Tipps Puebla Club America Liga MX 27/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

America wins the game.

1. America has had better away performance compared to Puebla at home. America has one win and two draws in their last five away matches, while Puebla has not won any of their last five home games.

2. America has better offensive and defensive stats than Puebla. On average, America scores 3.2 goals per match and concedes 1.2 goals per match, whereas Puebla scores 1.6 goals per match and concedes 2.8 goals on average per match.

3. The odds also indicate a high probability of America winning the match, with a probability of 71.43%, compared to 14.29% for Puebla.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Teams’ offensive and defensive potential: Puebla has an offensive potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 100%, while America has an offensive potential of 114% and a defensive potential of 43%. This means both teams tend to score and concede goals frequently, making a match with over 2.5 goals very likely.

2. Teams’ recent match history: The majority of Puebla’s recent home matches and America’s away matches have resulted in a total of over 2.5 goals, indicating a trend towards high-scoring games.

3. Statistical probability: With a probability of 59.18%, bets on over 2.5 goals in the match have a strong chance of success according to the provided statistics.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The statistics show that Puebla has scored in 60% of their last 5 home matches while América has scored in 80% of their last 5 away matches. These figures indicate a high frequency of goals from both sides.

2. América’s offensive potential is very high, with an average of 3.2 goals scored per away match. Puebla, although less effective at home, has still scored an average of 1.6 goals per match. This trend suggests that it is likely for both teams to score.

3. Both teams tend to concede goals, with a defensive potential of 100% for Puebla at home and 43% for América away. This trend of having a leaky defense suggests that there could be opportunities for both teams to score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Puebla wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Puebla 1-3 America

1. Performance statistics analysis clearly shows that America has a better offensive capacity with an average of 3.2 goals scored per away match, which supports the likely success of a final score of 3 goals for America.
2. Despite playing at home, Puebla has struggled to secure victories: they have not won any of their last five home matches. Additionally, they have a vulnerable defense, conceding an average of 2.8 goals per home match, indicating that they could concede at least 3 goals.
3. The odds and success probabilities suggest a high likelihood of America winning the match (71.43%) and a rather high probability of a score exceeding 2.5 goals (59.18%). This trend reinforces the prediction of an exact score of 1-3 in favor of America.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Puebla struggles to get home wins, with 80% of games ending in draws in the last 5 matches. They have conceded almost double the goals (9) they have scored (5).

America shows modest results away from home, with only a 20% win rate. However, they maintain a balance, with eight goals scored and eight goals conceded.

In terms of offense, America has an offensive potential of 114%, higher than Puebla’s 57%. Defensively, Puebla is solid, with a score of 100%, while America’s is 43%.

America is favored with a 71.43% probability of winning the match, compared to 14.29% for Puebla.

When it comes to goals, the match could see a high-scoring affair with a 59.18% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored.

In the last 5 home matches, Puebla has lost four times. For America, in their last 5 away matches, they have scored at least one goal four times.

Combining this information, a safe bet would be America winning or a draw, with an 85.71% chance of success.

The potential number of goals

Puebla struggles to win at home, without a victory in their last 5 matches but with 4 draws. With only 5 goals in 5 matches, the offense is a concern. The defense is even more worrying: 9 goals conceded.

America seems to be in a better position. Away from home, they have one win and 2 draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored 8 goals and conceded the same.

Puebla is on average dominated at home, with 1.6 goals scored per match and 2.8 conceded. Their offensive and defensive potential are 57% and 100% respectively.

On the other hand, America is quite effective away, with 3.2 goals per match and 1.2 conceded. Their offensive potential is 114% and defensive potential is 43%.

Regarding the predictions, Puebla has a 14.29% chance of winning, while America has a probability of 71.43%. Therefore, a match dominated by America is predicted.

In terms of the score, there is a 77.55% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match, and a 59.18% chance for more than 2.5 goals. A goal-rich match is expected.

Finally, in 52.04% of cases, both teams do not score. Previous matches illustrate these trends. Therefore, the predictions favor a match where America would score and not necessarily Puebla.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering all these statistics and analyses, it appears that the April 27, 2024 match between Puebla and America in Liga MX will likely favor America. America’s offensive and defensive superiority, combined with Puebla’s lack of victories at home, make America’s victory almost certain.

For specific bets, the match is likely to see over 2.5 goals, so a bet on over 2.5 goals holds good value. It is also probable that both teams will score, given Puebla’s leaky defense and America’s strong attack.

An interesting value bet would be “Puebla to win or draw,” considering Puebla’s tendency to secure draws at home and America’s inconsistent away performance.

Regarding the score prediction, Puebla 1-3 America could offer good value given the relatively high probability of an America victory and the number of goals typically scored in matches between these two teams.

However, sports betting remains unpredictable and often depends on the current form of the teams, so it is advisable to always bet responsibly.