Tipps Rionegro Aguilas Jaguares Primera A 14/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Jaguares de Cordoba wins the match

1. The probability of success: The most convincing argument is the success probability for Jaguares de Cordoba, which is 55.12%, significantly higher than that of Rionegro at 18.11%.

2. Defensive potential: Jaguares de Cordoba’s defensive potential away in their last 5 matches is 14%, much lower than Rionegro’s home defensive potential at 64%. This indicates that Jaguares de Cordoba has a better defense and is less likely to concede a goal.

3. Recent away performances: Jaguares de Cordoba’s recent away matches have shown great resilience, with two draws in five. In contrast, Rionegro’s home performances have been mixed with a win, a loss, and a draw in their last three matches.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The offensive potential of Jaguares de Cordoba away from home is 0% with an average of 0 goals per match, indicating a low probability of scoring a high number of goals.
2. Rionegro has a defensive potential of 64% at home, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match, which helps in reducing the total possible goals for the match.
3. The recent match history of Jaguares de Cordoba away from home and Rionegro at home shows a trend towards low-scoring matches. For example, 4 out of the last 5 away matches of Jaguares de Cordoba have seen less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The offensive potential of Jaguares de Cordoba is very low when they play away, as they have not scored any goals in their last 5 away matches.
2. Rionegro concedes an average of 1.8 goals per home match, indicating a relatively solid defense that could prevent Jaguares de Cordoba from scoring.
3. The away match history of Jaguares de Cordoba shows that they have failed to score in 60% of their matches, further reinforcing the idea that they may not score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Rionegro wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Rionegro 1-1 Jaguares de Cordoba

1. Match History: In their respective last 5 matches, both Rionegro at home and Jaguares de Cordoba away have recorded 40% draws, supporting the possibility of a draw between the two teams.

2. Average Goals: In the last 5 matches, Rionegro has scored an average of 1 goal per home match and Jaguares de Cordoba has conceded an average of 0.4 goals per away match. Similarly, Rionegro has conceded 1.8 goals per match and Jaguares de Cordoba has scored no goals in their last 5 away matches. This suggests a possible scoreline of 1-1.

3. Match Result Probabilities: The odds offered by bookmakers also suggest that a draw (26.77%) is more likely than a Rionegro win (18.11%). Therefore, a 1-1 scoreline seems logical and probable. Additionally, the probability of both teams scoring is 47.24%, which is quite high, once again suggesting a possible 1-1 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Rio Negro, performing well at home, has won 40% of their matches, showing a significant offensive capability with 9 goals in five matches. However, their defense remains a concern, having conceded 10 goals.

For Jaguares de Cordoba, the situation is tougher away from home. They have not won any of their last 5 matches, lacking in attack but solid in defense, having only conceded 4 goals.

The probability of Rio Negro winning the match is low, at 18.11%. A more likely scenario is for Jaguares de Cordoba to win with a 55.12% chance. The option of a draw or Jaguares winning seems appealing with an 81.89% success rate.

It is also worth noting the high probability (70.87%) of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match. This may reflect Rio Negro’s offensive ability, despite their less than solid defense.

Lastly, the standout stat is that in 52.76% of cases, both teams will not score. This suggests a likely defensive game, especially from the side of Jaguares de Cordoba.

The potential number of goals

Rionegro has shown a balanced game at home, with 40% of wins and draws. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 10. Their offensive potential is at 36% and their defense at 64%.

Jaguares de Cordoba hasn’t shone away from home, with 0% of wins and 40% of draws. They have scored 4 goals and also conceded 4. Their offensive efficiency has been only 0% and their defense at 14%.

The probability of Rionegro winning is 18.11%. The draw has a 26.77% chance, and Jaguares de Cordoba’s victory has a 55.12% probability.

A match with less than 1.5 goals is also likely with odds of 2.85. The scenario of more than 1.5 goals is more probable at 70.87%.

Looking at their recent matches, we see Rionegro scoring in every match except one. Jaguares de Cordoba has struggled to score during their away games.

Analyzing this information, it seems that Jaguares de Cordoba has a higher chance of winning, but with few goals scored in the match. A draw or a Rionegro win could be a surprise with odds of 2.10.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analysis and predictions point to a higher chance of victory for Jaguares de Cordoba, despite their mixed performances away from home. However, the limited offensive potential of both teams suggests a low-scoring match, with higher chances of total goals being under 2.5.

The interesting value here might be a bet on the match result being a draw or a win for Rionegro. Despite the lower odds, Rionegro’s strong home record and Jaguares de Cordoba’s struggles away from home favor this bet.

Finally, the most probable exact score seems to be a 1-1 draw, taking into account past performances and current statistics of both teams.

In summary, while considering these analyses, it is important to keep in mind that sports betting always involves risk and does not guarantee certain gains. Therefore, it is important to bet responsibly.