Tipps Pisa Brescia Serie B 21/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Pisa wins the match

1. Pisa’s home performance is better than Brescia’s away performance. In its last 5 home matches, Pisa won in 40% of the cases, while Brescia only won in 20% of the cases in its last 5 away matches.

2. Pisa has a stronger offensive potential than Brescia. On average, Pisa scores 2 goals per home match, compared to Brescia’s 1.4 goals away. Additionally, Pisa has scored a total of 9 goals in its last 5 home matches, while Brescia has only scored 5 goals away.

3. The success probabilities also favor Pisa. According to statistical analysis, there is a 43.85% chance of Pisa winning the match compared to only 22.99% for Brescia. This analysis supports the hypothesis that Pisa is more likely to emerge victorious.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5”

1. Pisa has an average of 2 goals per home match and Brescia has an average of 1.4 goals per away match, resulting in a combined average of 3.4 goals per match. This suggests a likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match.
2. In their respective last 5 matches, Pisa and Brescia have shown offensive potentials of 71% and 50% respectively. High offensive potential coupled with relatively weak defenses (43% for Pisa and 29% for Brescia) suggests that there will be goals in the match.
3. The recent home matches for Pisa and away matches for Brescia have displayed a trend towards high scores. In Pisa’s last 5 home matches, 4 out of 5 resulted in over 2.5 goals. For Brescia in their away matches, this figure is 2 out of 5. This trend of both teams being involved in high-scoring matches indicates a likelihood of Over 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The offensive statistics of both teams are quite high, as Pisa has scored 9 goals in 5 home matches and Brescia has scored 5 goals in 5 away matches. This offensive performance could mean that both teams will be able to score goals during the match.
2. The teams have also shown some defensive vulnerability. Pisa has conceded 11 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Brescia has conceded 7 goals in their last 5 away matches. This trend reveals a weakness in their defense which could allow both teams to score.
3. The recent results of Pisa’s home matches and Brescia’s away matches indicate that in many of these games, both teams have scored. For example, in the match between Pisa and Reggiana, both teams scored, as well as in the match between Sudtirol and Brescia.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Brescia wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Pisa 2-1 Brescia.

1. The historical data from the last matches shows that Pisa has a good average of goals at home, often scoring two goals per match, aligning with the prediction of 2 goals for Pisa. Furthermore, Brescia tends to score at least once during their away games, justifying the prediction of 1 goal for Brescia.

2. Pisa has a home win rate of 40%, while Brescia has only won 20% of their away matches, indicating a higher probability of victory for the home team. The odds also support this conclusion by favoring Pisa as more likely to win the match.

3. The offensive and defensive statistics from both teams in their last 5 matches show that Pisa has a superior offensive potential compared to Brescia (71% vs. 50%), while Brescia has a weaker defensive potential than Pisa (29% vs. 43%). This gives Pisa a higher probability of scoring more goals and winning.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Pisa has a 40% home win rate and has scored 9 goals in 5 games. They are an offensive team but vulnerable in defense, conceding 11 goals. Brescia, on the other hand, only wins 20% of their away matches and has scored 5 goals while conceding 7. Their offensive strength is weaker than Pisa’s, but their defense is more solid.

In terms of average goals, Pisa scores around 2 goals and concedes 1.2 per home game. Their offensive strength is at 71%, but their defense struggles at 43%. Brescia, on the other hand, scores 1.4 goals and concedes 0.8 per away game. Their attack is at 50% and defense at 29%.

The probability of Pisa winning is 43.85% with odds of 1.95. The chance of a draw is 33.16% (odds at 3.40), and Brescia’s win probability is 22.99% with odds of 3.75.

The match is likely to see over 1.5 goals (odds of 1.38 with 68.98% probability) but under 3.5 goals (odds of 1.22 with 77.01% probability).

Lastly, both teams scoring has a probability of 54.55% (odds at 1.95).

Pisa has recently beaten Reggiana and Palermo at home but drew against Spezia and Sudtirol. Brescia, in contrast, has had mixed performances away from home, alternating between wins, draws, and losses.

Considering these statistics and the home factor, Pisa seems to have the advantage.

The potential number of goals

Based on the last five home matches of Pisa, the team has shown offensive strength with a total of 9 goals scored and two wins. However, the defense needs work, having conceded 11 goals.

Brescia, in five away matches, has one win and one draw. The team has scored 5 goals but also conceded 7.

On average, Pisa scores more goals per match than Brescia, but also concedes more goals.

Pisa has a win probability of 43.85%, while Brescia only has 22.99%. The probability of a draw is 33.16%.

There is a high chance that the match will have more than 1.5 goals, with a probability of 68.98%. However, the option of more than 3.5 goals in the match is unlikely at 4.00.

Betting on a scenario where both teams score could be a good option, with a probability of 54.55%.

Based on these statistics, the recommendation would be to bet on more than 1.5 goals for this match, with a chance of victory for the Pisa team.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Pisa and Brescia is expected to be lively, with a likely total goal count of over 2.5. Pisa is more likely to win the match, given their stronger home performance and offensive power. However, considering the defensive performances of both teams, there is a high chance that both teams will score. Despite the challenges, Brescia might surprise and offer an interesting value bet. In summary, the safest option appears to be betting on a total of over 1.5 goals in this match, with a higher probability of victory for the home team, Pisa.