Tipps Rio Ave Famalicao Primeira Liga 04/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Rio Ave wins the match.

1. Over the last 5 home matches, Rio Ave has shown a good performance by winning 40% of their matches and drawing in 20% of cases. Therefore, their probability of at least not losing the match is quite high.

2. Analyzing Famalicao’s away performances, it can be seen that they have conceded more goals than they have scored. Their offensive and defensive potential of 21% suggests that they are not particularly strong when playing away.

3. The calculated probabilities also support this argument. There is a 69.95% chance that the match will end in a draw or a Rio Ave win, which is significantly higher than other scenarios.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Both teams have a low offensive potential, as they are averaging only 0.6 goals per game in their last five home matches for Rio Ave and away matches for Famalicao. This suggests they struggle to score, supporting the argument that the match will end with less than 2.5 goals.

2. Rio Ave’s defensive record appears to be quite solid, with a 64% defensive potential at home in their last five matches. This could limit the number of goals Famalicao is able to score, further contributing to a total of fewer than 2.5 goals.

3. Recent trend analysis: based on the last five home matches for Rio Ave and away matches for Famalicao, the majority of games have had less than 2.5 goals, reinforcing the likelihood of less than 2.5 goals in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The two teams, Rio Ave and Famalicao, have shown an ability to score in their previous matches, with an average of 0.6 goals per match respectively.
2. Taking into account defensive statistics, Rio Ave concedes an average of 1.8 goals per match at home and Famalicao 0.6 goals away. Therefore, it is plausible that each team could score during the match.
3. Based on the provided probabilities, the bet “both teams to score” has a success probability of 59.07%, which is higher than the probability of both teams not scoring (40.93%).

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Rio Ave 1-1 Famalicao

1. Recent performances of both teams show a trend towards low scores. Rio Ave at home has scored an average of 0.6 goals per match, and Famalicao away has also scored an average of 0.6 goals per match. Additionally, the highest probability is for less than 1.5 goals in the match (78.24%).

2. Both teams have fairly similar performance levels with a 40% win rate for each in their last 5 matches, whether at home for Rio Ave or away for Famalicao. Furthermore, the win probabilities are quite close (46.11% for Rio Ave and 30.05% for Famalicao).

3. Past results of Rio Ave’s home matches and Famalicao’s away matches show a frequency of draws. For example, Rio Ave has drawn in two of its last five home matches, and Famalicao has also drawn in one of its last five away matches. Moreover, the prediction for a draw has a probability of 23.83%, which is significant.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Rio Ave has had a mixed performance at home, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. However, they have a defensive weakness, conceding 1.8 goals per match.

Famalicao has a similar record away, also with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. They have a solid defense, allowing only 0.6 goals per match.

Both teams have an identical offensive potential of 0.6 goals per match. This indicates a balanced match.

The odds suggest a higher probability of victory for Rio Ave (46.11%) or a draw (23.83%). Famalicao has a lower chance of winning (30.05%).

It is also important to note that the statistics favor fewer than 3.5 goals per match, with a probability of 76.68%.

Looking at the history, both teams tend to score, with a probability of 59.07%.

By combining all these data, an interesting prediction could be a match with fewer than 3.5 goals, with a 76.68% chance, and both teams scoring, at odds of 1.75.

The potential number of goals

Recent performance of Rio Ave at home shows mixed results with a win in 40% of the matches and a draw in 20%. The team has scored 6 goals and conceded 8. Famalicao has achieved similar scores in their recent away matches with a win in 40% of the cases and 1 draw in 5.

In terms of offensive and defensive efficiency, both teams have scored an average of 0.6 goals per match. However, Rio Ave shows defensive weaknesses by conceding 1.8 goals per match, while Famalicao maintains an average of 0.6 goals conceded per match.

As for the probabilities and odds of the match, Rio Ave has an estimated chance of winning at 46.11% (odds of 2.20). A draw is at 23.83% (odds of 3.50) and Famalicao’s victory is evaluated at 30.05% (odds of 3.10).

The option of over 1.5 goals in the match has a high probability (78.24%) with attractive odds (1.30). The probability of both teams scoring is estimated at 59.07%, which could be an interesting bet with a payout of 1.75 times the stake.

Taking these factors into account, and despite a more unstable defense, Rio Ave appears to be slightly favored for this match. It is, however, reasonable to consider that both teams will score, hence a bet on “Over 1.5 goals” could be the safest choice.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Rio Ave and Famalicao is shaping up to be tight and balanced. Based on recent performances and calculated probabilities, a draw or a Rio Ave win, as well as a total of goals under 2.5, are credible predictions. Additionally, the goal distribution leans towards both teams having the opportunity to score. Interesting bets to consider would therefore be a draw with under 2.5 goals, both teams to score, or an exact score of 1-1. However, it is crucial to remember that sports betting involves risks and should be done responsibly. Data and statistics do not guarantee a certain outcome, and it is important to analyze carefully before engaging in a bet.