Tipps Real Sociedad Anderlecht UEFA Europa League 03/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Real Sociedad wins the match

1. Real Sociedad has a success probability of 69.07% for this match, which is significantly higher than that of Anderlecht (13.92% success probability).
2. Comparing the two teams, Anderlecht has a weaker defense with a defensive potential of 43%, which is lower than Real Sociedad’s 29%. This indicates that Real Sociedad has a greater chance of controlling the ball and scoring goals.
3. The chances of Real Sociedad winning the match or it ending in a draw are 86.08%, which is considerably higher than the chances of Anderlecht winning the match or it ending in a draw (30.93%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. By analyzing previous performances, Real Sociedad and Anderlecht tend to have matches with a low number of goals: Real Sociedad has an average of 0.8 goals scored and conceded per home match, while Anderlecht has an average of 1 goal scored and 1.2 goals conceded per away match.

2. The statistics from the last 5 matches played at home by Real Sociedad and away by Anderlecht respectively show a predominance of draws (80% for Real Sociedad and 40% for Anderlecht), indicating a higher probability of a low-scoring match.

3. The odds provided for “Under 2.5 goals in the match” are 2.25, which seems reasonable given the previous information. Additionally, the success rate for “over 2.5 goals in the match” is 62.37%, which also favors the hypothesis of “under 2.5 goals in the match.”

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Goal-scoring statistics: The data you have provided show that both teams have a history of scoring goals. On average, Real Sociedad scores 0.8 goals per home match while Anderlecht scores 1 goal per away match. This highlights the potential for goals from both sides.

2. Defensive weaknesses: The defense of both teams seems to be weak. Real Sociedad has conceded an average of 0.8 goals per home match over the past 5 matches, and Anderlecht concedes an average of 1.2 goals per away match. This tends to support the hypothesis that both teams can score.

3. Bookmakers’ predictions: According to your data, the probabilities given by bookmakers for both teams to score are 55.67%. This shows that bookmakers also expect both teams to score, reinforcing the prediction.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Real Sociedad 1-1 Anderlecht

1. Match history: Real Sociedad has drawn in 80% of its last 5 home matches and Anderlecht has drawn in 40% of its last 5 away matches. This indicates a strong tendency towards a draw between these two teams.

2. Goal statistics: The average goals scored per match by Real Sociedad at home and Anderlecht away are 0.8 and 1 respectively. Additionally, their average goals conceded per match are similar (0.8 for Real Sociedad at home, 1.2 for Anderlecht away). This suggests that both teams have comparable offensive and defensive performances.

3. Probabilities: The prediction of 1-1 aligns with the probabilities for ‘both teams to score’ (55.67% success rate) and for ‘under 2.5 goals in the match’ (very likely according to the odds). This means that it is considered likely that both teams will score, but not many goals, which is consistent with a final score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Real Sociedad shows a weak performance at home, with only 20% of wins. However, they seem to be experts at draws, with 80%. Their offensive and defensive potential is only at 29% – they score and concede an average of 0.8 goals per match.

Anderlecht, generally performing better away, has won 60% of their matches and drawn 40%. On average, they score 1 goal and concede 1.2 goals per match – their offensive and defensive potential away are respectively 36% and 43%.

Probabilities indicate a likely win for Real Sociedad – 69.07% chance. A draw is less likely at 17.01%. The idea of Anderlecht winning seems less probable at only 13.92%.

In terms of goals, we expect over 1.5 goals in the match with a probability of 81.96%. The chances of seeing over 2.5 goals are also high at 62.37%.

Moreover, both teams tend to score in the same match with a probability of 55.67%. There is a possibility of seeing an open match with goals from both sides.

In conclusion, the match is likely to be quite tight with a tendency in favor of Real Sociedad. A win or a draw for Real Sociedad seems to be a safe prediction.

The potential number of goals

Real Sociedad, at home, struggles to win. In their last 5 matches, they have only managed 1 victory and 4 draws. But their ability to score should not be underestimated, with 6 goals scored.

Anderlecht excels away from home: 60% wins and 40% draws in their last 5 matches. When playing away, they average 1 goal per match, totaling 7 goals in their last 5 matches.

In terms of defense, both teams have conceded quite a few goals. They have each conceded 8 goals in 5 games.

According to the probabilities, Real Sociedad has a 69.07% chance of winning, despite struggling to dominate at home. However, the option of a draw or Anderlecht’s victory should not be overlooked with odds of 2.45.

Expectations are high for the number of goals, with an 81.96% chance of having more than 1.5 goals during the match. Both teams have a 55.67% chance of scoring, supporting this expectation.

In summary, this match looks set to be offensive, with likely several goals. Real Sociedad’s victory seems the most probable, but Anderlecht could spring a surprise.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the data and facts presented, a victory for Real Sociedad or a draw seems to be the most likely outcome for this UEFA Europa League match between Real Sociedad and Anderlecht. However, considering the recent number of draws for Real Sociedad at home and Anderlecht away, a bet on a draw may offer attractive odds for punters.

It is also probable that the match will have fewer than 2.5 goals, given these teams’ past offensive production performances. However, there is a good chance that both teams will manage to score at least once during the match.

In considering a potentially valuable bet, aiming for a 1-1 draw could be interesting. This score aligns with both teams’ draw tendencies and their trends in scoring and conceding goals.

Ultimately, it is important to remember that sports betting always involves risk and these predictions do not guarantee a positive outcome. It is always advisable to bet responsibly, taking into account this information along with other relevant factors.