Tipps Radomlje Celje Prva Liga - Slovenie 18/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Celje wins the match”

1. Celje has a better away match performance, winning 60% of their matches compared to Radomlje’s 40% at home.
2. Celje also has a higher offensive potential (57%) compared to Radomlje (36%), meaning they are more likely to score goals.
3. The calculated success probability for Celje winning the match is higher (43.68%) compared to Radomlje’s (26.44%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Goal History: In their last 5 respective matches, Radomlje has scored 5 goals and conceded 6, while Celje has scored 10 and conceded 11. These statistics indicate a strong trend towards high-scoring games for both teams, increasing the likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match.

2. Offensive and Defensive Performance: Radomlje and Celje have shown high offensive and defensive potential in their previous matches. At home, Radomlje averages 1 goal scored per match and also concedes an average of 1 goal per match; likewise, away from home Celje scores an average of 1.6 goals per match and also concedes an average of 1.6 goals. This consistency in scoring and conceding further increases the likelihood of at least 3 goals in the match.

3. Bookmakers’ Odds: According to bookmakers’ odds, there is a 54.6% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match. These odds are determined by experts who take into account numerous factors such as past performances, team statistics, head-to-head history, etc. Their prediction favors a match with over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent Statistics: Both teams have shown the ability to score and concede goals in their respective last 5 matches. Radomlje scored 5 goals and conceded 6, while Celje scored 10 goals and conceded 11. This indicates a certain balance in both teams’ offensive and defensive capabilities, which could lead to a match where both teams score.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Radomlje has a 36% offensive potential and a 36% defensive potential at home, while Celje has a 57% offensive potential and a 57% defensive potential away. With this trend, it is likely that each team will manage to score at least one goal.

3. Head-to-Head History: Looking at each team’s recent matches, Radomlje has scored at least one goal in 4 of their last 5 home matches, and Celje has done the same in their last 5 away matches. This demonstrates a certain consistency in scoring goals, which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Radomlje 1-2 Celje

1. Taking into account the recent performance of the teams: The fact that Radomlje wins 40% of the time at home, while Celje wins 60% of the time away, coupled with the higher probability (43.68%) of Celje winning the match, may indicate that Celje could have an advantage in this match.

2. Evaluating the offensive and defensive capabilities of the teams: Celje has an average of 1.6 goals per away match with an offensive potential of 57%, which is higher than Radomlje’s average of 1 goal per home match with an offensive potential of 36%. This difference could mean that Celje could score more goals than Radomlje.

3. Examining goal trends: Trends suggest that more than 2.5 goals are scored in the match with a probability of 54.6%. Combined with the probability of 62.07% that both teams score, this indicates that a score of 1-2 could be plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Radomlje wins 40% of its home matches, with a total of 5 goals scored. However, they have also conceded 6 goals, indicating defensive weaknesses.

On the other hand, Celje wins 60% of its away matches, and has managed to score 10 goals. However, they have also conceded 11 goals, showing a weak defensive performance.

On average, Radomlje scores and concedes 1 goal per match at home, while Celje scores and concedes 1.6 goals away. This statistic suggests a real chance of both teams scoring in the match.

The odds suggest that Celje has a 43.68% probability of winning this match, compared to 26.44% for Radomlje. A draw is also possible, with a probability of 29.89%.

There is a high probability (79.31%) of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match, which is consistent with the offensive performance of both teams.

Considering their recent matches, Radomlje has shown a trend of mixed results at home, while Celje has displayed strong form away.

In conclusion, the match could be close, but Celje seems to be in better form and may have an advantage. However, the defensive performance of each team suggests the possibility of goals from both sides.

The potential number of goals

Radomlje shows a varied performance at home, with a 40% win rate and an equal number of draws. They have scored 5 goals but conceded one more, indicating a fragile defense.

On the other hand, Celje is stronger away from home, winning 60% of their matches and scoring twice as many goals as Radomlje, with 10 goals, although their defense has also let in 11 goals.

The analysis indicates that Celje has a strong offensive potential at 57%, compared to Radomlje’s 36%. These numbers are reflected defensively, with both teams showing vulnerabilities.

The probability suggests that Celje will win with a 43.68% chance, compared to 26.44% for Radomlje. A draw seems equally possible with a probability of 29.89%.

It is highly likely, at 79.31%, that there will be more than 1.5 goals in the match, and a 54.6% chance that this number will exceed 2.5 goals. Both teams have a 62.07% chance of scoring.

The recent home matches of Radomlje and away matches of Celje support the statistics, with high scores and shared victories.

Based on these data, the match promises to be offensive with a tendency to favor Celje, despite porous defenses on both sides.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the most plausible prediction would be Celje’s victory, considering their away match performances and superior offensive potential. With a success probability of 43.68% for a Celje win against 26.44% for Radomlje, the numbers clearly favor Celje.

It is also likely that the match will end with over 2.5 goals, especially as statistics show a strong tendency for high-scoring matches for both teams. Bookmakers’ odds with a success probability of 54.6% for over 2.5 goals also support this prediction.

Both teams scoring is highly probable, given their respective offensive and defensive potential, as well as their ability to score and concede goals in their recent matches.

For an interesting value bet, a draw could be an option to consider, considering the balance displayed by both teams in their offensive and defensive performances.

For the exact score, a 1-2 result in favor of Celje seems plausible considering the teams’ recent performance and goal trends.

In short, this match promises to be competitive and captivating with a strong offensive trend and the likelihood of goals from both sides. However, based on trends and statistics, Celje seems to have a slight advantage to win the match.