Tipps QPR Millwall Championship 21/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Queens Park Rangers win the match

1. Queens Park Rangers have a high probability of success when playing at home, with either a win or a draw occurring in 60% of cases in their last 5 matches. Additionally, they have a success rate of 76.68% when betting on either a draw or a win for them.

2. In comparison, Millwall has a lower winning percentage when playing away, winning only 40% of their last 5 matches. They score an average of 1.2 goals per match and concede an average of 1.2 goals per match, showing some inconsistency in their performance.

3. The average goals scored per match for both teams is 1.2, suggesting that the matches could be tight, further pushing the probability towards either a draw or a win for Queens Park Rangers. Additionally, analysis of the teams’ recent matches shows a more positive trend on the side of Queens Park Rangers compared to Millwall.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The teams have a low average of goals scored and conceded per match, with Queens Park Rangers and Millwall both at 1.2 in both offense and defense. This suggests a tendency towards a low-scoring match.
2. Queens Park Rangers’ home performance and Millwall’s away performance are not particularly offensive. Queens Park Rangers have scored 4 goals in 5 home matches, while Millwall have scored 7 goals in 5 away matches.
3. The recent history of both teams shows a cumulative score generally below 2.5 goals. For example, in Queens Park Rangers’ last five home matches, four have had less than 2.5 goals. Similarly, three of Millwall’s last five away matches have had less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The statistics of both teams show a significant trend of scoring and conceding goals. In their respective last 5 matches, Queens Park Rangers has scored 4 goals and conceded 5 goals, while Millwall has scored 7 goals and conceded 9 goals. These data indicate that both teams have a habit of both scoring and conceding goals.

2. The teams’ recent results also show that “Yes” on both teams to score is a possibility. In several recent matches, both teams have managed to score: Queens Park Rangers scored in 3 of their last 5 home matches and Millwall in 4 of their last 5 away matches.

3. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams is comparable, with 43% for each team, implying a relatively balanced level of scoring and conceding ability, increasing the chances of both teams scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Queens Park Rangers 1 – 1 Millwall

1. Recent results show that Queens Park Rangers at home and Millwall away tend to have drawn matches or games with small goal differences. Queens Park Rangers has drawn 60% of their recent home matches, while Millwall has drawn 20% of their away matches. Additionally, the scores of these recent matches suggest a relatively balanced ratio of goals scored/conceded for both teams.

2. The average goals scored and conceded per match for both teams are identical, at 1.2 goals per match. This indicates a high likelihood of a low-scoring game, supporting the prediction of a 1-1 draw.

3. Calculated probabilities for various outcomes indicate that the most likely result of the match is either a win for Queens Park Rangers or a draw. However, a Queens Park Rangers victory is only likely at 43.52%, while a draw has a probability of 33.16%. Combined with other statistics, this supports the prediction of a 1-1 draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Queens Park Rangers have struggled to win at home. They have had a 0% win rate and 60% draw rate in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 goals and conceding 5.

On the other hand, Millwall has shown a better away win rate. They have a 40% win rate, 20% draw rate, scored 7 goals, and conceded 9 in their last 5 matches.

Both Queens Park Rangers and Millwall average the same number of goals scored and conceded per match (1.2). They also have equal offensive and defensive potential (43%).

The odds suggest that Queens Park Rangers have a higher chance (43.52%) of winning, with a draw (33.16%) being more likely than a Millwall victory (23.32%). Considering the probabilities, betting on a draw or a Queens Park Rangers win (76.68%) seems safer.

Regarding the number of goals, there is a 68.39% chance of seeing over 1.5 goals in the match. The likelihood of the match having fewer than 4.5 goals is higher (96.37%).

Based on these statistics, the most prudent bet would likely be “Draw or Queens Park Rangers to win the match” or “Under 4.5 goals in the match.”

However, the best approach is to thoroughly analyze all data before placing any bets. Every match is unique and not solely determined by statistics.

The potential number of goals

Queens Park Rangers have been struggling at home. They have not won any of their last 5 games, mostly drawing. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 5.

Millwall isn’t doing any better away, with only a 40% success rate. They have scored 7 goals but conceded 9.

The offensive and defensive potential of the two teams is balanced, both at 43%.

In terms of predictions, Queens Park Rangers are more likely to win with a 43.52% probability, but a draw is also quite likely at 33.16%.

The match is likely to have few goals. There is a 68.39% chance of over 1.5 goals, but it drops to 36.79% for over 2.5 goals.

It is very likely that there will be less than 3.5 goals, with a probability of 84.46%.

Each team has approximately a 50% chance of scoring.

In summary, a tight and possibly low-scoring match is expected between Queens Park Rangers and Millwall.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the detailed statistical analysis and recent performances of both teams, the match between Queens Park Rangers and Millwall is likely to be very tight. The statistics indicate a strong possibility of a draw or a win for Queens Park Rangers. Moreover, it is highly probable that the match will see fewer than 2.5 goals, suggesting a low-scoring game. There is also a good chance that both teams will score.

However, it is important to remember that football is unpredictable, and while these indications are based on statistical analysis, they do not guarantee a precise result. It is essential for every bettor to consider other factors such as playing conditions, player injuries, and the current form of the players.

In summary, the safest betting option appears to be “Draw or Queens Park Rangers win the match” or “Under 2.5 goals in the match.” However, there is no 100% safe bet, so every bettor should wager thoughtfully and responsibly.