Tipps Portsmouth Oxford United Championship 05/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Portsmouth wins the match.

1. Statistically, in their last 5 home matches, Portsmouth has never lost, with 60% of matches ending in a draw.
2. Oxford United shows weakness away from home with no wins in their last 5 away matches, losing in 80% of cases.
3. The probability of the match ending in a win for Portsmouth or a draw is 69.79%, which is significantly higher than other scenarios.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

My prediction for this match would be “Under 2.5 goals in the match”.

1. Statistically speaking, Portsmouth has very weak offensive performances at home with an average of 0.8 goals scored per match in their last 5 matches, while Oxford United, even though they have an average of 1.4 goals scored per match away, they are facing a Portsmouth team with a defensive potential of 71%.

2. The history of confrontations between the two teams also shows a trend towards low scores. In fact, the last matches of Portsmouth at home and Oxford United away have mainly resulted in less than 2.5 goals.

3. The probability factor reinforces this prediction. In fact, the “Under 2.5 goals in the match” has odds of 1.92, indicating that bookmakers believe there is a strong possibility that the match will end with under 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Statistics show that Oxford United regularly scores away from home. In fact, in their last 5 away matches, the team has scored 6 goals, averaging 1.4 goals per game.

2. Furthermore, Portsmouth has a 29% home offensive potential and has scored in their last 5 home matches, demonstrating their ability to find the back of the net.

3. Lastly, the odds indicating a 58.85% probability of both teams scoring in this match adds weight to this prediction.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 1.5 goals in the match: 3.60

Bet on the exact result

Portsmouth 1-1 Oxford United.

1. Recent home match history of Portsmouth indicates a strong tendency for draws and low scoring games (1 goal scored and 2 goals conceded in their last 5 home matches). This trend suggests that the match between Portsmouth and Oxford United may end in a draw with a low score.

2. Oxford United has also shown a mixed performance in their away matches, with several draws and an average of goals scored and conceded pointing towards generally low scores. This strengthens the hypothesis of a 1-1 score for this match.

3. The match result probabilities indicate that although Portsmouth has a slight preference to win the match (48.44%), a draw remains a significant possibility (21.35%). Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is quite high (58.85%), corresponding to the predicted 1-1 score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Portsmouth, at home, is not in good form. 5 games, no wins. 60% end in a draw. Their attacks score little, with only 1 goal. Their defense falters, conceding 2 goals.

Oxford United, visiting, is not shining either. No win in 5 games and a meager 20% draw rate. They score more with 6 goals, but concede too much, a total of 9.

Portsmouth shows a weak attack at 29%, but a solid defense at 71%. Oxford United, with 50% attack and 36% defense, presents a more balanced profile.

The betting probabilities are close. Portsmouth has a 48.44% chance of winning and Oxford United 30.21%. A draw is not ruled out at 21.35%.

Low scores seem likely. There is a predicted 76.04% chance for more than 1.5 goals, but 90.1% for less than 4.5. Both teams could score, with a 58.85% probability.

Portsmouth has often drawn recently: two 0-0 against Sheffield United and Luton Town. Oxford United has often narrowly lost away: three one-goal margin defeats.

The form of both teams suggests a tight match, potentially with few goals. A cautious choice could be a bet on a low score, and considering their home form, a Portsmouth win is still possible.

The potential number of goals

Portsmouth struggles at home, with no wins in their last 5 games. They have conceded 2 goals and scored only 1. Oxford United, away from home, is also not performing well with zero wins in 5 games, scoring 6 goals but conceding 9.

Portsmouth shows a lack of offensive strength, with only 29% offensive potential, compared to Oxford United’s 50% away from home. Defensively, Portsmouth is more resilient with 71% defensive potential, while Oxford United is at 36% in defense away.

Neither team seems to have the upper hand. The probabilities are divided: Portsmouth has a 48.44% chance of winning, while Oxford United has 30.21%. A draw is forecasted with a 21.35% probability.

The match could see less than 2.5 goals, with a probability of 76.04% for under 1.5 goals and 75.52% for under 3.5 goals.

In summary, a balanced match is expected with a low probability of seeing many goals. A bet on a match with under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.92 seems interesting. A draw is also possible with odds of 3.45.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, it is predictable that the match between Portsmouth and Oxford United will result in a low number of goals. The prediction even suggests a draw or a Portsmouth win, translating to a probability of 69.79%. However, it is also likely that both teams will manage to score during the match, with a probability of 58.85%. For bettors looking for a value bet, the potential “Under 1.5 goals in the match” at 3.60 could be worth considering, while noting that the most probable bet would be “Under 2.5 goals in the match.”

It is also anticipated that the exact score of the match could be 1-1, analyzed from the historical confrontations between Portsmouth and Oxford United and their recent performance. Both teams have shown limited scoring ability and a notable draw trend, making a 1-1 score seem logical.

Finally, regarding the form of the teams, Portsmouth and Oxford United have not shown great form recently, with no wins in their respective last five matches. However, their tendency to achieve low scores suggests a potentially tight match with few goals.

Overall, it is essential to consider all these analyses, including the offensive and defensive potential of both teams, their recent performances, and the historical confrontations, before making a betting decision. And remember that sports betting involves risks, so bet responsibly.