Tipps Plzen Pardubice Czech Liga 06/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Plzen wins the match

1. The home performance of Plzen is significantly superior to that of Pardubice away. Plzen has won 80% of its home matches, compared to 40% for Pardubice away.
2. The offensive and defensive potential of Plzen at home is higher. They score an average of 1.4 goals per match compared to 1.2 for Pardubice away, and Plzen has a defensive potential of 64% compared to 43% for Pardubice away.
3. The calculated probability for a Plzen win is 77.2%, which is significantly higher than 9.33% for a Pardubice win or 13.47% for a draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The scoring history shows a trend towards high-scoring games. In their recent matches, both Plzen and Pardubice have shown a tendency to score and concede goals, typically surpassing the 2.5 goal threshold per game.

2. The offensive statistics of both teams are impressive, with each averaging 1.4 goals per match. This indicates a high likelihood of each team scoring at least one goal, bringing us closer to the total of 2.5 goals.

3. Defensive statistics also reveal vulnerabilities, with Plzen conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match and Pardubice 1.2 goals per match. This suggests that both teams are likely to concede goals, increasing the potential total goals of the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Statistics show that Plzen has a strong offensive performance at home, having scored in 100% of their last 5 matches. Additionally, they have also conceded goals in 40% of those matches, indicating potential defensive vulnerabilities.

2. Pardubice, although less successful away from home, managed to score in 60% of their last 5 away matches. Moreover, they have conceded goals in 80% of those matches, also pointing to some defensive vulnerability.

3. Considering the average goals scored and conceded per match by both teams, the total exceeds 2 goals per match. This is a good indicator that goals could be scored by both sides during the game.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Less than 3.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Plzen 2-1 Pardubice.

1. Translation:
“1. Plzen’s Home Performance: In their last 5 home matches, Plzen won 80% of their games, showcasing a strong dominance when playing at home. Additionally, they have scored an average of 1.4 goals per match, supporting the prediction of 2 goals for Plzen.”

2. Pardubice’s Away Performances: Pardubice has won 40% of their away matches and conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game, suggesting they are likely to concede goals when playing away.

3. Scoring Probabilities: The statistical probability of Plzen winning the match is 77.2%, and the probability of more than 2.5 goals being scored in the match is 60.62%. These statistics support the prediction of a 2-1 score in favor of Plzen.”

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Plzen, in its last 5 home matches, wins 80% of the time. They have scored 10 goals and conceded the same number. Pardubice, on the other hand, wins 40% of their away matches, with a total of 8 goals scored and 9 conceded.

On average, Plzen scores 1.4 goals per home match and concedes 1.8 goals. Their offensive potential is 50% and their defensive potential is 64%. Pardubice, away from home, also scores 1.4 goals per match and concedes fewer, averaging 1.2 goals. They have an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 43%.

In terms of result probabilities, Plzen has a 77.2% chance of winning, while the chances of a draw are 13.47%. Pardubice has lower chances, at 9.33%, of winning the match.

Regarding goals, the prediction indicates an 82.38% chance of the match having over 1.5 goals, and 60.62% for over 2.5 goals. Less than 3.5 goals have been predicted with a 66.32% probability.

Finally, there is a 46.11% chance that both teams will score, compared to 53.89% for a situation where they do not score.

As a forecast, based on these data, Plzen has a strong chance at home against Pardubice. However, the balance in terms of goals scored and conceded suggests a potentially close match.

The potential number of goals

Plzen is strong at home, winning 80% of recent matches. But be careful, they have scored 10 goals but also conceded 10. Despite that, there is a 77.2% probability that they will win.

Pardubice has won 40% of their recent away matches, with their offensive and defensive abilities fairly balanced (50% and 43% respectively) despite a record of 9 goals conceded to 8 scored.

For goals, there is an 82.38% probability of seeing more than 1.5 goals in the match. Slightly leaning towards a match with less than 3.5 goals with a probability of 66.32%.

As for both teams to score, the odds are almost balanced – 46.11% chance of yes, 53.89% chance of no.

In conclusion, Plzen is the favorite to win with high chances of seeing more than 1.5 goals scored in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In summary, based on our analysis of available data and statistics, Plzen is heavily favored to win the match. This is demonstrated by their impressive home performance and 80% win rate. Their superior offensive and defensive potential adds weight to this prediction.

However, both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede goals, indicating a very likely lively and competitive match. The calculated probabilities suggest that the match will likely have over 2.5 goals, and it is very probable that both teams will score.

The suggested “value bet” is under 3.5 goals in the match. With two rather efficient defenses, even though both teams have a good eye for goal, it is unlikely that the total goals will exceed this threshold.

Regarding the exact score, our prediction based on all data is 2-1 in favor of Plzen.

Sports betting is never a certainty, and even though all data points to a Plzen victory, anything can happen in football. Always bet responsibly, keeping in mind that the forecast is just a guide and not a guarantee of the outcome.