Tipps Reggiana Cosenza Serie B 19/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Cosenza wins the match

1. In their last 5 respective matches, Reggiana has had a poor performance at home, not winning any matches, whereas Cosenza has managed to win or draw in 80% of their away matches. This increases Cosenza’s potential to not lose this match.

2. The offensive and defensive potential of each team is very similar, meaning their strengths are quite balanced. This, coupled with the fact that Reggiana’s home draw rate and Cosenza’s away draw rate are 40% and 60% respectively, increases the likelihood of a draw.

3. The odds for a draw or a Cosenza win are higher than for a Reggiana win alone, showing that even bookmakers believe Cosenza has better chances of winning or drawing than Reggiana does of winning.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The statistics reveal that Reggiana and Cosenza have respectively scored 0.8 goals per match on average in their last 5 home and away matches. This suggests a low offensive capacity of both teams, supporting a prediction of under 2.5 goals in the match.

2. The defensive potential of Reggiana and Cosenza is respectively 36% and 43% in their last 5 matches, indicating they are relatively strong in defense. A solid defensive performance on both sides significantly limits scoring opportunities, reinforcing the idea of a total goals under 2.5.

3. Based on the recent home matches of Reggiana and away matches of Cosenza, many have seen under 2.5 goals. Recent history can often be a useful indicator of future performance, further strengthening this prediction.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Reggiana’s offensive performances at home in the last 5 matches have been quite weak with an average of 0.8 goals per match, which reduces the likelihood of both teams scoring.
2. Cosenza’s defensive potential away from home is relatively high at 43% in the last 5 matches, indicating they have been able to control the opposition’s offense.
3. Previous match statistics between the two teams show Reggiana has struggled to score, particularly in home matches, as seen in games against Cittadella and Ternana where they failed to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Reggiana 1-1 Cosenza

1. The draw statistics: At home, Reggiana has drawn in 40% of their last 5 matches while Cosenza has drawn 60% of the time away in the same period. The draw bet therefore has a high probability of occurring.

2. The average number of goals in matches: Reggiana and Cosenza have both scored and conceded an average of about 1 goal per match in their last 5 encounters. This predicts a low-scoring match, supporting the prediction of a 1-1 scoreline.

3. The teams’ probability data: The probability of both teams scoring is 48.37% while the probability of both teams not scoring is 51.63%, indicating an almost equal distribution and reinforcing the prediction of a draw with a 1-1 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Reggiana, at home, is not shining, with 0% of wins and 40% of draws in the last 5 matches. They have only scored 2 goals and conceded 3. Cosenza has a similar record, with 20% of wins and 60% of draws away, with 7 goals scored against 8 conceded.

The offensive situation is similar between the two teams, averaging 0.8 goals scored per match. However, Cosenza seems slightly less solid defensively, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match compared to 1 goal for Reggiana.

The odds are tight, indicating a match without a clear favorite. The probability of a Reggiana win is evaluated at 34.24%, the draw at 33.15%, and Cosenza at 32.61%.

The option “Draw or Reggiana wins the match” has a 67.39% chance of success, while “Draw or Cosenza wins the match” is at 65.76%.

The odds suggest a low-scoring match, with less than 1.5 goals at 2.75 odds and more than 1.5 goals with a 66.85% chance. Both teams to score have a success probability of 48.37%, while both teams not to score is at 51.63%.

Analyzing the recent matches, we can see the consistency of Reggiana in scoring few goals but also remaining defensively solid. Cosenza away shows a certain ability to score but is also more vulnerable defensively.

This match seems to be decided by details, with a potential advantage for Cosenza due to their ability to score away. However, the option “Draw or Reggiana wins” remains attractive for a safer bet.

The potential number of goals

Reggiana has not won any of their last 5 home matches while Cosenza has only managed to secure victory once in their last 5 away games. Despite a modest performance in terms of goals, the match could potentially remain tight.

On their home turf, Reggiana has scored only 2 goals and conceded 3. Away from home, Cosenza has recorded 7 goals scored and 8 conceded. There is a limited attacking potential of 29% and a solid defense of 36% for Reggiana. Cosenza has similar offensive statistics but their defense appears more vulnerable at 43%.

The likely scores suggest a fairly balanced match although Reggiana and Cosenza seem to have a slight edge, with odds of 2.40 and 3.00 respectively. The chances of a draw are also high at 3.10.

The probability of over 1.5 goals is 66.85%, supporting the idea of a relatively close and competitive match. Likewise, the likelihood of a match with less than 3.5 goals is impressive at 92.93%, despite previous encounters between Reggiana and Cosenza often resulting in low-scoring games.

Regarding both teams to score, the odds are fairly balanced with a slight inclination towards “no” at 51.63%.

Therefore, based on these statistics, a draw or a narrow victory for either team seems most probable, all while expecting a low number of goals overall.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Reggiana and Cosenza looks set to be tight. The statistics point to a balanced competition, with solid defensive performances from both sides and a weak offensive display, suggesting a total number of goals of under 2.5.

The prediction also leans towards a draw or a win for Cosenza rather than a victory for Reggiana. This is reinforced by the high rate of draws seen both from Reggiana at home and Cosenza away, making it a potentially profitable betting option due to the higher odds offered.

Ultimately, it appears that bettors looking to profit from this match should consider a bet on a draw or a Cosenza win, and on a total of under 2.5 goals. However, as always in sports betting, it’s essential to bet responsibly and never wager more than one can afford to lose.