Tipps River Plate Rosario Central Copa de la Liga Profesional 08/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

River Plate wins the match.

1. The strong likelihood of River Plate’s victory: Statistics show a success probability of 79.37% for River Plate’s victory. This is a very strong indicator in favor of this prediction choice.

2. River Plate’s home match history: In their last 5 home matches, River Plate won in 60% of cases and scored an average of 1.2 goals per match. This demonstrates their ability to capitalize on home advantage to achieve positive results.

3. Analysis of Rosario Central’s away performances: Rosario Central has only won in 20% of cases in their last 5 away matches with a very low average of goals scored (0.6 goals per match). This reflects difficulties in obtaining good results when playing away.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. River Plate’s home statistics show a trend towards high-scoring matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per match (the sum of goals scored and conceded) in their last 5 matches.
2. River Plate’s offensive ratio at home is high at 43%, indicating a strong likelihood of scoring. Furthermore, Rosario Central’s defensive ratio away is 50%, suggesting a higher probability of conceding goals.
3. The probability of the match ending with over 2.5 goals is 51.85%, a relatively high probability compared to other available options for the same criterion.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. River Plate has a good defense at home. In the last 5 matches, River Plate has on average conceded 1.6 goals per match. This suggests that they have a solid defense and are capable of resisting their opponents’ attacks.

2. Rosario Central struggles to score away from home. In the last 5 matches, they have scored an average of only 0.6 goals per match. This shows that they have difficulty finding the back of the net when playing away, meaning it is unlikely that they will score against River Plate.

3. The statistics indicate a low probability of both teams scoring. According to the provided probabilities, there is a 56.61% chance that both teams will not score. This suggests that this outcome is more likely than the other, supporting the prediction that both teams will not score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Rosario Central wins the match – 3.00

Bet on the exact result

River Plate 2-0 Rosario Central

1. Performance history: River Plate has won 60% of their last 5 home matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored per match. Rosario Central, on the other hand, has only won 20% of their last 5 away matches, scoring an average of 0.6 goals per match.

2. Defensive statistics: In their respective last 5 matches, River Plate has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per match at home, while Rosario Central has conceded an average of 1.4 goals per match away. This indicates a possible weakness in Rosario Central’s defense when playing away.

3. Offensive and defensive potential: River Plate has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 57%, whereas Rosario Central has an offensive potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 50%. River Plate’s superiority in these areas could give them the edge needed to win the match without conceding a goal.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

River Plate has a good home form with a victory in 60% of their last matches. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 10, a defense that needs improvement.

Rosario Central, on the other hand, struggles away from home, winning only 20% of their last matches, with only 1 goal scored and 2 conceded. Their offensive performance is weak.

In terms of potential, River Plate has an attacking strength of 43%. Their defensive potential is higher at 57%. In comparison, Rosario has 21% in attack and 50% in defense.

The odds heavily favor a River Plate victory with a probability of 79.37% at 1.37. A draw is less likely at 15.87% for odds of 4.60.

Regarding goals, the “over 1.5 goals” option is preferred with a probability of 77.25% and odds of 1.26. Both teams are more likely not to score with a 56.61% probability at odds of 1.67.

Based on their recent matches, River Plate won against Gimnasia La Plata 3-1 and Estudiantes La Plata 2-1. In contrast, Rosario Central suffered defeats against Argentinos Juniors 3-0 and Velez Sarsfield 1-0.

In summary, River Plate seems to be in better form, especially at home. However, the number of goals could be less than 3, considering Rosario Central’s poor offensive performance.

The potential number of goals

River Plate has shown good results at home with a 60% win rate. This contrasts with Rosario Central’s away performances, which have only won 20% of their matches. River Plate’s offense is more powerful with an average of 1.2 goals per match, while Rosario Central’s performance is lower with only 0.6 goals per match. In terms of defense, River Plate concedes an average of 1.6 goals per match compared to 1.4 goals for Rosario Central. These statistics predict a success probability of 79.37% for a win for River Plate, compared to only 4.76% for Rosario Central.

In terms of the number of goals, the indicator seems to favor a match with more than 1.5 goals (77.25% probability). The forecast also indicates that it would be more likely to see less than 3.5 goals in the match (74.07% probability). Finally, the numbers suggest that it is more probable that both teams will not score (56.61% probability).

Taken together, these elements indicate that River Plate is the favorite for this match. However, there may be fewer goals than average in this match, with a 74.07% probability for fewer than 3.5 goals. The forecasts also indicate that a win for River Plate or a draw is the most likely result.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, all indicators point towards a likely victory for River Plate in this match against Rosario Central. The statistics and past performances of River Plate provide a strong insight into their strength, especially when playing at home. Furthermore, Rosario Central’s inability to score in their away matches further reinforces this prediction. However, despite the high likelihood of a River Plate win, the number of goals may be lower than average given Rosario Central’s poor offensive performance. Therefore, betting on a River Plate win with less than 3.5 goals in the match could be the wisest and most profitable decision for those looking to make a smart bet on this match. Finally, the most interesting betting value could be a bet on a draw or a Rosario Central win, considering the bookmakers’ odds and the opportunity to exploit River Plate’s potentially vulnerable defense.