Tipps Reggiana Salernitana Serie B 21/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Draw or Reggiana wins the match”

1. Over the last 5 home matches, Reggiana has shown a strong tendency to win, with a victory in 60% of the cases, which is a strong indicator of their good home performance. 2. Salernitana has a very poor record in away matches, not having won a single time in their last 5 away matches. Furthermore, they tend to draw in 60% of the cases, which adds an additional probability for a draw or a Reggiana win. 3. The probability calculations also support this prediction. A “draw or Reggiana win” has a high success probability of 71.88% compared to “Salernitana wins” which only has a 28.13% probability of success.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Salernitana has a weak offensive performance away from home, averaging 1.8 goals per match, which limits the total number of goals that can be scored.
2. Reggiana has a fairly good defensive potential, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match at home, which may limit the likelihood of many goals by the opponent.
3. The results of Salernitana’s recent away matches indicate that most of them have had fewer than 2.5 goals, which seems to be a trend for this team when playing away from home.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The recent performances of both teams show their ability to score goals. Reggiana has scored in 100% of their last 5 home matches, and Salernitana has scored in 80% of their last 5 away matches.

2. Defensive statistics indicate that both teams tend to concede goals. Reggiana has conceded goals in each of their last 5 home matches, while Salernitana has conceded goals in all their away matches.

3. Lastly, Salernitana’s offensive potential is at 64% and Reggiana’s at 50%, which increases the likelihood of both teams scoring in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

Bet on the exact result

Reggiana 2-1 Salernitana

1. Reggiana’s home performance: With a 60% win rate and 20% draw rate, Reggiana has shown strong home performance in their last 5 matches. Additionally, they have managed to score an average of 2.4 goals per home match, indicating a strong offensive capability when playing on their own turf.

2. Salernitana’s away performance: Salernitana has struggled away from home, not winning any of their last 5 matches and drawing in 60% of cases. They have also conceded an average of 2 goals per away match, which could be an opportunity for Reggiana to exploit.

3. Probability of scoring and conceding goals: The probability of Reggiana winning the match and more than 2.5 goals being scored in the match is respectively 41.15% and 39.58%. This, combined with Salernitana’s poor away performance, makes a 2-1 score prediction plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Reggiana is in good form at home. They have won 60% of their last 5 matches. However, their defense is fragile, having conceded 13 goals. Salernitana, on the other hand, is struggling away from home, with no wins in their last 5 matches and 8 goals conceded. They do tend to draw often, around 60% of the time.

Reggiana shows equal efficiency in both attack and defense, with a 50% potential for both. Salernitana is more offensive away from home, with a 64% potential in attack, but they have a defensive weakness at 71%.

It is likely to be a high-scoring match with a 67.71% probability of more than 1.5 goals, but the probability of fewer than 3.5 goals is still high at 83.85%.

In terms of the outcome, the match could lean in favor of Reggiana with a 41.15% probability of winning, or end in a draw (30.73%). Alternatively, there is still a close to 29% chance of Salernitana winning.

Based on recent statistics, considering a Reggiana-win or draw seems wise with a 71.88% probability. However, a draw or Salernitana-win combination is also possible at 58.85%.

In terms of goals, a scenario where both teams score is almost equivalent to one where they don’t (49.48% versus 50.52%).

Based on current performances, my prediction would be a match in favor of Reggiana with fewer than 3.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Reggiana has a strong home performance, with 60% wins and 20% draws in their recent history. They have an offensive potential of 50% with an average of 1.4 goals per match, although their defense has conceded the same number of goals on average.

On the other hand, Salernitana has struggled away from home. They have not won any matches recently and have recorded a draw 60% of the time. With an average of 1.8 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match, they have an offensive potential of 64% and defensive potential of 71%.

The probability of Reggiana winning is 41.15% compared to 28.13% for Salernitana. A draw has a probability of 30.73%. More interestingly, there is a 67.71% probability of the match having over 1.5 goals, with less than 3.5 goals at 83.85%.

Looking at recent scores, Reggiana seems to be in good form at home with victories such as 5-2 against Legnago Salus and 2-0 against Brescia. Salernitana, on the other hand, struggles away from home with losses like 3-2 against Sudtirol.

Ultimately, a win for Reggiana or a draw seems to be a safer bet with a combined probability of 71.88%. Over 1.5 goals in the match also seems probable with odds of 1.38.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the Reggiana vs. Salernitana match looks interesting. Historical data and recent performances of both teams suggest that there could be a score in favor of Reggiana, given their strong home performance. However, Salernitana has shown the ability to compete with opponents away, despite recent poor results, indicating a possibility of a draw or a Reggiana win. In terms of goals, a total of under 2.5 goals seems most likely due to Salernitana’s weak offensive performances and Reggiana’s defensive potential. For the BTTS bet, statistics show that it is quite likely that both teams will score in this match. An interesting value bet would be predicting over 2.5 goals in the match, taking advantage of the fragile defenses of both teams. As for the exact score prediction, a 2-1 win for Reggiana seems probable considering Reggiana’s home performances and Salernitana’s away struggles. However, as always, it’s important to bet cautiously as football, like all sports, can hold surprises.