Tipps Plzen Fiorentina UEFA Europa Conference League 11/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Fiorentina wins the match.

1. Fiorentina’s win probability is 41.84%, which is significantly higher than the other outcomes of the match (26.53% for Plzen and 31.63% for a draw).
2. Fiorentina has shown a better defensive performance recently, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per away game, while Plzen, at home, concedes 0.8 goals per game. Fiorentina’s stronger defense could be a key factor in the match.
3. Analyzing Fiorentina’s recent away matches, despite their 20% win rate, they have managed to secure a draw in 40% of cases, showing some resilience on the road. Additionally, they have been able to score in away matches, as seen in their game against Maccabi Haifa where they scored 4 goals.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The home match history of Plzen shows a tendency to have fewer than 2.5 goals in the majority of matches, with three out of five games having less than 2.5 goals.

2. Fiorentina’s offensive efficiency is relatively low when playing away, scoring an average of just one goal per match. This suggests a slower pace of play that leads to fewer goals.

3. Another aspect to consider is the defensive potential of both teams. Combining the data, we have an average of fewer than one goal conceded per match for both teams. This could indicate a match with fewer than 2.5 goals in total.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes.

1. The statistics from the recent matches indicate a clear trend for both teams to score and concede goals. In their last 5 matches, Plzen has scored 9 goals and conceded 10 goals, while Fiorentina has scored 5 goals and conceded 7 goals.

2. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams is notable. Plzen has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 29%, whereas Fiorentina has an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 43%. These statistics suggest that both teams are capable of scoring goals.

3. The calculated probability for both teams to score is 55.1%, which is higher than the probability for them not to score (44.9%). This outcome is therefore statistically more probable.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Plzen win the match

Bet on the exact result

Plzen 1-1 Fiorentina

1. Recent performance of both teams suggests a draw is likely. Plzen has a 40% home win rate while Fiorentina has a 40% draw rate away.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: Plzen averages 1.2 goals per home game while Fiorentina scores 1 goal per away game. Additionally, Plzen concedes an average of 0.8 goals per home match compared to Fiorentina’s 1.2 goals conceded away. These numbers point to a high probability of a 1-1 final score.

3. Probabilities of various match outcomes: Odds indicate a higher probability of a draw (31.63%) compared to a Plzen win (26.53%). Moreover, with a 55.1% likelihood of both teams scoring, a 1-1 scoreline seems like a plausible prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Plzen has won 2 out of their last 5 home matches, scoring 9 goals and conceding 10. In terms of attack, they have an average of 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per match. This indicates a decent attack but a fragile defense.

On the other hand, Fiorentina has won only one of their last 5 away matches. With 5 goals scored and 7 conceded, their average goals per match is 1 and 1.2 goals conceded. There is a concern over their weak defensive potential with 43%.

For this specific match, Plzen’s victory has a probability of 26.53%. A draw is estimated at 31.63% and Fiorentina’s victory is more likely at 41.84%.

The offensive potential of each team suggests that there is a higher chance of a total of over 1.5 goals being scored during the match (68.37%).

Taking into account the recent performances of each team and their data, Fiorentina appears to be slightly favored. However, it is advisable to go for a draw or Fiorentina’s victory, with a probability of 73.47%.

The probability of both teams scoring is 55.1%, which is an important factor to consider for betting.

In conclusion, a safe bet could be under 4.5 goals in the match, with a very high success probability of 89.29%.

The potential number of goals

Plzen struggles at home, with only two wins in their last five matches. Their scoring ability remains decent, with an average of 1.2 goals per game. However, their defense concedes a bit too many goals, with an average of 1 goal conceded per game.

Fiorentina is a bit more in trouble away, winning only once in their last five outings. They score fewer goals (1 on average) and concede slightly more (1.2 on average) than Plzen.

Nevertheless, bettors are leaning towards Fiorentina with a probability of 41.84% compared to 26.53% for Plzen. The draw option also seems plausible at 31.63%.

Regarding the number of goals, less than 2.5 goals during the match is likely at 63.93%, while more than 1.5 goals have a probability of 68.37%.

In summary, with both teams having close scores recently, a draw or few goals seem like possible outcomes. Considering Fiorentina’s slight advantage, a bet on their victory could prove profitable.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Taking into account the statistics, probabilities, and recent performances of these two teams, it seems that this match could be tight and undecided. Considering the current form of both teams, it wouldn’t be surprising to see a draw or, at best, a narrow victory for Fiorentina. However, betting on under 2.5 goals could be a safer option given the defensive performances of both teams. On the other hand, if you’re feeling a bit more adventurous, a bet on “both teams to score” might offer an interesting value bet. Ultimately, it’s important to keep in mind that while statistics and probabilities provide useful indications, football is unpredictable and anything can happen on the field.