Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Real Madrid Alaves
1. Match history: Real Madrid has won a large majority of their recent home matches with a very strong offensive performance. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per match and conceded only 1 goal per match, giving Real Madrid a solid advantage at home compared to Alavés.
2. Recent performance: Recent performances can be an indicator of a team’s potential. In this aspect, Real Madrid has shown better form than Alavés, with a success rate of 70.98% for this match. This further enhances Real Madrid’s chances of winning the game.
3. Comparison of offensive and defensive efficiency: Real Madrid has higher offensive potential than Alavés (79% vs. 57%), and is also stronger defensively (36% vs. 29%). This suggests that Real Madrid is in a better position to score and withstand the opponent’s pressure.
1. The Real Madrid team averages 2.2 goals per home match, a statistic that places them well above the average needed to reach the 2.5 goals on their own.
2. Alavès has an average of 1.6 goals scored in their away matches, a figure when combined with that of Real Madrid easily exceeds the 2.5 goal mark required to win the bet.
3. The overall success rate of the “Over 2.5 goals in the match” bet based on the provided data is 63.73%, a significantly higher rate than its alternative (Under 2.5 goals), making it a safer choice on paper.
1. Alavès has a weak offensive potential away from home, averaging 1.6 goals scored per match and keeping a clean sheet in three of their last five away matches. This indicates a lower probability for them to score against Real Madrid.
2. Real Madrid has a strong home defense, conceding on average only 1 goal per match and allowing just 13 goals in their last five home matches. This shows a strong ability to keep a clean sheet against teams like Alavès.
3. Probability statistics also favor this hypothesis, as “Both teams to score – No” has a success probability of 51.81% compared to “Both teams to score – Yes” which has a success probability of 48.19%.
1. Real Madrid tends to concede a lot of goals at home, as shown in their last 5 matches where they scored 13 goals but also conceded 13.
2. In their last 5 away matches, Alavés has a low win rate (20%) but an equivalent draw rate (20%), indicating that they can withstand the opposition, especially when playing away.
3. The draw has a relatively low success probability at 18.65%, but the odds are quite high at 5.50, meaning the potential return on such a bet could be quite interesting in terms of value.
1. Historical home performance of Real Madrid: Madrid has won 80% of their recent home matches, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game. They have also managed to score more than 2 goals in 3 out of their last 5 matches, indicating a strong potential to score 3 goals against Alavés.
2. Poor away performance of Alavés: Alavés has only won 20% of their recent away matches and scores an average of 1.6 goals per game. Furthermore, they have failed to score in 3 out of their last 5 away matches, indicating a weak offensive potential against Real Madrid.
3. Scoring probabilities: The probability of the match having more than 2.5 goals is 63.73%. This, combined with the fact that Real Madrid has an offensive potential of 79%, strongly suggests that Madrid may score 3 goals. Similarly, with a 48.19% probability of both teams scoring, there is a reasonable chance that Alavés may also score.
Real Madrid, at home, is showing solid form. Wins in 80% of the last 5 matches. Impressive offensive power with 13 goals.
Alavés, away, is less impressive. Only 20% recent wins. Averaging only 1 goal scored in 5 matches.
A high average of 2.2 goals per match is noticed for Madrid. Alavés, on the other hand, scores less with an average of 1.6 goals per away match.
Real Madrid has a 70.98% chance of winning according to the probabilities. Alavés has only a 10.36% chance of victory.
There is an 80.83% probability of a match with over 1.5 goals.
Analyzing Real Madrid’s previous matches: they have scored at least 2 goals in every match.
Alavés, on the other hand, struggles to score away.
In conclusion, Real Madrid is favored to win this match based on the statistics.
In their last 5 home matches, Real Madrid has shown strong performances. Especially with an 80% win rate, showcasing their dominance at home. However, there are concerns regarding their defense, having conceded 13 goals.
On the other hand, Alavés struggles away from home. In their last 5 away matches, the team has only won one game (20%) and suffered several defeats. Alavés’ offensive performances away from home are also weak, with only 1 goal scored.
