Tipps River Plate Velez Sarsfield Liga Profesional Argentina 19/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or River Plate wins the match.

1. River Plate has a strong home performance, with 60% wins and only 20% draws. This gives River Plate an advantage on their own turf.
2. The odds for the “River Plate wins or draw” have a success probability of 67.17%, which is significantly higher than that for “Velez Sarsfield wins the match” at 32.83%. This indicates that bookmakers favor River Plate or a draw.
3. River Plate has a 21% offensive potential at home while only having a defensive potential of 14%, indicating that they are less likely to concede goals at home compared to their potential to score goals.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match – 59.6% chance of success: 2.36

1. The offensive statistics of both teams: Taking into account their recent matches, River Plate has scored 7 goals while Velez Sarsfield has scored 11. This demonstrates a strong offensive potential for both teams, who could easily score over 2.5 goals combined during the match.

2. The defensive statistics of both teams: Also considering their recent matches, River Plate has conceded 8 goals and Velez Sarsfield has conceded 12. These data show vulnerable defenses on both sides which could lead to more than 2.5 goals in the match.

3. The results of their recent away/home matches: Many of Velez Sarsfield’s recent away matches and River Plate’s home matches have seen more than 2.5 goals, including high-scoring matches like River Plate 4 – 1 Atletico Tucuman and Barracas Central 0 – 5 Velez Sarsfield. This pattern of high-scoring matches reinforces the idea that the match could have more than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. Recent statistics from River Plate and Velez Sarsfield show a significant offensive performance. The scorelines of the last matches indicate that both teams have a strong tendency to score goals, with River Plate scoring 7 goals in 5 home matches and Velez Sarsfield scoring 11 goals in 5 away matches.

2. Looking at the defensive performances, both teams have also shown a tendency to concede goals. River Plate has conceded 8 goals in 5 home matches, while Velez Sarsfield has conceded 12 goals in 5 away matches. This trend highlights the possibility of both teams scoring during the match.

3. The probability odds also support the idea that both teams will score, with a success probability of 59.09%. Furthermore, the recent matches of River Plate and Velez Sarsfield feature several occasions where both teams have scored.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Velez Sarsfield wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

River Plate 1-1 Velez Sarsfield

1. The past performances of both teams are quite similar. In their last 5 matches, River Plate wins 60% at home and Velez Sarsfield wins 60% away, indicating a fairly balanced performance.

2. The offensive and defensive potentials of each team, River Plate at 21% offensive and 14% defensive, while Velez Sarsfield has an offensive potential of 36% and defensive of 21%. This supports the idea of a close score.

3. The odds given for the match also suggest a close game. For instance, the draw option has a probability of 21.21%, while River Plate and Velez Sarsfield have winning probabilities of 45.96% and 32.83% respectively.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

River Plate, at home, shows a steady performance with a 45.96% probability of winning. In their last 5 matches, they win 60% of the time, but have been average offensively with 7 goals. This indicates a moderate offensive capability of around 21%.

Velez Sarsfield, playing away, also wins 60% of their matches. However, their offensive performance is more remarkable with 11 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating a potential offensive capability of 36%.

Defensively, River Plate has a strong performance by conceding only 0.4 goals per match at home (defensive potential of 14%). Velez Sarsfield, unfortunately, has conceded more goals (0.6 on average), resulting in a defensive potential of 21%.

The probability of a draw is 21.21%, so less likely than a victory for River Plate. On the other hand, the option of a draw or a Velez Sarsfield win has a probability of 54.04%, which is quite interesting for a bet.

The analysis indicates a high likelihood of more than 1.5 goals in the match (81.82%) and a probability of 59.09% that both teams will score.

In conclusion, the defensive performance of River Plate and the offensive efficiency of Velez Sarsfield could lead to a balanced encounter, but the numbers favor a victory for River Plate with at least 1.5 goals in the game.

The potential number of goals

The performance of River Plate at home is similar to Velez Sarsfield’s away form, with both teams having a 60% win rate. However, River Plate has only scored 7 goals, compared to Velez Sarsfield’s 11. River Plate is less strong offensively with a potential of 21%, but more solid defensively at 14%. Velez Sarsfield shows more offensive strength at 36%, but a defensive weakness at 21%.

The prediction slightly favors River Plate with a win probability of 45.96% compared to 32.83% for Velez Sarsfield. The draw is at 21.21%.

In terms of the number of goals, a lively match is expected. The prediction leans towards over 1.5 goals with a probability of 81.82%. Over 2.5 goals is at 59.6%.

Looking at recent results of both teams, they confirm this trend. River Plate has conceded at least one goal in 4 of their last 5 home matches, while Velez Sarsfield has scored in all their away games.

Based on this data, I would recommend betting on “Over 1.5 goals in the match” with odds of 1.45. However, remember, football remains unpredictable.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match promises to be closely contested given the past and current performances of both teams. River Plate, with their home advantage and solid defense, appears to be the favorite for this match. However, Velez Sarsfield with their strong offensive capabilities could defy the odds.

Sports bettors may therefore consider placing a bet on a “draw or a River Plate win” due to the higher probability of success at 67.17%. The bet “over 2.5 goals in the match” also has a reasonable chance of success at 59.6%. For a value bet, the bet “Velez Sarsfield to win the match” could be an interesting option given its high odds of 3.65, despite a lower success probability of 32.83%.

It is also worth noting that both teams have scored in a high proportion of their recent matches, favoring the bet “both teams to score”.

However, it is important to remember that all bets involve risks and it is essential for each player to consider a multitude of factors, such as the current form of the teams, before making a betting decision. Lastly, make sure to bet responsibly.

Based on all the elements analyzed in this article, it appears that River Plate has a slight edge to win this match at home, but Velez Sarsfield could surprise by scoring as well.