Tipps Portimonense Maritimo Segunda Liga 01/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Maritimo wins the match.

1. Portimonense has a low home win rate with only 20% in its last 5 matches and has an offensive potential of only 14%, indicating a lack of efficiency in front of goal.
2. Maritimo has a better success rate away from home with 40% wins and 60% draws in its last 5 matches, indicating greater stability on the road, reinforced by a good rate of goals scored away from home with an average of 1.6 goals per match.
3. Recent match statistics show that Maritimo has been able to score in almost every away match while Portimonense struggles to score at home. Therefore, it is more likely that Maritimo will secure at least a draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The low offensive potential of Portimonense: In their last 5 home matches, Portimonense has only scored an average of 0.4 goals per match. This indicates a weak offensive performance that may contribute to a total of fewer than 2.5 goals.

2. Maritimo’s defensive performance away from home: Maritimo has conceded an average of 0.8 goals per match in their last 5 away matches. This demonstrates a strong defensive performance that could limit the total number of goals scored in the match.

3. Portimonense’s recent home performances: Looking at Portimonense’s last 5 home matches, they have had 3 matches with fewer than 2.5 goals. These findings suggest that Portimonense’s home matches tend to be low-scoring affairs.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Portimonense struggles to score goals at home, with an average of 0.4 goals per match and an offensive potential of only 14%.
2. Portimonense’s last five home matches have all had less than 2.5 goals, which further strengthens the idea that their offensive power is limited.
3. Maritimo, despite having a higher offensive potential away from home, has also shown that they are capable of keeping matches low-scoring, with two of their last five away matches ending in a 0-0 draw.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Portimonense 1-1 Maritimo

1. Recent match history: Based on the last 5 home matches of Portimonense and away matches of Maritimo, it is clear that both teams tend to score few goals. Portimonense has a home offensive potential of only 14% and Maritimo has an away defensive potential of 29%. Furthermore, recent match results show that teams often end up with a relatively low score.

2. Goal prediction: Analyses indicate that the match will likely have less than 3.5 goals with a probability of 84.62%. On the other hand, the probabilities suggest a 48.21% chance that both teams will score. Given the performance history of both teams, a 1-1 scoreline seems very plausible.

3. Number of draws: Portimonense has drawn in 60% of its last 5 home matches, and Maritimo has drawn in 60% of its last 5 away matches. This shows a tendency for both teams to equalize in their matches, further supporting the idea of a possible 1-1 scoreline for this match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Portimonense shows weak form at home, with only a 20% win rate and 60% draws. They have an average of 0.4 goals scored per match and concede 1.2 goals per match. Their offensive strength is low at 14%, while defense stands at 43%.

On the other hand, Maritimo has an away record of 40% wins and 60% draws. They have an average of 1.6 goals scored and concede 0.8 goals per match. Their offensive performance is at 57%, with defense at 29%.

The probabilities indicate a 37.44% chance for a Portimonense win (odds at 2.45) and 32.82% for Maritimo (odds at 2.75). The draw has a probability of 29.74% (odds at 3.20).

The match has a 66.67% chance of having over 1.5 goals (odds at 1.35) and only a 37.95% chance of having over 2.5 goals (odds at 2.05). Under 3.5 goals has a high probability of 84.62% (odds at 1.25).

Looking at the teams’ last two matches, a trend towards low scores for Portimonense and higher scores for Maritimo is noted.

In conclusion, a bet with under 2.5 goals in the match would be prudent given Portimonense’s weak offensive potential. However, Maritimo could exploit Portimonense’s weak defense, making a bet on a Maritimo win or a draw interesting.

The potential number of goals

Analysis: Portimonense performs poorly at home, with only 20% of wins and 2 goals scored in 5 matches. Their defense allows an average of 1.2 goals per match.

Maritimo, on the other hand, has decent performances away from home with 40% of wins and a total of 9 goals scored and conceded in 5 matches. Their offensive potential stands at 57% on the road.

Predictions: Our numbers suggest a closely contested match. The highest probability (67.18%) indicates a draw or a win for Portimonense. However, according to our calculations, Maritimo has a significant chance of winning (32.82%).

In terms of goals, our forecasts suggest a match with less than 1.5 goals (66.67%) with a higher likelihood or less than 3.5 goals with a success probability of 84.62%.

Nevertheless, the scale slightly tips towards a match where both teams would not score, with a 51.79% probability.

In conclusion, this match seems to be heading towards a defensive duel with few goals scored.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Portimonense and Maritimo seems to be heading towards a draw or a Maritimo victory, due to the recent performances of each team and their recent history of encounters. Portimonense’s relatively weak offensive potential and Maritimo’s strong defensive performance suggest a low-scoring match, with less than 2.5 goals. These analyses could lead to a probable final score of 1-1.
Betting on both teams not to score could be a good option. Considering Portimonense’s offensive performances and Maritimo’s defensive performances, it is unlikely for both teams to score.
Finally, a “draw” bet offers an interesting value bet given both teams’ recent tendency to finish their matches in a draw and Portimonense’s limited offensive potential.
However, bettors should be prepared for unexpected scenarios. Even with detailed and strategic analysis, football match results can be unpredictable, and it is always important to bet responsibly.