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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Real Madrid AC Milan
Tipps Real Madrid AC Milan UEFA Champions League 05/11/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
Real Madrid wins the match.
1. Statistically speaking, Real Madrid has a stronger form than AC Milan, with 80% home win rate compared to Milan AC’s 20% away win rate in their respective last 5 matches.
2. Real Madrid has a superior offensive and defensive potential compared to AC Milan: averaging 1.8 goals scored per match against Milan AC’s mere 1 goal, and 1.6 goals conceded per match against Milan AC’s 1.2. This translates to a 64% offensive potential and 57% defensive potential for Real Madrid, versus 36% and 43% for AC Milan, respectively.
3. In terms of calculated probabilities, the probability of Real Madrid winning the match is 59.68%, significantly higher than the probability of AC Milan winning the match (18.55%). Therefore, betting on Real Madrid to win offers a better return on investment.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
Over 2.5 goals in the match
1. Real Madrid has an average of 1.8 goals scored at home per match in their last 5 matches with an offensive efficiency percentage of 64%. This indicates a strong likelihood that they will score at least 2 goals.
2. AC Milan has scored a total of 6 goals in their last 5 away matches, averaging 1.2 goals per match. Combining this average with that of Real Madrid, we exceed the expected 2.5 goals.
3. There is a 61.29% probability of scoring more than 2.5 goals in the match, demonstrating a tendency to have high-scoring matches when these two teams meet.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: Yes
1. Historical scores analysis: Statistics show a clear trend towards a high frequency of goals for both teams, with Real Madrid having an offensive potential of 64% and AC Milan with an offensive potential of 36%. These numbers indicate that both teams have good chances of scoring in their encounter.
2. Vulnerable defense: The defense of these two teams has shown weaknesses, as evidenced by the number of goals conceded. Real Madrid has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per home match, while AC Milan has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per away match.
3. Betting probabilities: Based on the provided odds, there is a 62.9% probability for both teams to score. This probability, coupled with the past performances of both teams, supports the prediction that both teams will score in this match.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Draw or AC Milan wins the match – 2.68
1. The Real Madrid has shown weak defense at home in their last 5 matches: they have conceded more goals than they have scored. With 15 goals conceded and only 14 goals scored, this indicates their vulnerability in defense, providing an opportunity for AC Milan to score.
2. There is a chance that AC Milan could secure a draw or a win, as they have managed to secure a draw or a win in 40% of their last 5 away matches. Even though their away performance is not very strong, their defensive potential of 43% is higher than their offensive potential of 36%, which could help contain Real Madrid’s attack.
3. Looking at the probabilities, the draw or AC Milan’s win has a success probability of 40.32%, which is higher than the probability of their win alone. So, while Milan does not have a strong probability of winning on their own, adding the probability of a draw significantly improves the odds, hence the potential advantage of this bet. The odds of 2.68 also make it attractive from a value perspective.
Bet on the exact result
Real Madrid 2-1 AC Milan
1. The home victory statistics of Real Madrid are impressive with a success rate of 59.68%. In their last 5 home matches, Real Madrid has won in 80% of cases, clearly giving them an advantage over AC Milan.
2. AC Milan has weaker performances away from home, only winning in 20% of their last 5 matches on the road. Furthermore, they have a lower defensive rate at 43%, compared to Real Madrid’s offensive strength at 64%.
3. On average, Real Madrid has scored 1.8 goals per match at home in their last 5 matches, while Milan has conceded an average of 1.2 goals away. Combined with the high probability (84.68%) of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match and the probability of both teams scoring (62.9%), a scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Real is a reasonable prediction.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
The Real Madrid is strong at home with a win rate of 80% in its last 5 matches. However, it has conceded more goals than it has scored (15 against 14). Its offensive potential is 64% and defensive potential is 57%.
AC Milan struggles away from home, winning only 20% of its last 5 matches. It has scored 6 goals and conceded 8. Its offensive potential is 36% and defensive potential is 43%.
The odds favor Real Madrid with a 59.68% probability of winning. A draw also seems possible with a 21.77% chance. AC Milan has an 18.55% chance of causing an upset.
It is more likely to see over 1.5 goals in the match (84.68%). Both teams have a 62.9% chance of scoring.
The previous encounter between Real Madrid and Barcelona seems to be an anomaly with a final score of 0-4. Before that match, Real Madrid had an average of 3.5 goals per match in the last 4 matches.
AC Milan has struggled in its previous away games, losing 3 of the last 5 matches on the road.
This trend gives Real Madrid a clear advantage while also indicating a probability of over 1.5 goals in the match.
The potential number of goals
In their last 5 home matches, Real Madrid has shown a good performance with 80% wins and 20% draws. They have scored 14 goals but also conceded 15. Their offensive and defensive strengths are at 64% and 57% respectively.
On the other hand, AC Milan is less successful away from home, winning only 20% of their matches and drawing 20% of the time. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 8. Their offensive potential is low at 36%, and their defensive potential is at 43%.
