Tipps Rodina Moskva FK Neftekhimik Premier League 25/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Rodina Moscow or draw”

1. The offensive potential of Rodina Moskva at home is superior to that of FK Neftekhimik away. Rodina Moskva scores on average 1.4 goals per match compared to 0.4 for FK Neftekhimik, representing a significant difference that gives Rodina Moskva an advantage.

2. The defensive performances of Rodina Moskva at home are better than those of FK Neftekhimik away. Rodina Moskva concedes only 1.2 goals per match on average, while FK Neftekhimik concedes 1 goal per match. This gives a defensive potential of 43% for Rodina Moskva against 36% for FK Neftekhimik, suggesting a higher probability for Rodina Moskva to resist the attacks of FK Neftekhimik.

3. In their recent home matches, Rodina Moskva has shown some consistency by scoring at least one goal in every match. On the other hand, FK Neftekhimik has had mixed results away, even losing twice without scoring. These recent trends indicate that Rodina Moskva is more likely to score and dominate the game.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5

1. The statistics show that both teams have stable defensive performances, with Rodina Moskva conceding an average of 1.2 goals and FK Neftekhimik conceding an average of 1 goal in their last 5 matches respectively. These numbers suggest that both teams are less likely to concede more than 2 goals.

2. The offensive performances of both teams in the last 5 matches have been average to low. Rodina Moskva has scored an average of 1.4 goals per home match while FK Neftekhimik has scored an average of 0.4 goals per away match. With such offensive potential, it is less likely for the total goals in the match to exceed 2.5.

3. Referring to the last 5 matches of each team, it has been observed that most matches have had fewer than 2.5 goals, whether at home for Rodina Moskva or away for FK Neftekhimik. These precedents strengthen the argument for a total goals under 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No.

1. FK Neftekhimik’s weak offensive performance on the road: With an average of 0.4 goals scored per match in its last 5 outings, FK Neftekhimik struggles to find the back of the net away from home, increasing the likelihood of only one team scoring.
2. Solid defensive skills from both teams: Rodina Moskva and FK Neftekhimik have defensive potentials of 43% and 36% respectively in their last 5 matches. These strong defensive statistics show that both teams are capable of resisting opponent attacks, which could limit the number of goals scored by the opposing team.
3. Previous match scores of Rodina Moskva at home and FK Neftekhimik on the road: In Rodina Moskva’s last 5 home matches, 2 ended in a clean sheet. Additionally, Neftekhimik failed to score in two of its last five away games. These trends indicate a probability that one of the teams may not score in the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Rodina Moscow 1-1 FK Neftekhimik.

1. Recent Statistics: Both teams have displayed similar statistics in their last 5 matches. They have each won 40% of their games and drawn in 20% of cases. This gives a slight parity advantage for a final score of 1-1.

2. Goal Average: At home, Rodina Moskva scores and concedes an average of 1.4 and 1.2 goals per match respectively. On the other hand, FK Neftekhimik averages 0.4 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per away match. These statistics suggest a mean score between 1-1 and 2-1, with a 1-1 score being a reasonable probability.

3. Defensive and Offensive Potential: Both teams have similar defensive potentials (43% for Rodina Moskva and 36% for FK Neftekhimik). However, Rodina Moskva has a higher offensive potential (50% compared to 14% for FK Neftekhimik). This indicates a likelihood that one team may score a goal while limiting the other team to just one goal. Therefore, a 1-1 score seems plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Rodina Moskva shows a balanced performance at home, with a 40% win rate and a 20% draw rate. They score and concede 8 goals, stabilizing their performance.

FK Neftekhimik, on the other hand, has the same 40% win rate on the road and a 20% draw rate, but only scores 5 goals and concedes the same amount.

The statistics indicate that Rodina Moskva has a more aggressive attack at home, with an average of 1.4 goals per match. FK Neftekhimik, away from home, is slightly less offensive and concedes an average of one goal per match.

These numbers suggest a balanced encounter, with a slight edge for Rodina Moskva playing at home and showcasing a more solid offensive line.

It is impossible to predict a winner or even a draw with 100% certainty. However, confidently predicting fewer than 4.5 goals in the match seems reasonable. Both teams have strong defenses with few goals conceded.

Recent home matches for Rodina Moskva have shown some inconsistency, while away matches for FK Neftekhimik have displayed a tendency to concede goals.

In conclusion, this match looks to be closely contested, but Rodina Moskva appears to have a slight advantage.

The potential number of goals

Rodina Moskva has shown a balanced performance at home, with 8 goals scored and 8 goals conceded in their last 5 matches. FK Neftekhimik, playing away, has displayed a strong defense with only 5 goals conceded, but a moderate attack with 5 goals scored.

Rodina Moskva has a 50% offensive power at home, averaging 1.4 goals per match. Their defensive potential is also solid at 43%, conceding only 1.2 goals per match. On the other hand, FK Neftekhimik is less offensive away, scoring only 0.4 goals per match, with an offensive potential of only 14%. However, they maintain a tight defensive line, with an average of 1 goal conceded per match and a defensive potential of 36%.

Statistics point to a 100% probability of fewer than 3.5 goals in this match, and an equal probability for fewer than 4.5 goals. However, there is a 100% probability that both teams will not score in this match.

Based on these statistics, the match between Rodina Moskva and FK Neftekhimik could result in a low number of goals and a high probability that both teams will fail to score.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Rodina Moskva and FK Neftekhimik seems to promise a tight competition, given the relatively balanced performances of both teams in their previous matches. However, Rodina Moskva appears to have an advantage, especially playing at home, thanks to their slightly superior offensive potential. On the other hand, while FK Neftekhimik has a strong defense, their weak offensive performance could limit their chances of victory.

In terms of betting, the recommendation would be to bet on Rodina Moskva or a draw for the 1X2 prediction, while for Over/Under 2.5, a bet on “Under 2.5” seems to be a reasonable option. Furthermore, betting on “Both teams to score: No” is also a viable option, considering their respective low offensive performance. A bet offering an interesting value bet would be “Under 2.5 goals in the match”.

Finally, betting on the exact score could prove to be riskier, however, a score of 1-1 seems to be a plausible estimate, considering their history and the statistics provided. Nevertheless, like any bet, these suggestions remain subject to the inherent uncertainty in football and should be approached with caution.