Tipps Rionegro Aguilas America de Cali Primera A 17/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

America de Cali or draw

1. America de Cali has shown strong resilience away from home, with 80% of their last 5 matches ending in a win or a draw. They have also maintained a solid defense, conceding only 5 goals.
2. On the other hand, Rionegro has had inconsistent performances at home, with only a 20% win rate in the last 5 matches. They have also conceded more goals (8) than they have scored (6), highlighting their weak defense.
3. America de Cali has a higher defensive potential (21%) than Rionegro (36%). This suggests that their defense is likely to withstand Rionegro’s attack, increasing the chances of a draw or a win for America de Cali.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent performances of both teams show a tendency to have a relatively low number of goals. Rionegro has scored an average of 1.6 goals per home match, while America de Cali has only scored 1 goal away in their last 5 matches.

2. Both teams have a decent defense, with Rionegro conceding an average of only 1 goal per home match and America de Cali conceding only 0.6 goals away.

3. In their last 5 matches, neither team has a high win rate (only 20%), indicating that their matches are tightly contested and produce few goals. Additionally, both teams have a high draw rate, further suggesting a low total number of goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The offensive potential of Rionegro’s team at home and America de Cali’s team away are relatively low, at 57% and 36% respectively. This indicates a low likelihood that both teams will score in the match.

2. The defense of both teams is relatively strong, with Rionegro conceding only 1 goal per match on average at home, and America de Cali conceding only 0.6 goals per match on average away. This, combined with the lack of offensive power, suggests a low probability that both teams will score.

3. Recent match statistics support this prediction. In the last five home matches of Rionegro, they have only managed to score in three matches. Similarly, America de Cali has only managed to score in two out of the last five away matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Rionegro 1-1 America de Cali

1. Draw trends: Both Rionegro and America de Cali have shown a strong tendency for draws in their recent matches, with 40% and 60% of their respective games ending in a draw. This could indicate a higher likelihood of another draw.

2. Historical scoring performances: Both teams tend to score around one goal per game on average, with Rionegro scoring 1.6 goals at home and America de Cali scoring 1 goal away in their last five matches. This scoring ability strengthens the idea of a 1-1 match.

3. Defensive potential: Based on the statistics from the last five matches, both teams have a solid defensive capability (Rionegro 36% at home and America de Cali 21% away). This could limit the number of goals scored by each team, suggesting a low-scoring match like 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Rionegro, at home, in its last 5 matches has won once, but obtained two draws and scored 6 goals while conceding 8. Its offensive potential is 57%, and its defense 36%.

As for America de Cali, away, in its last 5 outings, it has achieved only one victory, with three draws, scoring 5 goals and conceding only 5. Its offensive potential is 36%, and its defense 21%.

The recent matches of Rionegro at home have been mixed, with a notable 4-0 victory against Alianza Petrolera and two draws.

On the road, America de Cali has been solid defensively, conceding only one goal in three of its last five matches.

The predictions give a 100% probability of there being under 3.5 goals and under 4.5 goals in the match. This suggests a low-scoring game.

To consider: America de Cali has managed not to lose in 80% of its away matches, and Rionegro has obtained a result in 60% of its home matches. Perhaps a draw on the cards.

The potential number of goals

Rionegro has an uneven home performance, winning 20% of matches but managing to draw 40% of the time. They score an average of 1.6 goals per match but also concede 1 goal per game.

In their last 5 away matches, America de Cali has only one victory but have achieved a draw in 60% of cases. They score less than Rionegro, averaging one goal per match and conceding only 0.6 goals.

In terms of attacking prowess, Rionegro leads with 57% compared to 36% for America de Cali. However, America de Cali has a better defense with 21% defensive potential compared to 36% for Rionegro.

The interesting point is that both teams do not score in 100% of cases, mirroring their recent matches. In terms of goals, the match will have less than 4.5 goals with a 100% probability.

Therefore, between Rionegro and America de Cali, it is likely that the match will result in few goals and no team will clearly dominate.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering the past performances and statistics of Rionegro and America de Cali, this match should be closely competitive, with a high likelihood of a low number of goals, perhaps even a draw. Overall, America de Cali seems to have a slight advantage, being more resilient away from home, with an 80% probability of not losing. Additionally, the team has shown a strong defense, which could limit Rionegro’s goal-scoring opportunities. However, caution is always recommended in sports betting, as the final outcome remains unpredictable. Therefore, bettors are advised to wager responsibly, taking into account all factors.