Tipps Pogon Szczecin Ruch Chorzów Ekstraklasa 12/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Pogon Szczecin wins the match.

1. Translation:
1. Recently, Pogon Szczecin’s home performance has been quite solid. In the last 5 home matches, they won 60% and drew in 40% of the games. This suggests a high likelihood that they will not lose this match.

2. In comparison, Ruch Chorzów has struggled in their recent away performances. In the last 5 away matches, they only won 20% of the games and drew 60% of the time. This trend indicates a low probability of winning for Ruch Chorzów in the upcoming match.

3. Furthermore, the offensive and defensive potential of Pogon Szczecin at home is higher than that of Ruch Chorzów away. Pogon Szczecin averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per match at home, giving them an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 50%. On the other hand, Ruch Chorzów averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 goals conceded per match away, with an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 43%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The offensive potential of both teams is significant. Pogon Szczecin scores an average of 1.4 goals per home match, while Ruch Chorzów also scores an average of 1.2 goals per away match. Adding these two averages gives a total of 2.6 goals, which exceeds the 2.5 goals threshold.

2. Both teams have relatively weak defenses, allowing opponents to score. Pogon Szczecin has conceded 11 goals in their last 5 home matches, and Ruch Chorzów has conceded 7 goals in their last 5 away matches. These data highlight the poor defensive performance of both teams and increase the likelihood of a total score exceeding 2.5 goals.

3. The recent matches of both teams have generally seen more than 2.5 goals. For example, the majority of Pogon Szczecin’s last 5 home matches have had more than 2.5 goals (Pogon Szczecin 3 – 1 Cracovia Krakow, Pogon Szczecin 4 – 2 ŁKS Łódź). Similarly, some of Ruch Chorzów’s away matches have also seen more than 2.5 goals (Stal Mielec 3 – 1 Ruch Chorzów).

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent History: Both teams have shown the ability to score goals in their previous matches. Even in losses, they have managed to find the back of the net. Looking at Pogon Szczecin’s last 5 home matches, they have scored in 60% of them. For Ruch Chorzów, they have scored in 80% of their last 5 away games.

2. Offensive Potential: Statistics indicate that Pogon Szczecin averages 1.4 goals per home match, while Ruch Chorzów also averages 1.2 goals per away match. This suggests that both teams have offensive potential that could result in goals being scored.

3. Bettors’ Probability: The probability of both teams scoring is quite high, at 66.32%. This is a key indicator that we cannot ignore, as it takes into account various factors including recent performances and trends, as well as other factors like the form of key players.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Draw or Ruch Chorzów wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

Pogon Szczecin 2-1 Ruch Chorzów

1. Pogon Szczecin has a superior home performance with a 60% win rate compared to Ruch Chorzów’s 20% away from home. Pogon Szczecin has won their last 5 home matches, which explains the betting odds in their favor.

2. Analysis of offensive and defensive performances shows that both teams score and concede a similar average of goals (1.4 goals for Pogon Szczecin and 1.2 goals for Ruch Chorzów). This justifies a tight scoreline like 2-1.

3. The predictions indicate a high probability (90%) for a match with over 1.5 goals and a reasonable probability (63.16%) for a match with over 2.5 goals. A score of 2-1 falls within both of these prediction categories.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Pogon Szczecin is showing strong form at home, winning 60% of the time; but they concede as much as they score (1.4 goals). Ruch Chorzów struggles to win away from home, but manages to balance their record with 60% of matches ending in draws and an average of 1.2 goals scored and conceded. The highest probability is Pogon Szczecin winning (58.42%) with odds of 1.55. A match with over 1.5 goals is likely (90%), with odds of 1.18. Both teams have a tendency to score, with a probability of 66.32% and odds of 1.68. A noteworthy point: Pogon Szczecin has scored in 3 of their last 5 home matches, while Ruch Chorzów has scored in 4 of their last 5 away matches. Get ready for a potentially offensive game!

The potential number of goals

Pogon Szczecin shows solid form at home, with a 60% win ratio and an average of 1.4 goals scored per match. However, they have defensive weaknesses, also conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match. Adding more discipline in defense could be beneficial.

On the other hand, Ruch Chorzów struggles away from home with only a 20% success rate. They manage to score around 1.2 goals per match while also conceding the same number of goals. Their performances on the road seem to need improvements.

Looking at the probabilities, there is a 58.42% chance of Pogon Szczecin winning, compared to 21.58% for Ruch Chorzów. A draw is rather unlikely with only a 20% chance.

An interesting aspect is that both teams tend to score when they play, with a probability of 66.32%. However, the chances of the match ending with less than 3.5 goals are quite high at 64.74%.

Considering these factors, one could expect a balanced contest with goal-scoring opportunities on both sides. A safe bet could be “Over 1.5 goals in the match” with a 90% success probability and odds of 1.18. If looking to take more risks, “Pogon Szczecin to win the match” at 1.55 could also be an attractive option.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match prediction between Pogon Szczecin and Ruch Chorzów suggests a fairly balanced matchup with an advantage for Pogon Szczecin at home. The performances and potential offensives of both teams indicate a strong possibility of over 1.5 goals in this match, with also a high likelihood of both teams scoring. The bet “Draw or Ruch Chorzów wins the match” is interesting in terms of value bet, while the exact score of 2-1 in favor of Pogon Szczecin seems plausible. However, sports betting always involves a level of risk, so it is advised to consider the multiple factors that can influence the outcome of a sports event before placing a bet.