Tipps Real Sociedad Atletico Madrid La Liga 06/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Atletico Madrid wins the match

1. Atletico Madrid shows better performance in away matches than Real Sociedad at home. Atletico Madrid wins in 40% of away matches while Real Sociedad only wins 20% of the time at home.
2. The offensive and defensive potential of Atletico Madrid is better than that of Real Sociedad. On average, Atletico Madrid has an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 50%, while Real Sociedad has an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 29%.
3. The odds indicate that Atletico Madrid has a slightly higher success probability (35.33%) of winning the match compared to Real Sociedad (30.54%). Furthermore, if we look at the “Draw or Atletico Madrid wins the match” option, this probability rises to 69.46%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Both teams have relatively low averages of goals scored and conceded in their last 5 matches, with 0.8 per match for Real Sociedad and 1 per match for Atletico Madrid, indicating that they do not have a high offensive potential that could lead to a high number of goals.

2. Recent statistics on these teams’ last matches show a trend towards low scores, especially for Atletico Madrid, which played 4 out of 5 matches away from home with 2 goals or less.

3. The odds associated with the probability of under 2.5 goals in the match are 1.55. This indicates that bookmakers also believe it is likely that the match will not reach a total of 3 goals or more.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Each team’s defensive statistics are quite solid. Real Sociedad concedes only 0.8 goals per game at home on average, and Atletico Madrid concedes 1.4 goals away from home. This suggests that both teams have a defense capable of resisting the opponent’s attack.

2. The offensive performances of each team are not impressive. Real Sociedad has scored an average of 0.8 goals per game at home, and Atletico Madrid has scored an average of 1 goal away from home. This means that even though both teams have opportunities, they may not be able to convert their chances.

3. The recent home matches of Real Sociedad and away matches of Atletico Madrid show that both teams often struggle to score. In four of Real Sociedad’s last five home matches, one or both teams have failed to score. Similarly, in three of Atletico’s last five away matches, one or both teams have failed to score. This indicates a trend where both teams may struggle to score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Atletico Madrid wins the match – 1.35

Bet on the exact result

Real Sociedad 1-1 Atletico Madrid.

1. The probability of a draw for this match is high (34.13%), higher than the probability of Real Sociedad winning the match (30.54%).
2. The statistics of both teams show a trend of having close scores. In their respective last 5 matches, Real Sociedad has an average of 0.8 goals scored and conceded per match at home, and Atletico Madrid has an average of 1 goal scored and 1.4 goals conceded per match away. This indicates that both teams have similar offensive and defensive capabilities.
3. The odds for a score of under 1.5 goals in the match as well as under 2.5 goals in the match are 2.65 and 1.55 respectively. These odds indicate a high probability of the match ending with a low total number of goals, thus reinforcing the probability of an exact score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

The Real Sociedad seems to struggle at home, with only 20% of wins and 80% of draws. They have scored 6 goals but conceded 8.

Atletico Madrid, on the other hand, has a better performance away: 40% of wins and draws, 5 goals scored, and 7 conceded.

In terms of offensive and defensive potential, Real Sociedad stands at 29% for both, while Atletico is stronger offensively (36%) but weaker defensively (50%).

The odds slightly favor Atletico (35.33% for a win), despite the narrow margin with a draw (34.13%) or Real Sociedad’s win (30.54%).

In terms of goals, it’s more likely to have less than 1.5 goals (66.47%), but the possibility of more than 2.5 goals remains at 39.52%.

The probability of both teams scoring is 47.9%, slightly lower than the opposite (52.1%).

Looking at their recent matches, Real Sociedad has struggled against similar or lower-level teams, while Atletico has shown inconsistent form, capable of both the best and the worst.

Considering these factors, a draw with less than 2.5 goals could be an interesting prediction.

The potential number of goals

Real Sociedad has won 20% of their last 5 home matches, averaging 0.8 goals per match. Their defense has conceded 8 times, also averaging 0.8 goals per match. They have an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 29%.

On the other hand, Atletico Madrid has won 40% of their last 5 away matches. They score an average of 1 goal per match but often concede, allowing 1.4 goals per match. Their offensive potential is 36% and defensive potential is 50%.

Atletico is slightly favored in this match with a 35.33% chance of winning compared to Sociedad’s 30.54%. However, the probability of a draw is also high at 34.13%.

The score will likely be low. More than 1.5 goals have a success probability of 66.47%, but fewer than 2.5 goals are more likely (odds of 1.55). In fact, 92.22% of the time, there are less than 3.5 goals. Both teams scoring has a 47.9% chance of happening.

In summary, this match could end with a low score or even a draw, considering the recent performances of both teams.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on recent statistics, it appears that Atletico Madrid has a slight advantage over Real Sociedad in this match. However, despite Atletico Madrid showing a stronger performance in away games, this does not necessarily guarantee a clear victory. With the performances of both teams being relatively similar, a draw is also a plausible possibility. Additionally, considering the offensive and defensive capabilities of each team, this match is more likely to produce a low goal total, potentially less than 2.5. Finally, given the relatively high probability that one of the teams may fail to score, the “Both Teams to Score: No” bet may also offer interesting value for bettors. In conclusion, although football is always subject to uncertainty and unpredictability, based on the available data, Atletico Madrid appears to be the favorite for the October 6, 2024 match against Real Sociedad, likely resulting in a low score.