Tipps Plzen Ludogorets UEFA Europa League 03/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Plzen wins the match.

1. Plzen has an impressive home performance, winning 80% of their last home matches. This shows a strong confidence and ability to use home advantage to their benefit.
2. The success probability for Plzen to win the match is 51.3%, indicating a high level of confidence in their ability to secure victory against Ludogorets.
3. Compared to Ludogorets, Plzen has a higher offensive potential at home, with an average of 1.4 goals per match, suggesting they have a strong ability to score against their opponents.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Recent statistics show that both teams have not been scoring high in their previous matches. Indeed, the Plzen team averages 1.4 goals per match and Ludogorets averages 1.6 goals per match, which is generally below 2.5 goals.

2. Additionally, Ludogorets seems to have a strong defense, conceding only 0.4 goals on average per away match. This solid defensive performance could help in keeping the total score under 2.5 goals.

3. Finally, the calculated probability for a match with under 2.5 goals is higher (1.85) compared to other betting options. This probability indicates strong confidence that the match will end with under 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Recent statistics show a strong offensive potential from both teams. Plzen has scored 10 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Ludogorets has scored 9 goals in their last 5 away matches. Both teams have proven their ability to score goals.

2. Plzen has shown a defensive weakness in their home matches, conceding 10 goals in the last 5 games. This suggests that Ludogorets, with their strong offensive potential, have a great chance of scoring during the match.

3. Analysis of the previous home matches of Plzen and away matches of Ludogorets shows that these teams have rarely kept a clean sheet. In the case of Plzen, they have only managed to keep a clean sheet at home once in five matches. For Ludogorets, they have kept a clean sheet only three times in their last five away games. These trends strengthen the likelihood of both teams scoring during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Ludogorets wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

Plzen 1-1 Ludogorets

1. Analysis of teams’ past performance: Both teams seem to have a strong offensive and defensive performance, having scored and conceded a considerable number of goals in their recent matches. Plzen has scored 10 goals and conceded 10 in their last 5 home matches, while Ludogorets has scored 9 goals and conceded 9 in their last 5 away matches. This suggests potential for a draw.

2. Average goals per match: Looking at the average goals per match, we can see that Plzen scores 1.4 goals per match and concedes 1.8 goals, while Ludogorets scores 1.6 goals and only concedes 0.4. The compatibility of these statistics highlights the potential for a 1-1 scoreline.

3. Probability of a draw: The probability of a draw is 32.64%, which, although lower than Plzen’s probability of winning (51.3%), is still a considerable probability. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is 52.85%, further reinforcing the possibility of a draw with a 1-1 score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Plzen has a fairly balanced performance at home, with an 80% win rate. They have scored 10 goals in 5 matches, but have also conceded the same number.

Ludogorets, on the other hand, is impressive away from home, with a 100% win rate. They have scored 9 goals in 5 matches, conceding only one.

Despite Ludogorets’ impressive performances, the statistics favor Plzen, with a 51.3% chance of winning. The possibility of a draw is at 32.64%, while a Ludogorets win has only a 16.06% chance.

In terms of goals, there is a 75.13% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match. Both teams have a 52.85% chance of scoring.

Based on these statistics, I would say the safest bet is a match with more than 1.5 goals scored and a likely win for Plzen or a draw. Nevertheless, Ludogorets’ strong away form should not be ignored.

The potential number of goals

Based on these figures, the match could be tight with a slight advantage to Plzen. However, Ludogorets shouldn’t be underestimated with its strong away record.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistical analysis of this Plzen vs. Ludogorets match in the UEFA Europa League offers several interesting betting options. With a success probability of 51.3% for Plzen, the 1X2 bet in favor of Plzen appears to be the safest. However, Ludogorets should not be underestimated due to their impressive away performances.

Regarding the number of goals, the data suggests a match with fewer than 2.5 goals, which could be a solid betting option. The risk is therefore divided between a potentially low-scoring match and a scenario where both teams manage to score.

As for the exact score, 1-1 could be an interesting value to bet on, reflecting the competitiveness between these two teams in their previous encounters.

Ultimately, sports betting is not just about following the odds but requires a deep understanding of statistics, past and current performances, and the form of the teams. It is crucial to have a well-defined strategy to maximize long-term winning chances.