Statistics also reflect the offensive and defensive potential of both teams. Real Madrid, at home, has an offensive potential of 79% compared to Alavés’ 57% away from home. However, Alavés has a better defense with a defensive potential of 29% compared to Real Madrid’s 36%.
In terms of match outcome probabilities, Real Madrid appears to be the favorite with a 70.98% chance of winning. A draw is less likely (18.65%) and an Alavés victory seems improbable (10.36%).
It is also worth noting that there is an 80.83% probability of seeing more than 1.5 goals and a 63.73% probability of seeing more than 2.5 goals in the match. This suggests a potentially offensive game. Both teams have approximately the same probability of scoring or not scoring, with a slight advantage for the scenario where they do not score (51.81%).
In conclusion, everything indicates that a Real Madrid victory is the most likely outcome. However, the club’s defense must be solid to contain Alavés, who could cause an upset.
Based on the detailed analysis and multiple factors considered, this statistical and probabilistic study suggests a probable domination of Real Madrid in their home match against Alavés. The offensive and defensive performance of Real Madrid at home, compared to that of Alavés away, puts the Madrid team in a position of strength.
Furthermore, it is likely that the match will end with over 2.5 goals given the offensive performances of both teams and historical statistics. However, the match may not see goals from both sides, as Alavés has a weaker offensive performance away and Real Madrid has a solid defense at home.
In terms of value bet, a draw could be interesting despite a lower probability, due to the high odds offered. Finally, the most probable correct score would be a 3-1 victory for Real Madrid.
Nevertheless, it is important to remember that sports betting always involves an element of uncertainty, and even though this article provides a detailed analysis based on statistics and probabilities, football match results can be unpredictable. It is advisable to bet responsibly.
1. Match history: Real Madrid has won a large majority of their recent home matches with a very strong offensive performance. They have scored an average of 2.2 goals per match and conceded only 1 goal per match, giving Real Madrid a solid advantage at home compared to Alavés.
2. Recent performance: Recent performances can be an indicator of a team’s potential. In this aspect, Real Madrid has shown better form than Alavés, with a success rate of 70.98% for this match. This further enhances Real Madrid’s chances of winning the game.
3. Comparison of offensive and defensive efficiency: Real Madrid has higher offensive potential than Alavés (79% vs. 57%), and is also stronger defensively (36% vs. 29%). This suggests that Real Madrid is in a better position to score and withstand the opponent’s pressure.
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In its last 5 matches, the team Real Madrid has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Real Madrid has a form rating of %.
In its last 5 matches, Alaves has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Alaves has a form rating of %.
Goal prediction for goals scored by Real Madrid
Real Madrid has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Real Madrid
Real Madrid has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Goal prediction for goals scored by Alaves
Alaves has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Alaves
Alaves has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Real Madrid and Alaves, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
1. The Real Madrid team averages 2.2 goals per home match, a statistic that places them well above the average needed to reach the 2.5 goals on their own.
2. Alavès has an average of 1.6 goals scored in their away matches, a figure when combined with that of Real Madrid easily exceeds the 2.5 goal mark required to win the bet.
3. The overall success rate of the “Over 2.5 goals in the match” bet based on the provided data is 63.73%, a significantly higher rate than its alternative (Under 2.5 goals), making it a safer choice on paper.
Finding a forecast for the Real Madrid Alaves match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Real Madrid Alaves on 14/05/2024 in Estadio Santiago Bernabéu are the team's past performance in the La Liga, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Real Madrid at home and Alaves away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 14/05/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Real Madrid and Alaves on 14/05/2024, you should examine their recent results in the La Liga, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Real Madrid could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Real Madrid and Alaves, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Real Madrid and the away win rate of Alaves, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 14/05/2024!
The individual performances of players from Real Madrid and Alaves can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 14/05/2024 at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Real Madrid and Alaves, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Real Madrid or Alaves on 14/05/2024.
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