Our data suggests there is a 59.68% chance of Real Madrid winning the match, and an 84.68% probability of there being over 1.5 goals in the match. Additionally, there is a 62.9% probability of both teams scoring.
Looking at their previous performances, it is worth noting that Real Madrid suffered a heavy defeat against Barcelona but also secured impressive wins against teams like Borussia Dortmund and Villarreal. In contrast, AC Milan held their own against Inter Milan but lost to Bayer Leverkusen and Fiorentina.
In conclusion, Real Madrid appears to be the favorite to win this match, but there is a strong likelihood that both teams will score. Caution is advised, however, given the inconsistency in the past performances of both teams.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
In view of this match between Real Madrid and AC Milan, based on statistical data and past match history, the analysis presents the following parameters for this upcoming duel:
– Real Madrid, performing well at home, appears to be the favorite with a 59.68% probability of winning. However, Real’s defense has shown weaknesses, which could give AC Milan a chance to score.
– On the other hand, AC Milan struggles away from home and generally scores less. Nevertheless, the team has shown that they can resist and score in their previous matches.
– Taking into account the offensive capabilities of both teams, more than 2.5 goals are expected in this match, with a 61.29% probability.
– There is also a strong chance that both teams will manage to score during the match, with a 62.9% probability.
– As for the exact score, the suggested prediction is a 2-1 victory for Real Madrid.
In conclusion, even though Real Madrid is favored for this home match, one should not discount a potential reaction from AC Milan. Furthermore, the offensive play of these two teams suggests a match with a total goals exceeding 2.5. It is also very likely that both teams will score. Regarding the value bet, the choice would lean towards “Draw or AC Milan wins the match”.
Keep in mind that while these sports predictions are based on statistics and prediction models, they always carry a risk. Therefore, it is recommended to bet responsibly.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Real Madrid against AC Milan on 05/11/2024
1. Statistically speaking, Real Madrid has a stronger form than AC Milan, with 80% home win rate compared to Milan AC’s 20% away win rate in their respective last 5 matches.
2. Real Madrid has a superior offensive and defensive potential compared to AC Milan: averaging 1.8 goals scored per match against Milan AC’s mere 1 goal, and 1.6 goals conceded per match against Milan AC’s 1.2. This translates to a 64% offensive potential and 57% defensive potential for Real Madrid, versus 36% and 43% for AC Milan, respectively.
3. In terms of calculated probabilities, the probability of Real Madrid winning the match is 59.68%, significantly higher than the probability of AC Milan winning the match (18.55%). Therefore, betting on Real Madrid to win offers a better return on investment.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Real Madrid vs AC Milan match!
To not miss anything from the Real Madrid vs AC Milan match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 05/11/2024 in the UEFA Champions League live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Real Madrid vs AC Milan
Lineups Real Madrid
Lineups AC Milan
Match Highlights Real Madrid vs AC Milan on 05/11/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Real Madrid vs AC Milan match on 05/11/2024 at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Real Madrid and AC Milan
All statistics for the match between Real Madrid and AC Milan will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Real Madrid against AC Milan!
Form state of Real Madrid in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Real Madrid has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Real Madrid has a form rating of %.
Form state of AC Milan in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, AC Milan has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that AC Milan has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Real Madrid against AC Milan!
Average goals scored by Real Madrid in the current season.
Goals scored by Real Madrid in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Real Madrid
Real Madrid has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Real Madrid in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Real Madrid
Real Madrid has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by AC Milan in the current season
Goals scored by AC Milan in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by AC Milan
AC Milan has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by AC Milan in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by AC Milan
AC Milan has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Real Madrid and AC Milan, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Real Madrid vs AC Milan: Probabilities for the outcome
1. Real Madrid has an average of 1.8 goals scored at home per match in their last 5 matches with an offensive efficiency percentage of 64%. This indicates a strong likelihood that they will score at least 2 goals.
2. AC Milan has scored a total of 6 goals in their last 5 away matches, averaging 1.2 goals per match. Combining this average with that of Real Madrid, we exceed the expected 2.5 goals.
3. There is a 61.29% probability of scoring more than 2.5 goals in the match, demonstrating a tendency to have high-scoring matches when these two teams meet.
Forecast results from winflix for Real Madrid and AC Milan!
The last 5 winning predictions für Real Madrid
The last 5 winning predictions für AC Milan
How do I find the best forecast for Real Madrid AC Milan?
Finding a forecast for the Real Madrid AC Milan match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Real Madrid AC Milan on 05/11/2024 in Estadio Santiago Bernabéu are the team's past performance in the UEFA Champions League, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Real Madrid at home and AC Milan away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 05/11/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Real Madrid and AC Milan on 05/11/2024, you should examine their recent results in the UEFA Champions League, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Real Madrid could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Real Madrid and AC Milan, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Real Madrid and the away win rate of AC Milan, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 05/11/2024!
The individual performances of players from Real Madrid and AC Milan can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 05/11/2024 at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Real Madrid and AC Milan, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Real Madrid or AC Milan on 05/11/2024.
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