Tipps Platense Tigre Copa de la Liga Profesional 09/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Platense wins the match.

1. Recent home performances by Platense and away performances by Tigre indicate a trend towards a draw or a Platense win. Platense has drawn in 20% of its last 5 home matches, and Tigre has had the same percentage away.

2. The offensive potential of Platense at home is nearly similar to that of Tigre away. However, Platense’s defensive potential at home is significantly better than Tigre’s away (21% vs. 64%). This could help Platense handle Tigre’s attacks and increase their chances of winning or securing a draw.

3. Based on the calculated probabilities, there is an 81.77% chance of a draw or a Platense win. This probability is much higher than Tigre’s win probability (18.23%), meaning a bet on a draw or a Platense win is more likely to succeed.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Both teams have a low offensive potential: In their last 5 matches, Platense has scored an average of 0.6 goals per game while Tigre has scored an average of 0.8. This is significantly below the usual average in football, indicating a low offensive potential for each team.

2. Recent poor performances: In their last 5 matches, each team has only won 0% of the time. Platense has only managed to score 2 goals in their last 5 home games, and Tigre has done the same in their away matches. Their recent performance does not seem to suggest any improvement is on the horizon, hinting at a low score for the upcoming match.

3. Goal statistics: Goal statistics suggest a match with a low number of goals. The success rate for under 2.5 goals in the match is very high, while that for over 2.5 goals is significantly lower. Furthermore, the probability of both teams not scoring is higher than both teams scoring. It is statistically probable that the total goals will be under 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Offensive weakness: In their last 5 home and away matches respectively, Platense scored 2 goals and Tigre also scored 2 goals. This shows a lack of offensive potential from both teams, making it unlikely that both teams will score in this match.

2. Solid defensive performance: On average per match, Platense concedes only 0.6 goals at home and Tigre concedes 1.8 goals away. This highlights a certain defensive solidity from both teams, which is a strong argument to predict that both teams will not score.

3. Betting statistics: The probability of both teams not scoring is 58.56% with odds of 1.56, which is higher than the probability of both teams scoring (41.44% with odds of 2.31). The betting statistics favor the scenario of both teams not scoring in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Platense wins the match – 1.22

Bet on the exact result

Platense 1-1 Tigre

1. On their respective last 5 matches, Platense and Tigre have shown a tendency to draw and score few goals. Statistics indicate that Platense averages 0.6 goals per match at home, and Tigre averages 0.8 goals per match away. The probability of a match with less than 2.5 goals is high.

2. Both teams have displayed strong defensive performances, with Platense conceding an average of 0.6 goals per home match and Tigre conceding an average of 1.8 goals away. This reinforces the idea that it is unlikely for each team to score more than one goal in the match.

3. The provided probabilities for the match outcome also favor a draw or a Platense win. However, considering the recent trends of low offensive performance from both teams, a 1-1 draw seems like a safer bet.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Platense, playing at home, has not shined recently, with no wins in the last 5 matches and only one goal scored. They have averaged 0.6 goals scored and conceded per match, with an offensive and defensive potential of only 21%.

As for Tigre, the team has also struggled away from home, with no victories in the last 5 matches and only 2 goals scored. They average 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded per game, giving them an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 64%.

The likelihood of a draw is 32.6% with odds of 3.15, while the chance of a Platense victory is 49.17% with odds of 1.95.

The match has a high probability of having less than 1.5 goals, as indicated by the odds of 2.36. On the other hand, the probability of more than 1.5 goals is only 61.33% with odds of 1.56.

Statistically, most indicators point to a tight match with few goals. A betting option could be ‘Under 2.5 goals in the match’, supported by odds of 1.43. Another option could be ‘Both teams not to score’, with a success rate probability of 58.56% and odds of 1.56.

Overall, this could be a match without much offensive spark. Consideration for prediction: ‘Under 2.5 goals in the match’.

The potential number of goals

Platense has not won any of their last 5 home matches, scoring only 2 goals. On the other hand, Tigre has had a similar away record, with no wins and 2 goals scored. The offensive and defensive performances of both teams indicate low goal production, with an average of 0.6 goals per match for Platense and 0.8 for Tigre.

Platense has a higher win probability at 49.17% while Tigre’s is only 18.23%. A draw has a probability of 32.6%. Betting odds suggest a high likelihood of under 3.5 goals in the match at 90.61%, highlighting a possible low-scoring game.

Looking at the recent matches, Platense seems to have a solid defense, conceding only one goal on more than one occasion. As for Tigre, they appear to struggle away from home, losing most of their matches without scoring.

Overall, a win for Platense or a draw seems to be the most probable prediction based on the data at 81.77%. A low-scoring game is also expected given the current performances of both teams.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

By analyzing all statistics, past performances, and odds associated with each team before this Copa de la Liga Profesional match between Platense and Tigre, it appears clear that the game might lack offensive flair. The overall trend and widely supported indication point towards a tight match with few goals, with the most likely prediction suggesting a draw (1-1) between the two teams.

However, due to Platense’s strong defensive performances, especially at home, and Tigre’s lack of attacking power away from home, the bet ‘draw or Platense wins the match’ offers an interesting value bet with odds of 1.22, despite the relatively low potential gains.

Overall, the betting advice would be a draw or a Platense win, with under 2.5 goals in the match, and a high likelihood that both teams won’t score. However, as always in the realm of sports betting, nothing is certain, and each bettor must also rely on their own judgment.