Tipps Puebla Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX 26/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Guadalajara wins the match

1. Guadalajara has a higher winning rate in the last 5 away games than Puebla at home. Guadalajara wins 40% of its away games, whereas Puebla only wins 20% of its home games.

2. Guadalajara’s defensive potential is higher than that of Puebla. In the last 5 matches, they have conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game, which is less than the 2 goals on average conceded per game by Puebla.

3. The forecast gives a higher success probability for Guadalajara. The probability of Guadalajara winning is 54.19%, which is significantly higher than Puebla’s probability of winning at 24.58%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The offensive performances of both teams: Puebla averages 1 goal scored per home match and Guadalajara also averages 1 goal scored per away match, indicating a potential for 2 goals in the match.

2. Betting odds announcement statistics: The probability of over 2.5 goals in the match is 64.25% with odds of 1.55, indicating that high-scoring matches are more common.

3. The lack of defense displayed by both teams: Puebla concedes an average of 2 goals per home match and Guadalajara concedes an average of 1.4 goals away, increasing the likelihood of a total number of goals over 2.5 in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Puebla’s home statistics show that they have scored in their last 5 matches, averaging 1 goal per match. They have also conceded at least 1 goal in each match, indicating a trend for both teams to score when Puebla plays at home.
2. Guadalajara has shown a similar attacking performance away from home, scoring at least 1 goal in 4 of their last 5 matches. They have also conceded at least 1 goal in 3 of these matches, demonstrating a potential for both teams to score when they are on the road.
3. The overall probabilities also support this prediction, with a 66.48% chance of both teams scoring during the match. This suggests that it is more likely for both teams to score rather than not.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Puebla 1-2 Guadalajara.

1. Guadalajara has a higher win rate in their latest away matches compared to Puebla’s home matches (40% wins against 20%), indicating Guadalajara’s stronger ability to secure victory.
2. Statistics show that Puebla concedes on average more goals than they score in their home matches (2 goals conceded against 1 scored on average). Facing Guadalajara, who both scores and concedes an average of 1 goal away from home, a score in favor of Guadalajara seems likely.
3. Recent home matches for Puebla have seen a trend towards over 2.5 goals, with the majority resulting in defeats. When considering Guadalajara’s recent away performances, where they have kept 3 of their last 5 opponents to one goal or less, a 1-2 result in favor of Guadalajara is a realistic prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

The Puebla vs Guadalajara match promises to be thrilling. Puebla, playing at home, struggles to secure wins with only a 20% success rate. They have scored 8 goals but conceded 10. Guadalajara, playing away, seems to be in better shape with a 40% win rate and a balanced record of 5 goals scored and 5 conceded.

Puebla is having defensive difficulties, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. Their 36% offensive potential is not enough. Guadalajara, on the other hand, has a 50% defensive potential and also scores an average of 1 goal per match.

The probability of Guadalajara winning is 54.19% with odds of 1.90. The chances of a draw or a Puebla victory are at 45.81% with the same odds.

The forecast suggests over 1.5 goals in the match with a probability of 85.47% and odds of 1.18. Similarly, over 2.5 goals are expected with a probability of 64.25%.

Puebla will need to improve their defense to counter Guadalajara’s attack and defy the odds. The recent home matches of Puebla and away matches of Guadalajara reflect this challenge.

Overall, an enticing match awaits with a favorable trend for Guadalajara.

The potential number of goals

Puebla at home has recently suffered a string of losses, with only one win in five matches. They have scored 8 goals and conceded 10. Guadalajara playing away has won 2 games, lost 2, and drawn once.

Puebla is struggling defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. Guadalajara, on the other hand, is more solid and also scores an average of 1 goal per match.

Guadalajara is the more likely winner with a 54.19% chance compared to Puebla’s 24.58%. There is also a high probability of over 1.5 goals in the match, at 85.47%.

In summary, Guadalajara appears to be in better form. An away win is predicted, with probably more than 1.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

To conclude, the statistics, win rate, and current physical form all seem to give Guadalajara an advantage for this match against Puebla. The average number of goals also indicates a high probability of the match having over 2.5 goals. The “Both teams to score: Yes” option also seems like a wise bet considering both teams’ recent success in scoring. However, the world of football is unpredictable and despite these predictions, all results are still possible and will depend on match day. Nothing can guarantee the outcome of a match 100%, so it’s best to consider the analyses presented while respecting responsible gambling rules.