Tipps Puebla Club Queretaro Liga MX 14/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Puebla wins the match

1. Puebla’s home performance: In their last 5 home matches, Puebla has won or drawn in 80% of cases. With an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 50%, Puebla has already proven that they can hold their own against their opponents on their home turf.

2. Queretaro’s away performance: Queretaro has a very poor away record, having not won any of their last 5 away matches. Additionally, Queretaro has a very low offensive potential of 7% and a defensive potential of 57%, making it harder for them to score and win matches away from home.

3. Statistical probabilities: Based on the provided statistics, the draw or a win for Puebla has a success probability of 73.33%, which is significantly higher than the counterpart (Queretaro’s win or draw with a success probability of 57.95%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent home performances of Puebla and away performances of Queretaro have been low, with an average of 0.8 and 0.2 goals scored respectively. This suggests that both teams are struggling to score, which could result in a low number of goals in the match.
2. The defenses of Puebla and Queretaro seem to be quite solid, with a defensive potential of 50% and 57% respectively. This indicates that both teams are capable of withstanding many opponent’s attacks, which could also limit the number of goals in the match.
3. By examining the success probability statistics for “Under 2.5 goals in the match”, “Under 3.5 goals in the match”, and “Under 4.5 goals in the match”, we see that the probability increases as the number of goals decreases. This suggests that the chances of seeing a match with under 2.5 goals are quite high, supporting this prediction.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The statistics show a low offensive capability of Queretaro in their away matches, averaging only 0.2 goals scored per game in their last 5 matches. This suggests they have a low probability of scoring against Puebla.
2. Puebla, despite having a higher offensive potential at home, averaging 0.8 goals scored per game, also has a solid defensive performance averaging 1.4 goals conceded. This suggests they may potentially prevent Queretaro from scoring.
3. Reviewing Puebla’s recent home matches and Queretaro’s away matches reveals that in several games, one or the other team failed to score. This reinforces the idea that “Both teams to score: No” is a viable prediction.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Puebla 1-0 Queretaro

1. The recent history of the matchup and the performance of both teams supports the exact score of 1-0. Puebla has managed to maintain a strong defense at home, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match, while Queretaro struggles to score away, averaging only 0.2 goals per match.

2. The odds also indicate a higher probability of Puebla winning with a 42.05% chance of victory, while the probability of a draw or Puebla winning the match is 73.33%. This, combined with Queretaro’s poor offensive performance away, supports the idea of a 1-0 scoreline in favor of Puebla.

3. Finally, the probability of less than 1.5 goals in the match is 3.75, which is consistent with the predicted score of 1-0. The probability of both teams not scoring is also favored at 44.62%, further strengthening the argument for a final score of 1-0.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Puebla has struggled to win at home lately, with just one victory in five matches, but often manages to secure a draw (60% of the time). They score few goals (0.8 per match) but also concede few (1.4 per match). Querétaro, on the road, has not had recent success, averaging 0.2 goals per match scored and 1.6 goals per match conceded.

Probabilities favor Puebla to win with a 42.05% chance. A draw is also likely at 31.28%. Querétaro has a lower probability of winning, at just 26.67%.

The majority of Puebla’s matches end with a total of goals under 3.5 (74.36% probability). Both teams score in 55.38% of cases, but there is also a 44.62% chance that they do not score.

In conclusion, the match appears to favor Puebla or a draw, with a possibility of under 3.5 total goals.

The potential number of goals

Puebla has not won many home games, with only 20% of victories and 60% of draws. Their record is balanced with 5 goals scored and 5 conceded. Their offensive capability is at 29% and defensive at 50%.

On the other hand, Queretaro has not won away with 0% victories and 40% draws. Their goal stats are 2 scored and 4 conceded. Their offensive potential is 7%, defensive 57%.

According to probabilities, 42.05% say Puebla will win with odds of 2.00. Draw holds a probability of 31.28% at 3.50 and Queretaro’s victory has a chance of 26.67% at 3.60.

The most likely scenario based on stats is Puebla to win or draw at 73.33%. However, both teams scoring also seems likely at 55.38%.

With an average of 0.8 goals for Puebla and 0.2 for Queretaro, expect a low-scoring match. 70.26% predict more than 1.5 goals while 74.36% anticipate fewer than 3.5 goals.

In summary, Puebla seems to have the advantage, but expect a close and potentially low-scoring match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analysis and statistics suggest that the match between Puebla and Queretaro should end in favor of Puebla or at least result in a draw. Considering the offensive and defensive performances of both teams, the number of goals should be less than 2.5. The BTTS (Both Teams To Score) bet suggests that both teams will not score, offering an interesting betting value. A correct score of 1-0 in favor of Puebla would be a logical deduction from the presented data.

However, it is important to note that sports betting always carries a level of risk and that these pieces of information, although based on detailed analysis and statistics, do not guarantee a correct prediction. It is strongly advised to bet responsibly.