Tipps Puebla Pachuca Liga MX 21/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Puebla win the match.

1. Puebla’s home performance: In its last 5 home games, Puebla won 20% of the matches and drew 60% of the time. This means that Puebla avoided losing in 80% of its recent home matches, which is an advantage for the “Puebla wins or draw” prediction.

2. Pachuca’s away performance: In its last 5 away games, Pachuca won no matches and drew only 20% of the time. In addition, Pachuca did not score any goals away, indicating an offensive weakness.

3. Probability odds: According to the odds, there is a 61.25% probability that Puebla wins or there is a draw, which is higher than Pachuca’s win probability (38.75%). This strengthens the argument that “Puebla wins or draw” is a solid prediction.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Recent away performances of Pachuca show a low offensive output with an average of 0.4 goals scored per match. Such a weak offensive performance will likely minimize the total number of goals scored in the match.
2. The recent home record of Puebla in the last 5 matches shows an average of 1.2 goals scored per game. This average, combined with Pachuca’s weak offensive performance away from home, increases the likelihood of a total goals under 2.5.
3. Pachuca’s defensive potential away from home is at 64%, a fairly high rate, which, when combined with their weak offensive potential, is another indicator suggesting a low-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Pachuca’s Lack of Away Performance: Pachuca’s away performances have been poor. They have failed to score in their last 5 away matches, indicating a very limited offensive capability in away situations.
2. Puebla’s Defensive Potential: Puebla has a defensive potential of 43%. This statistic, combined with Pachuca’s weak attack, suggests that Puebla may not concede in this match.
3. Both Teams to Score Statistic: The “both teams to score” prediction has a success probability of 43.12% based on the previous matches’ statistics of both teams, which is a strong argument to support this prediction.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match: 1.83

Bet on the exact result

Puebla 1-0 Pachuca

1. Pachuca’s recent away performances have been very poor, with an 80% loss rate in their last 5 matches and 0 goals scored. This indicates a weak away offense and a potentially vulnerable defense.

2. Puebla, although not having spectacular home performances, has still managed to score goals in 80% of their last 5 home matches (scoring a total of 6 goals). Therefore, their offensive performance seems solid enough to score against Pachuca.

3. The odds are leaning towards a low-scoring match. With the bet “Under 1.5 goals in the match” offering odds of 3.30 and a success probability of 75.63% for “Over 1.5 goals in the match,” this reinforces the idea of a low-scoring match. Therefore, a correct score of 1-0 for Puebla seems like a reasonable prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Puebla has an average performance at home, winning 20% of their matches and drawing 60%. They have scored 6 goals, averaging 1.2 per match with an offensive potential of 43%. Pachuca, on the other hand, has not shone away from home, with no wins and only 20% draws. They have not scored any goals.

Puebla’s home scores show a weak defense, conceding 8 goals (1.6 per match) with a defensive potential of 43%. Pachuca is not much better, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match with a defensive potential of 64%.

There is a 33.13% probability of Puebla winning the match, compared to 38.75% for Pachuca. However, the likelihood of a draw or a Puebla win is 61.25%.

A total of over 1.5 goals in the match has a probability of 75.63%. This is indicative of the expected offensive energy in this match.

Puebla’s recent home matches show a struggle to win, with a tendency towards close scores. Pachuca’s away performances have not been good, usually losing without scoring.

The analysis suggests that the safest bet could be “Under 3.5 goals” with a probability of 96.88%. However, a bold bet could be “Puebla to win” with odds of 2.95 given Pachuca’s defensive challenges.

The potential number of goals

Here is the translated text in English:

“Here are the pivot data for our analysis:
Puebla has won 20% of their home matches. They also manage to score in 60% of their matches. However, they have conceded 8 goals in their last 5 matches. This is interesting.
For Pachuca, it’s a bit tough. They have not yet won any away matches. Their attacks have not scored in their last 5 matches. Something to keep an eye on.
Puebla’s offensive potential at home is at 43%, with a similar defensive performance. On the other hand, Pachuca lacks offensive power at only 14%, but their defense is solid at 64%.
The odds are tight: Puebla at 33.13%, draw at 28.13%, and Pachuca at 38.75%. Betting on a draw or Pachuca is a safe option at 66.88%.
We can expect less than 3.5 goals in the match with a 96.88% probability.
Based on recent matches, Puebla can score but also concede. Pachuca, on the other hand, struggles to score.
Conclusion: Pachuca’s defense could pose a challenge to Puebla. However, considering Pachuca’s recent offensive performance, a draw or less than 3.5 goals seems like a probable prediction.”

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the detailed analysis of the upcoming match between Puebla and Pachuca, several key conclusions can be drawn.

Firstly, taking into account Puebla’s home performances and Pachuca’s away performances, it seems wise to bet on a draw or a Puebla win. Moreover, the probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in this match is high given the limited offensive performances of both teams. The bet “both teams to not score” also appears to be a safe option based on statistics.

In terms of betting value, betting on “under 2.5 goals in the match” seems particularly interesting at odds of 1.83. Similarly, a bet on the exact score of 1-0 in favor of Puebla is reasonable, as the current trend points towards a low-scoring match.

Lastly, it is worth noting that while Pachuca shows a solid defensive performance at 64%, their lack of offensive strength away from home could allow Puebla, with their relatively stable home performances, to score one or two goals. Therefore, betting on Puebla to win the match or a draw seems to be the most convincing prediction for this match.

Overall, opting for bets with fewer goals seems to be the safest strategy for this Puebla vs Pachuca match. However, sports betting should always be approached with caution, given the inherent uncertainties in any sporting competition.