Tipps Plzen Karviná Czech Liga 11/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Plzen wins the match.”

1. Plzen has a better defensive potential than Karviná, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match compared to Karviná’s 1.6. This suggests that Plzen is more capable of resisting Karviná’s offense.
2. Probability statistics suggest that Plzen has a high likelihood of winning, with a success probability of 64.71% for a Plzen victory compared to only 14.44% for a Karviná victory.
3. Analyzing past match records, Plzen has performed better at home, with a 60% win rate and 20% draw rate in their last 5 matches, compared to Karviná’s 60% away win rate and 20% draw rate. These, combined with the fact that Plzen is playing at home, suggest that Plzen has an advantage.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Historical data shows a trend of high-scoring matches between these two teams. In their last 5 matches, Plzen and Karviná have scored 13 and 10 goals respectively, and conceded 14 and 10 goals.

2. Both teams have a high offensive potential, with an average of 1.6 goals per match, indicating that they are both capable of scoring goals.

3. The statistical probability for the scenario ‘Over 2.5 goals in the match’ is high. Bookmakers estimate this probability at 60.43%, with odds of 1.53.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Both teams have a similar offensive potential: Plzen has scored an average of 1.6 goals per home match, while Karviná has scored an average of 1.6 goals away. This means that they both have effective attackers who can find their way to goal.

2. Karviná’s defensive potential is not very strong: the team has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per away match. Plzen, although better in this regard with an average of 1.2 goals conceded at home, is not impermeable either. The history of matches also shows that these two teams often concede goals.

3. The statistics and betting odds show that the bet “Both teams to score: Yes” has a success probability of 54.01%, which is higher than the bet “Both teams do not score: No” (45.99%). This statistic confirms that both teams have good chances of scoring during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – odds: 5.00

Bet on the exact result

Plzen 2-2 Karviná

1. Goal average: Both teams have an average of 1.6 goals scored per match, indicating a tendency for both teams to score at least two goals each in their matches.

2. Draws: Plzen and Karviná have both drawn in 20% of their recent matches, suggesting that they are capable of ending with equal results.

3. Defensive potential: Karviná concedes an average of 1.6 goals away from home, while Plzen concedes an average of 1.2 goals at home. This implies that there is a possibility of conceding goals on both sides given their defensive weaknesses.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Plzen has won 3 of its last 5 home matches, scoring 13 goals and conceding 14. Their offensive potential at home is 57% and their defensive potential is 43%, showing some weakness in defense.

On the other hand, Karviná has also won 3 of its last 5 away matches, scoring 10 goals and conceding 10 as well. Karviná’s offensive and defensive potential in away matches is 57%, showing a relative balance.

In terms of predictions, Plzen has a 64.71% chance of winning the match, compared to 14.44% for Karviná. This gives Plzen a significant advantage.

Based on the statistics, there is a 60.43% chance of more than 2.5 goals being scored in the match. Furthermore, there is a 54.01% chance of both teams scoring.

With these factors in mind, Plzen appears to be the favorite team, but a cautious approach could be to bet on “more than 2.5 goals” in this match.

The potential number of goals

Plzen has won 60% of their home matches and scored an average of 1.6 goals. Karvina, away from home, has also won 60% of their matches and scored 1.6 goals on average. Both teams thus have an effective offense and the ability to score goals.

However, Plzen has defensive weaknesses, having conceded 14 goals in their last 5 home matches. Karvina, on the other hand, has only let in 10 goals in their recent 5 away matches.

The probability of Plzen winning this match is 64.71%, with odds of 1.35. The odds for a draw are 5.00 with a probability of 20.86%. Karvina has a probability of only 14.44% to win the match, with odds of 7.50.

There is a high likelihood of more than 2.5 goals in the match with a rate of 60.43% and odds of 1.53. Both teams to score has a probability of 54.01% and odds of 1.80.

Considering these factors, the match could be highly competitive with a high chance of seeing goals from both sides. But Plzen, despite their fragile defense, remains the favorite to win this home match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, combinations of strategic bets seem to be the best choice for this match between Plzen and Karviná in the Czech Liga. Plzen is favored due to their high likelihood of winning and successful past performances at home. The forecast of a high total goals over 2.5 and the likelihood of both teams scoring have also been highlighted based on their strong offensive potential and relatively leaky defense.

However, the “draw” bet at odds of 5.00 offers an interesting value bet not to be underestimated despite Plzen’s favored status. Remember, analysis and statistics provide a well-informed overview, but it’s important to note that in football, the result is never 100% guaranteed.

Therefore, each bet should be considered with the involved risk and potential loss in mind. It’s also crucial to only bet within your financial means and to treat sports betting as entertainment rather than a long-term money-making method.

Lastly, it’s worth noting that even though Plzen appears to have the edge in this match, football is unpredictable and a moment of brilliance or a mistake can often change the course of a game. So, be sure to enjoy the match, regardless of the outcome.