a probability of 81.44% and more than 2.5 goals with a probability of 57.73%.

Both teams have chances to score, with a probability of 54.12%.

Based on this data, Philadelphia Union appears to be the favorite for this match.

The potential number of goals

Philadelphia Union will play at home where they have had mediocre performances, with only one win in their last 5 matches. The team has averaged 1.6 goals scored per game, however, they have also conceded an average of 1.4 goals per match.

On the other hand, Toronto, playing away, has won two matches out of the last five. The team has shown superior offensive strength with an average of 3.6 goals per game, but has struggled defensively by conceding 2.2 goals per match.

Looking at the probabilities, a Philadelphia Union win is the most likely at 65.98%, while a Toronto win has a success probability of 10.31%.

There is a 81.44% chance that the match will have over 1.5 goals and a 57.73% chance for over 2.5 goals, followed by a 61.86% chance for under 3.5 goals. There is a 54.12% probability that both teams will score.

Based on the stats and probabilities, a score with over 1.5 goals seems likely, with a good chance of both teams scoring. A Philadelphia win seems more probable, but Toronto’s offensive performance could cause an upset.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Philadelphia Union and Toronto FC presents several interesting betting options. Philadelphia Union is clearly favored to win, with a success probability of 65.98%, thanks to their offensive potential at home. It is also likely that the match will total over 2.5 goals, with a probability of 57.73%, given the recent trends of both teams in scoring and conceding goals.

A bet on “Both teams to score” also seems promising, due to the defensive vulnerabilities of both teams and Toronto’s offensive strength when playing away. Finally, a bet on Toronto’s victory could offer good betting value, considering their ability to score away from home and the current odds.

However, despite Toronto’s offensive potential, the exact score prediction suggests a 2-1 victory for Toronto, supported by favorable probabilities for over 2.5 goals in the match.

Nonetheless, like all sports betting, these predictions are based on statistics and probabilities, and do not guarantee a precise outcome. It is therefore crucial to bet responsibly and keep in mind that football is an unpredictable sport, with potentially unforeseen factors that can influence the final result of a match.