Tipps Real Sociedad Real Madrid La Liga 26/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Real Madrid wins the match.

1. Recent Performance: The recent performances of Real Madrid are significantly better than those of Real Sociedad. Besides its draws, Madrid has won 40% of its last away matches, compared to only 20% of home wins for Real Sociedad in its last 5 matches.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Real Madrid has a superior offensive potential compared to Real Sociedad, averaging 2 goals per match in its last 5 away matches. Additionally, Madrid’s defensive potential is also higher (43%) compared to Real Sociedad’s (36%).

3. Goal Statistics: Real Madrid has scored more goals in total in its recent away matches compared to what Real Sociedad has scored at home. Taking into account the goals conceded, Madrid also has a better record, suggesting they have a better ability to score goals while reducing the number of goals conceded.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The statistics show that both teams, Real Sociedad and Real Madrid, have a strong offensive potential with an average of 1.8 and 2 goals scored per match, respectively, in their last 5 matches. This favors a match with over 2.5 goals.

2. Looking at the defensive statistics, we can see that Real Sociedad and Real Madrid have conceded 1 and 1.2 goals per match on average in their last 5 matches, respectively. This defensive weakness of both teams could lead to a high-scoring match.

3. The recent home matches of Real Sociedad and away matches of Real Madrid have consistently featured over 2.5 goals, reinforcing the hypothesis of a match with more than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Match history for both teams shows a trend where each team has been scoring goals in most of their recent matches. Real Sociedad has scored in each of their last 5 home matches, while Real Madrid has also scored in all of their last 5 away matches.

2. Offensive statistics for both teams are also a factor. Over the last 5 matches, Real Sociedad has scored an average of 1.8 goals per home match, while Real Madrid has scored an average of 2 goals per away match, indicating a high offensive potential for both teams.

3. Defensive statistics also reveal that both teams have some vulnerability. Real Sociedad has conceded an average of 1 goal per home match, and Real Madrid has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per away match, confirming the possibility that each team could concede a goal in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Real Sociedad 1-2 Real Madrid

1. Recent statistics show that Real Madrid has a better performance away than Real Sociedad at home. Real Madrid wins in 40% of cases away, whereas Real Sociedad only wins in 20% of cases at home.
2. The offensive potential of Real Madrid away is superior to Real Sociedad at home. On average, Real Madrid scores 2 goals per match away, while Real Sociedad only scores 1.8 goals per match at home.
3. The expected success rate for Real Madrid winning the match is 33.69%, which, although slightly lower than the probability of Real Sociedad winning or the match ending in a draw, is still quite high and suggests that predicting a Real Madrid victory is realistic.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

The Real Sociedad has shown moderate performances at home, with only 20% wins and 40% draws. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 10.

On the other hand, Real Madrid has been slightly stronger away, with 40% wins and 60% draws. They have scored 9 goals and also conceded 10.

With an average of 1.8 goals scored per game, and 1 goal conceded on average, Sociedad has an offensive strength of 64% and a defensive strength of 36%.

Real Madrid, on the other hand, has an offensive capability of 71%, scoring an average of 2 goals per game, and a defensive capability of 43%, with 1.2 goals conceded per game.

In terms of probabilities, there is a 35.83% chance of Sociedad winning (odds of 2.60) compared to 33.69% for Real Madrid (odds of 2.85). The draw is estimated at 30.48% (odds of 3.30).

Betting on a draw or a Sociedad win offers a success rate of 66.31% with odds of 1.47. The option of a draw or a Real Madrid win has a success rate of 64.17% with odds of 1.53.

According to the odds, it is likely there will be over 1.5 goals (71.12% success rate, odds of 1.38) and under 3.5 goals (81.82% success rate, odds of 1.26).

The probability of both teams scoring is estimated at 53.48% (odds of 1.85), while if neither team scores, the probability is 46.52% (odds of 1.95).

In conclusion, based on the statistics and odds, the match could see less than 3.5 goals and both teams scoring.

The potential number of goals

Analysis:
Real Sociedad is weak at home, winning only in 20% of cases. Their defense concedes a lot of goals, with 10 goals conceded in their last 5 matches. However, they have a good offense, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match.

Real Madrid, away from home, is not brilliant but they win more often than Real Sociedad at home, with a 40% win rate. With 9 goals scored and 10 conceded in their last 5 outings, they have a slightly stronger attack than Real Sociedad with an average of 2 goals per match, but also leak quite a few goals.

The most likely outcome would be a draw or a Real Sociedad win, based on the odds. The probability of having more than 1.5 goals in the match is high (71.12%), so expect to see goals. Less than 3.5 goals seem likely (81.82% chance). Both teams are likely to score as well (53.48% probability).

Looking at the recent games, there seems to be a trend towards draws for Real Madrid away, while Real Sociedad performs decently at home despite their low win rate.

Prediction: It looks like we can expect a match with some goals and perhaps a close result. A win or draw for Real Sociedad seems likely with a possibility of less than 3.5 goals scored during the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the analysis of data and statistics, the match between Real Sociedad and Real Madrid is expected to be competitive and intense, with both teams having an equal chance of winning. The gap between the two teams is not too marked, suggesting a close match. The prediction leans towards a 2-1 victory for Real Madrid, which aligns with the fact that Madrid has a stronger offensive potential.

On the other hand, the bet of over 2.5 goals seems very plausible given both teams’ tendency to score. The offensive potential and defensive vulnerability of both teams further support the prediction that each team will score at least one goal in the match.

Despite this, an interesting and potentially more profitable bet would be to wager on a draw, as indicated by past trends. Ultimately, whether you choose to bet on a Real Madrid victory, over 2.5 goals, both teams to score, or a draw, it is important to note that sports betting remains uncertain and surprises are never ruled out. Good luck and bet responsibly.