Tipps Puebla Atlas Liga MX 20/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Puebla wins the match.

1. Over the last 5 home matches, Puebla has managed to win or draw in 80% of cases, demonstrating a certain level of solidity on their own turf.
2. Looking at Atlas’s last 5 away matches, they have not won any and drawn in 80% of cases, indicating they struggle to win on the road.
3. The odds offered by bookmakers suggest a higher probability of the match ending in either a Puebla win or a draw (66.84% probability of success).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The scoring and conceding statistics of both teams are relatively low, with Puebla averaging 0.8 goals per home match and Atlas 1.4 goals per away match. The average total goals per match for both teams is therefore 2.2 goals, which is below the threshold of 2.5 goals.

2. The recent performances of both teams show a tendency to draw, with Puebla drawing in 60% of home matches and Atlas in 80% of away matches. Draws often result in low scores, which could very likely lead to fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.

3. Based on the last 5 home matches of Puebla and the last 5 away matches of Atlas, the majority of scores for both teams are below 2.5 goals. This supports the prediction of fewer than 2.5 goals for this specific match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. According to statistics, Puebla has scored 6 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Atlas has scored 5 goals in their last 5 away matches, indicating that both teams have the ability to score.

2. Furthermore, Puebla has conceded 8 goals in their last 5 home matches, whereas Atlas has conceded 5 goals in their last 5 away matches, highlighting that their respective defenses may be vulnerable.

3. The calculated probability of both teams scoring is 61.5%, which is high, strengthening the idea that it is a likely scenario based on statistics and probabilities.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Puebla 1-1 Atlas

1. The high percentage of draws: Puebla has a 60% draw rate in their last 5 home matches, while Atlas has an 80% draw rate in their last 5 away matches. This suggests a draw is a likely outcome.

2. The average number of goals per match: Puebla averages 0.8 goals per home match, while Atlas averages 1.4 goals per away match. Additionally, the prediction for “Over 1.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 79.14%. These data indicate there could be at least one goal from each side.

3. Past performances against the opposition: Puebla’s last home match against Atlas ended in a 2-2 draw. This shows both teams are capable of drawing, further supporting the idea of a 1-1 prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Puebla, at home, shows a mediocre performance with a win in 20% of the matches and 60% draws. Their offense scores few goals with only 6, while their defense has some weaknesses with 8 goals conceded.

On the other hand, Atlas seems powerless away from home and struggles to win. They have no victories, but manage to secure a draw in 80% of cases. The offensive and defensive potential is stable with 5 goals scored and 5 conceded.

In terms of statistics, Puebla has a 39.04% chance of winning compared to 33.16% for Atlas. It appears more likely that the match will favor Puebla or end in a draw. This is supported by a 66.84% probability for “Draw or Puebla to win.”

Furthermore, with a probability of 79.14%, the match should see more than 1.5 goals. When examining Puebla’s recent home matches and Atlas’ away matches, this trend is confirmed.

Finally, both teams score in 61.5% of cases. It appears that we can expect a competitive match with goals from both sides.

Taking these elements into consideration, Puebla seems to be the safer choice for this match with a scent of goals in the air.

The potential number of goals

Puebla wins at home in only 20% of the matches, and has an offensive potential of 29%. Its defensive record is also concerning with a rate of 71%. On the other hand, Atlas has not managed to secure a victory away from home but shows stability in both offense and defense, with a potential of 50% in both areas.

In recent home matches for Puebla, an average of 4 goals have been scored, while Atlas’ outings have seen an average of 3.6 goals per match.

The probabilities suggest that the match could be close: Puebla has a 39.04% chance of winning, Atlas 33.16%, and a draw is estimated at 27.81%.

There is a 79.14% probability of over 1.5 goals in the match, and a 61.5% probability of both teams scoring. These two statistics, combined with the recent poor form of both teams, could indicate a match with some goals.

All things considered, a safe bet could be “Under 4.5 goals in the match” with a probability of 91.98% and odds of 1.11. For a slightly riskier approach, “Over 2.5 goals in the match” with a 51.87% chance and odds of 1.90 could be an interesting option.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Puebla and Atlas appears to be heading towards a low-scoring affair with a high likelihood of a draw or a Puebla victory. The data suggests a hard-fought match with goals being scored by both sides, however, they will likely remain below the 2.5 goal mark. The most interesting value bet lies in betting on a draw, supported by the previous match statistics of both teams. As for the exact score, a prediction of 1-1 could be the most plausible considering the low average goals per match reported for both teams. Ultimately, every bettor should take into account the key elements of the analysis while assessing the risks and considering the potential evolution of the situation to make the best possible choice.