Tipps Qarabag Dinamo Zagreb UEFA Champions League 28/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the data analysis, my prediction is “Draw or Qarabag wins the match”.

1. Qarabag’s offensive and defensive potential: In its last 5 home matches, Qarabag has shown its offensive strength by scoring an average of 3 goals per match, while its defense concedes an average of 1.6 goals per match. This gives Qarabag an offensive potential of 107% and a defensive potential of 57%, statistics that enhance the chances of the “Draw or Qarabag win” outcome.

2. Dinamo Zagreb’s recent away record: Although Zagreb has won 100% of its last 5 away matches, these performances have been against teams likely less competitive than Qarabag. The latter has a strong home record, winning 60% and drawing 40% of the time.

3. Probability percentage: The calculated probability for “Draw or Qarabag win the match” is the highest among all options, at 76.51%. With such a probability, one can reasonably expect a result in favor of Qarabag or a draw.

Taken together, these three points provide a clear and logical perspective for the prediction of “Draw or Qarabag win the match”.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The recent performances of both teams show a strong offensive intensity, with an average of 3 goals scored per match both for Qarabag at home and Dinamo Zagreb away. This indicates a high potential for the match to end with over 2.5 goals.
2. Defensive statistics reveal that Qarabag has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per home match, while Dinamo Zagreb has conceded 0.4 goals on average in their away matches. This trend of conceding goals, especially on Qarabag’s side, is another indicator favoring a match with over 2.5 goals.
3. Considering the odds, the prediction of “over 2.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 60.4% with odds of 1.58, which is comparatively higher than “under 2.5 goals in the match”. This suggests that the market also expects a high-scoring match, further supporting the prediction of over 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The statistics show that Qarabag and Dinamo Zagreb both have an average of 3 goals scored per match, indicating that both teams have a strong ability to score goals.

2. Qarabag has scored goals in all of their last 5 home matches, while Dinamo Zagreb has also scored goals in all of their last 5 away matches. This suggests that it is likely that both teams will score goals in this match.

3. The probability of both teams scoring is 68.46%, which is relatively high, further reinforcing the idea that both teams will score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 29.53% chance of success: 4.05

Bet on the exact result

Qarabag 2-2 Dinamo Zagreb

1. The recent performances of both teams show a strong trend, with an average of 3 goals scored by Qarabag and Dinamo Zagreb in their respective last 5 matches. This suggests that both teams are capable of scoring goals, increasing the likelihood of a match with at least 4 total goals.

2. Both teams have a high probability of scoring goals, with a success probability of 68.46% for both teams to score. This indicates that both teams have a strong attacking ability, which could result in a 2-2 scoreline.

3. Despite Dinamo Zagreb’s excellent performance away from home, Qarabag has also shown good resistance at home, with victories in 60% of their home matches. The probability of a draw is also quite high, at 29.53%. Taking these factors into account, a draw with a score of 2-2 seems possible given the relative strength of both teams.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Qarabag remains strong at home, boasting a 60% win rate. However, their defense has shown weaknesses, conceding 14 goals in 5 matches. Dinamo Zagreb, with a perfect away record, seems hard to stop. Their defense is solid, allowing only 0.4 goals per match.

Both Qarabag and Dinamo Zagreb have attacking potentials of 107%, hinting at a potentially high-scoring game. Nonetheless, Dinamo Zagreb’s strong defense, with a defensive potential of 14%, could pose a challenge for Qarabag.

The odds slightly favor Qarabag with a 46.98% chance of winning and odds of 1.95. On the other hand, Dinamo Zagreb has a 23.49% chance of victory with odds of 3.30. The most probable outcome is a draw or a Qarabag win, with a 76.51% probability and odds of 1.33.

The match is expected to see at least 1.5 goals scored, with an 87.25% likelihood and odds of 1.19. The probability of both teams scoring and the match going over 2.5 goals are 68.46% (odds at 1.55) and 60.4% (odds at 1.58), respectively.

In conclusion, a tight match between Qarabag and Dinamo Zagreb is expected. While Dinamo Zagreb is a formidable away team, Qarabag’s home advantage could make the difference. Expect to see multiple goals and both teams finding the net.

The potential number of goals

Qarabag team, playing at home, has a mixed record with 60% wins and 40% draws. Their offensive potential is rated at 107%, while their defense concedes an average of 1.6 goals per game, representing a defensive ratio of 57%. In terms of goals, they have scored 11 times and conceded 14 goals.

Dinamo Zagreb is impressive away from home with 100% wins. Their offensive potential matches that of Qarabag (107%) but their defense is much more solid, conceding only 0.4 goals on average per game. They have scored 11 goals and conceded the same number.

The probabilities suggest a 47% chance of victory for Qarabag against 23% for Dinamo Zagreb. A draw is considered with a 30% probability.

Regarding goals, there is an 87% probability of a match with over 1.5 goals. This suggests a potentially high-scoring game, supported by the 68% probability of both teams scoring.

Based on these figures, one can predict an exciting game, with a slight edge for Qarabag. It would be wise to bet on a match exceeding 1.5 goals, with the likelihood of both teams scoring during the game.

Additionally, a Qarabag win or a draw has a high probability of 77% and could be an interesting betting option.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In summary, this forecast suggests that the match between Qarabag and Dinamo Zagreb is likely to be tight and high-scoring. Although Dinamo Zagreb has shown impressive performances away from home, the home advantage could give Qarabag the edge needed to secure a draw or a win. Statistics also indicate a high probability that both teams will score during the match, making the prediction of over 1.5 goals particularly appealing to bettors. Overall, it’s a game that promises to be exciting, with multiple opportunities for smart and potentially profitable bets.