Tipps Real Sociedad Rayo Vallecano La Liga 18/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Real Sociedad wins the match

1. Real Sociedad has a positive home performance, having won 40% of their last matches and drawn in 40% of cases. Additionally, they have managed to score goals in every match, showing a certain level of offensive efficiency.
2. On the other hand, Rayo Vallecano has not won any of their last away matches, only drawing in 40% of cases and failing to score any goals, demonstrating a poor attacking performance.
3. The odds set by bookmakers also support the argument that Real Sociedad is the favorite, with a 58.06% probability of winning compared to only 9.68% for Rayo Vallecano.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Recent performance: In their last 5 matches, Real Sociedad scored 5 goals while Rayo Vallecano failed to score any. This lack of offensive potential favors a low-scoring game.

2. Defensive statistics: Real Sociedad concedes only 0.8 goals per home match on average, while Rayo Vallecano concedes an average of 1.2 goals away. These are solid defensive statistics that could result in a total score under 2.5 goals.

3. Head-to-head history: Recent matches involving Real Sociedad at home and Rayo Vallecano away have rarely exceeded the 2.5 goals threshold. Playing strategies and past results point towards games with fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

Translation:
“1. Rayo Vallecano has a very low offensive potential away from home, having scored 0 goals in their last 5 matches. Therefore, it is very likely that they won’t score in this match.

2. Although Real Sociedad has a higher offensive potential at home, averaging 1 goal per match, their offensive percentage is only 36%. Furthermore, they have conceded more goals than they have scored at home in their last 5 matches (7 against 5). This suggests that it is less likely that they will score in this match.

3. The probabilities for less than 1.5 goals in the match are high, which aligns with the prediction that both teams will not score. This is confirmed by the 61.29% success probability that both teams will not score.”

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Real Sociedad 1-0 Rayo Vallecano

1. The recent performance history of Real Sociedad at home shows that they have an average win rate of 40% and score an average of 1 goal per match, which could support a prediction of 1-0 in their favor. Furthermore, their defensive potential of 29% shows that they have a solid defense that could potentially keep a clean sheet.

2. Rayo Vallecano struggles to score away from home, having failed to score in their last 5 matches, increasing the likelihood of a goalless match from their side. Additionally, they have a 0% win rate away from home, reducing the probability of them scoring against Real Sociedad.

3. Overall probability statistics also support this prediction: the probability of Real Sociedad winning the match is 58.06%, and the probability of both teams not scoring is 61.29%. These two factors combined, along with Rayo Vallecano’s poor offensive performance away from home, support a prediction of a 1-0 score for Real Sociedad.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Real Sociedad is performing impressively at home. They have won 40% of their last 5 home matches, drawn 40%, scored 5 goals, and conceded 7 goals. That’s decent.

Rayo Vallecano is weak away from home. They have not won any of their last 5 away games, only managing to draw 40%. More concerning, they have scored no goals and conceded just one.

Real Sociedad shows offensive strength at home, averaging 1 goal per game. Their defense is also solid, conceding 0.8 goals per match. They have an offensive efficiency rate of 36% and a defensive rate of 29%.

On the other hand, Rayo Vallecano displays weakness, with only 0.4 goals scored per away game. Their defense is also fragile, conceding 1.2 goals per match. Their offensive potential does not exceed 14% and their defense is estimated at 43%.

The probability clearly indicates an advantage for Real Sociedad with a 58.06% chance of winning the match. A draw has a 32.26% chance, while a Rayo Vallecano victory is unlikely with only a 9.68% chance.

Regarding the total goals, the forecast prioritizes less than 3.5 goals at 75.81% and highlights that both teams would not score with a 61.29% probability.

Recent matches show Real Sociedad being competitive at home with victories against Valencia and Las Palmas. However, they lost to Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid.

On the other hand, Rayo Vallecano has faced tough challenges away from home, especially against Barcelona and Villarreal.

In conclusion, based on these figures, Real Sociedad appears to have the advantage for this match.

The potential number of goals

The Real Sociedad proves to be a solid host, winning and drawing in 40% of their last 5 matches. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 7, indicating a balanced offense and defense. Rayo Vallecano, on the other hand, has not won recently away and shows a weak offense with 0 goals scored.

The average goals scored by Real Sociedad at home is 1 per match, while Vallecano only manages 0.4 goals away. This gives Sociedad an offensive advantage of 36% compared to 14% for Vallecano.

The probabilities suggest a higher chance of Real Sociedad winning (58.06%) or the match ending in a draw (32.26%). Based on these numbers, the safest bet is for Real Sociedad to win or for a draw, with an impressive success probability of 90.32%.

The average goals suggest a match with fewer goals. The probabilities are 75.81% for under 3.5 goals and 93.55% for under 4.5 goals. This assumption is supported by Rayo Vallecano’s previous struggles to score away.

Regarding both teams to score, the probability stands at 38.71%, indicating a higher chance of only one team scoring during the match.

This analysis highlights Real Sociedad’s advantage against a struggling offensively and defensively Rayo Vallecano, who might find it difficult to score, likely resulting in a low-scoring match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analysis of recent performances, offensive and defensive statistics, as well as probabilities indicate that Real Sociedad has a significant advantage for the upcoming match against Rayo Vallecano. Rayo Vallecano struggles away from home, and with a weak offensive potential, it is less likely for them to score in this match. On the other hand, Real Sociedad has proven its strength at home, with a win or draw in 80% of their recent matches.

Furthermore, the analysis suggests a low-scoring match, with a 75.81% probability for less than 3.5 goals and 93.55% for less than 4.5 goals. Therefore, the bet “under 2.5 goals in the match” also appears to be an interesting opportunity for bettors to consider.

The most probable exact score bet, based on the overall performance of these teams, seems to be a Real Sociedad win with a 1-0 score. However, as always in sports betting, uncertainty remains, and that is what makes the excitement of the game. Good luck to all bettors!