Tipps Primorje Maribor Prva Liga - Slovenie 24/11/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Maribor wins the match.”

1. Maribor’s winning probability is significantly higher: with a success rate of 63.64%, Maribor is clearly favored in the predictions.

2. Offensive and defensive performance of both teams: although Maribor has weaker performances away, Primorje’s defensive potential at home is relatively low (50%). This gives Maribor’s attackers more opportunities to score.

3. Maribor’s away performance history: despite not winning recently away, they have managed to keep close scores, losing by only one goal difference in their recent matches. This indicates a certain resilience of the team even when playing away from home.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics of the last 5 matches of each team show a general tendency towards rather low scores, with Primorje scoring 5 goals and Maribor scoring 4 goals, averaging 1.6 and 0.8 goals per match respectively.

2. The percentage of offensive potential is quite low for both teams, with 57% for Primorje and only 29% for Maribor, which could indicate a lack of offensive efficiency on their part and therefore fewer goals scored.

3. The respective recent matches at home and away for both teams show a pattern of low scores, with several games ending with a total of less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics show that Primorje, even when struggling, still manages to score goals in the majority of their home matches. This indicates some offensive capability that could result in at least one goal against Maribor.

2. Despite their poor away performances, Maribor has managed to score in some matches. Coupled with Primorje’s relatively weak defense (9 goals conceded in their last 5 home matches), there is a significant chance that Maribor could also score.

3. The fact that Maribor’s defensive potential is weaker than Primorje’s offensive potential, and vice versa, demonstrates a tendency, based on their respective playing styles, towards an open game with goals scored on both sides.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Primorje wins the match – 2.45

Bet on the exact result

Primorje 1-2 Maribor.

1. Form away from Maribor: Even though Maribor hasn’t won away recently, they have managed to score in the majority of their matches, including against stronger opponents, suggesting that they can at least score a goal against Primorje.

2. Home form of Primorje: Primorje has a low home win rate (20%) with a leaky defense (9 goals conceded in 5 matches). Despite this, they have managed to score in almost all of their recent home matches, including in games where they lost.

3. Betting statistics: The forecast favors a Maribor victory (63.64% likelihood), and suggests a high probability (81.12%) of the match having over 1.5 goals. These two factors, combined with Primorje’s ability to score at home, support the forecast of 1-2.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Primorje has one win in their last 5 home matches, with a 60% draw rate. More significantly, Primorje scores an average of 1.6 goals and concedes 1.4 goals per match at home.

On the other hand, Maribor has no wins away from home in their last 5 matches, with only a 20% draw rate. On average, Maribor only scores 0.8 goals and concedes 1 goal away from home.

Analytics favors Maribor with a 63.64% probability of winning, despite their poor away performance. The most likely outcome is either a draw or a win for Maribor, with a combined probability of 89.51%.

In terms of goals, the highest probability is for there to be over 1.5 goals in the match, at 81.12%. This aligns with the average goals scored in Primorje’s home matches and Maribor’s away matches.

Based on these factors and considering the recent form of each team, a potential outcome could be a draw with over 1.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Primorje, at home, has a rather defensive profile with only a 20% win rate. They have a certain balance between their attack and defense, with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded. Their offensive potential stands at 57% while the defensive is at 50%, a small difference but worth noting.

Maribor, when playing away, has no victories. They struggle to score with less than one goal per match, resulting in an offensive potential of only 29%, while their defense holds up better with an average of 1 goal conceded and a defensive potential of 36%.

The probability of Maribor winning the match stands at 63.64%, higher than that of Primorje at 10.49%, while the draw is at 25.87%. Once again, this favors Maribor.

The trend is confirmed with the bet “Draw or Maribor wins the match” having a success probability of 89.51% compared to 36.36% for “Draw or Primorje wins the match”.

The possibility of a match with over 1.5 goals seems prominent with a success probability of 81.12%. Looking at the scores from Primorje’s recent home matches and Maribor’s away matches, this could be a likely outcome.

The “Both teams score” scenario is at 55.94%, suggesting an open match where each team could find the back of the net.

In conclusion, Maribor appears to have an advantage in this match. A win for Maribor or a draw, with over 1.5 goals and both teams scoring, is a prediction to consider for this match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, despite Maribor’s poor away record, this match seems to favor them due to Primorje’s weak defense at home. A Maribor win or a draw with over 1.5 goals and both teams to score is a prediction to consider for this match. It’s also worth noting the value in the proposition “Draw or Primorje to win the match,” which, although less likely, offers an interesting odds. This analysis highlights the importance of statistics in sports betting, as it’s crucial to take into account teams’ current form, performances at home and away, as well as offensive and defensive potential to make accurate predictions.