Tipps Poland Portugal UEFA Nations League 12/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Portugal wins the match

1. Portugal has a higher success probability compared to Poland, with 58.14% against 18.02% to win the match, indicating they have a better overall performance.

2. Portugal’s offensive potential away and Poland’s defensive potential at home are relatively low, at 29% and 64% respectively, which could favor a favorable score for Portugal.

3. Considering the last 5 matches of both teams, Portugal has shown greater ability to score away goals compared to Poland at home, with total scores of 10 goals against 12 respectively. However, in terms of goals conceded, Portugal has also demonstrated a better defense, with only 10 goals conceded against 13 for Poland.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Previous match statistics: In the last 5 home matches of Poland, 4 had more than 2.5 goals scored. Similarly, Portugal in their away matches managed to score several goals, even scoring 5 against Bosnia and Herzegovina. These precedents show that both teams have offensive potential capable of producing more than 2.5 goals.

2. Defensive weaknesses: Both teams have shown at times shaky defense, with Poland conceding an average of 1.8 goals per home match and Portugal conceding an average of 0.8 goals per away match. Shaky defense on both sides could lead to a high-scoring match.

3. Bookmakers’ probabilities: The bet “over 2.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 51.16% according to bookmakers. This is a considerable probability and one of the most balanced bets given by bookmakers, offering an interesting return of 1.85. This indicates that bookmakers also anticipate a match with many goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The goal statistics of both teams: The last 5 home matches of Poland have seen them score 12 goals and concede 13 goals, while the last 5 away matches of Portugal have seen them score 10 goals and concede 10 goals. These numbers show that both teams have a good attacking ability but also a weak defense.

2. The perceived offensive and defensive potential: Poland has a 43% offensive potential and a 64% defensive potential at home. Portugal has a 29% offensive potential and a 29% defensive potential away. This suggests that both teams are likely to score during the match.

3. The probability of both teams scoring is relatively high: It is 50.58%, indicating that the event has a reasonable chance of occurring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Poland 1-2 Portugal

1. Portugal’s away statistics show that they regularly score and win in 60% of cases. Their offensive and defensive potential is balanced, suggesting a strong performance away from home.
2. Poland, despite playing at home, has shown some vulnerability in defense, conceding more goals than they have scored. The predicted score for Portugal could therefore come true, given Portugal’s effective offense.
3. The odds indicate a high probability (58.14%) of Portugal winning the match, with also a high probability (79.65%) of more than 1.5 goals being scored in the match. This aligns with the predicted score of 1-2 in favor of Portugal.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Poland shows some strength at home, with a 60% win rate and an average of 1.2 goals per match. However, their defense is lacking, conceding 1.8 goals per match.

Portugal, when playing away, also has a 60% win rate but struggles to score with an average of 0.8 goals per match.

Poland has a higher offensive potential (43% compared to 29% for Portugal). However, Portugal’s defense is stronger, with defensive potential equal to its offensive potential (29%).

The probability of Portugal winning is 58.14%, significantly higher than Poland’s 18.02%. The prediction therefore favors Portugal.

There is also a high probability (79.65%) of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match. Recent matches also indicate that both teams often score.

In summary, Portugal appears to be the favorite for this match, but Poland could surprise and score goals. A match worth following for sports betting enthusiasts.

The potential number of goals

Poland has a good home performance, with a 60% win rate. Furthermore, they have scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches. However, their defense is an issue as they have conceded 13 goals in those games. Portugal, on the other hand, has the same win rate when playing away. However, they have scored fewer goals (10) and also conceded fewer (10).

Poland’s average goals at home is 1.2 per match, but they concede an average of 1.8 goals. Portugal scores fewer goals away (0.8 per match), but their defense is stronger (0.8 goals conceded per match).

According to the probabilities, Portugal has a 58.14% chance of winning this match. However, Poland has a higher offensive potential than Portugal (43% vs 29%).

There is a high probability (79.65%) of seeing over 1.5 goals in the match between these two teams. But the probability is lower (51.16%) for over 2.5 goals.

Looking at their recent matches, Poland has conceded at least 1 goal in their last 5 home matches. Portugal has scored in 4 of their last 5 away matches.

Ultimately, this match seems to point towards a Portugal win, with a strong possibility of over 1.5 goals. However, Poland’s attack could also surprise.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the study of trends and game statistics of both teams, Poland and Portugal, suggest that the UEFA Nations League match between these two nations will be eventful and high-scoring. While Portugal seems to be the favorite to win this match, Poland’s offensive skill could potentially cause an upset. Betting on over 2.5 goals appears to be an attractive option, and predicting “BTTS: Yes” could also provide excellent value. However, it is important to note that despite all analysis, sports betting always entails a level of uncertainty, so it is advised to bet responsibly.