Tipps Poland Austria Euro 2024 21/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Austria wins the match”

1. Austria has won 80% of its away matches, indicating a strong performance away from home, reflecting their ability to adapt to different environments and maintain a high level of play.
2. Austria has a similar offensive potential to Poland (79%), but their defensive performance is slightly better at 29% compared to Poland’s 36%. This could be crucial, especially if the match is tight.
3. Probability statistics indicate that Austria has a 41.24% chance of winning the match, which is significantly higher than Poland’s odds of winning at 23.2%. It is also worth noting that the option of a draw or Austria winning the match has a success probability of 76.8%, which is another favorable indicator for Austria.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5”

1. The statistics of both teams demonstrate a strong offensive capability, with an average of 2.2 goals scored per match and an offensive potential of 79% for both Poland and Austria. This increases the likelihood of a match with over 2.5 goals.

2. The defensive potential of both teams is relatively low (36% for Poland and 29% for Austria), indicating a tendency to concede goals. This weak defensive performance of both teams increases the probability of a match with over 2.5 goals.

3. Historical data show that Poland’s home matches and Austria’s away matches have often exceeded 2.5 goals. For example, three of Poland’s last five home matches have exceeded this threshold, as have two of Austria’s last five away matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The match history shows that both Poland and Austria have been very offensive in their respective matches, with an average of over 2 goals per game. This indicates that both teams have the ability to score goals in the match.

2. The defensive statistics of Poland and Austria are also revealing. Poland has conceded 13 goals in 5 matches while Austria has conceded 10 goals, meaning their defenses are likely to concede goals.

3. The “Both teams to score” bet has a success probability of 57.73%, which is quite high compared to other available bets. This indicates that there is a strong chance for both teams to score a goal in the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Poland wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

Poland 2-2 Austria

1. Both teams have shown a remarkable performance in their last 5 matches, with each having a winning rate of 80%. This trend highlights that they are evenly matched in terms of performance, suggesting a possibility of a draw.

2. The offensive performances of Poland and Austria are similar, both averaging 2.2 goals per match in their last 5 games. This suggests that both teams are likely to score at least 2 goals each.

3. The odds of “Both teams to score” have a success probability of 57.73%. This statistic indicates that both teams have a great potential to score in the match, reinforcing the predicted score of 2-2.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Poland is strong at home. They have won 80% of their last 5 matches and drawn 20%. Their attack has been effective with 13 goals scored. Their defense needs strengthening, having conceded 13 goals.

Austria is performing well away. They have won 80% of their last 5 matches and drawn 20%. Their attack has scored 9 goals and their defense has conceded 10.

Statistically, Austria is more likely to win the match with a 41.24% probability. Poland follows with 23.2%. A draw is possible at 35.57%.

Poland scores an average of 2.2 goals at home and concedes 1 goal. Austria also scores an average of 2.2 goals away and concedes 0.8.

More than 1.5 goals in the match are highly likely at 70.1%. The option of under 3.5 goals is also likely at 78.35%. Both teams to score has a 57.73% probability.

In terms of recent results, Poland has beaten the Netherlands, Turkey, Ukraine, Estonia, and Latvia. Austria has drawn with Switzerland and beaten Slovakia, Estonia, Azerbaijan, and Sweden.

In conclusion, a match with more than 1.5 goals and both teams to score is expected. Choosing Austria (41.24% chance of winning) as the winner seems more reasonable.

The potential number of goals

Poland performs quite well at home, with an 80% recent win rate and 13 goals scored. However, they have also conceded 13 goals, so their defense needs to be monitored.

Austria, on the other hand, is strong away from home, with a similar win rate to Poland but nine goals scored and 10 conceded. Their defense also needs improvement.

For each team, the average offensive potential is 79% and the average goals per match is 2.2.

In terms of probabilities, Austria is slightly favored with a 41.24% chance compared to Poland’s 23.2%.

The probability of a draw is 35.57%. In such a scenario combined with either a Poland or Austria win, the probabilities are 58.76% and 76.8% respectively.

The probabilities also support over 1.5 goals in the match at 70.1%, and under 3.5 goals at 78.35%.

Finally, both teams have a 57.73% and 42.27% chance of scoring, respectively.

Therefore, we can expect a competitive match with a slight inclination towards Austria, likely with over 1.5 goals but under 3.5.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the statistics and analysis conducted, the match between Poland and Austria is expected to be quite balanced. Both teams have demonstrated impressive performances, whether at home for Poland or away for Austria. The match could therefore go either way.

However, Austria appears to have a slight advantage, especially in terms of defensive performance. The bet “Austria wins the match” is therefore an option to consider, especially given the success probability of 41.24%.

On the other hand, with both teams showing a strong attacking ability and slightly weak defense, the “Over 2.5 goals” bet could also be a good option. Indeed, the chances of witnessing a match with over 2.5 goals are quite high.

Finally, the “Both teams to score” bet seems to be a safe option, given both teams’ tendency to score in their respective matches.

However, despite lower odds of victory for Poland, the “Poland wins the match” bet could be an interesting value bet due to the odds offered. In conclusion, the prognosis depends on the bettor’s profile, whether they are more cautious or risk-taking. In any case, the match promises to be full of emotions and goals.