Tipps Rionegro Aguilas Millonarios Primera A 26/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Millonarios Bogota wins the match.

1. Millonarios Bogota has a higher cumulative probability of drawing or winning the match (69.27%) compared to Rionegro (65.1%).
2. Although Millonarios Bogota has not won any of their last 5 away matches, they have managed to secure a draw in 60% of those cases, indicating some resilience despite being the visiting team.
3. Both teams have similar offensive and defensive potential, with Rionegro on average scoring and conceding 1 goal per match, and Millonarios Bogota both scoring and conceding 1 goal per match. This, coupled with the fact that both teams have failed to score in 58.33% of cases, may suggest that the match could end in a draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The recent performances of both teams show limited offensive potential with only 1 goal scored on average per match for both teams in their respective last 5 matches.
2. The recent home matches of Rionegro and away matches of Millonarios Bogota have generally not seen more than 2.5 goals, with a few exceptions.
3. The provided probabilities suggest that the match is more likely to have less than 2.5 goals, with a success probability of 65.1% for a draw or Rionegro winning the match, and 69.27% for a draw or Millonarios Bogota winning the match. These probabilities indicate a strong tendency towards low-scoring matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: No

1. Defensive Performances: At home, Rionegro concedes on average 0.8 goals per match, while away, Millonarios Bogota also concedes on average 1 goal per match. This shows that both teams have a fairly solid defensive record.

2. Millonarios Bogota’s Recent Away Form: In their last 5 away matches, Millonarios Bogota have not won any games and have only scored 5 goals, indicating a significant offensive weakness when playing away.

3. Betting Statistics: According to the odds, there is a 58.33% probability that both teams will not score. Betting statistics are based on a wide range of factors and information, and are generally very accurate.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Rionegro 1-1 Millonarios Bogota

1. Recent statistics suggest that both teams are capable of scoring goals, with Rionegro averaging 1 goal per home match, and Millonarios Bogota achieving the same on average in their away matches. This supports the prediction of a 1-1 scoreline.

2. Both teams have a relatively balanced probability of winning the match, with Rionegro at 30.73% and Millonarios Bogota at 34.9%. However, the highest percentage is for a draw at 34.38%. This reinforces the idea of a tight match that could end in a draw.

3. Millonarios Bogota’s last five away matches have all ended with a score of over 1.5 goals, and Rionegro’s home matches also tend to finish with over 1.5 goals. The probability of over 1.5 goals in the match is 61.46%, further supporting the prediction of a 1-1 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Rionegro has won 60% of their recent home matches, scoring 10 goals and conceding 10. The team has shown a good performance, averaging one goal scored per match and conceding an average of 0.8 goals per match.

Millonarios Bogota has not won any of their recent away matches. The team has scored a total of 5 goals and conceded 7, with an average of one goal scored and conceded per match.

The probability of Rionegro winning the match is 30.73%, a draw is 34.38%, and Millonarios winning is 34.9%. The probability of a match with over 1.5 goals is 61.46%.

Based on recent results, the option “under 3.5 goals in the match” has the highest success probability at 89.58%.

Recent matches show that Rionegro has a strong performance at home, while Millonarios struggles away. However, the match seems to be heading towards a tight encounter with few goals.

A cautious prediction would be a match with under 3.5 goals. However, football being unpredictable, all scenarios remain possible.

The potential number of goals

Rionegro, at home, shows a neutral goal balance with 10 goals scored against 10 conceded. Averaging 1 goal per match places them with an offensive potential of 36%. Their defense, conceding on average 0.8 goals per match, has a defensive potential of 29%.

Millonarios Bogota, on the road, has scored 5 goals and conceded 7. Averaging 1 goal scored per match gives them an offensive potential of 36%. Their defense, which also concedes 1 goal per match, has a defensive potential of 36%.

The probabilities slightly favor Millonarios Bogota with 34.9% against 30.73% for Rionegro. However, by betting on a draw or Rionegro’s victory, the success rate is 65.1%.

Regarding the number of goals, a match with less than 3.5 goals is highly probable: 89.58%. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is lower: 41.67%.

Finally, based on these data, the match could end with a low score, with a slight inclination towards a victory for Millonarios Bogota or a draw.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the detailed analysis based on statistics and probabilities of the two teams – Rionegro and Millonarios Bogota – indicates a potentially close match with a relatively low number of goals. Millonarios Bogota seems to have a slight edge in terms of probabilities, however, the possibility of a draw or even a Rionegro victory should not be ruled out. The safe bet appears to be “under 2.5 goals in the match”, with a very high probability and good betting value. The exact score of 1-1 could also be an interesting option to consider. Nevertheless, as always in the field of sports betting, while statistics and analyses provide guidance, nothing is ever 100% certain, as football is a sport full of surprises and uncertainties. Therefore, it is always advisable to bet responsibly.