Tipps Romania Bulgaria Matchs amicaux 04/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Romania wins the match”

1. Romania has an offensive potential of 57% at home in their last 5 games, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per game. Compared to Bulgaria, which has an offensive potential of 50% away from home with an average of 1.4 goals per game, Romania seems to have an offensive advantage.

2. Bulgaria has a poor record in away games, winning only 20% of the time in their last 5 matches. Additionally, the team has conceded an average of 1 goal per game away, indicating a defensive weakness.

3. Betting statistics also give an edge to Romania, with a 55.79% probability of winning the match, compared to only 14.21% for Bulgaria. This prediction reflects the analysis of both teams’ previous performances.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The average number of goals scored per match, for both teams, is 1.6 for Romania and 1.4 for Bulgaria. This totals an average of 3 goals per match, which is slightly above the 2.5 goals threshold. However, considering the respective defenses of the teams and the number of goals conceded per match (0.4 for Romania, 1 for Bulgaria), a total of under 2.5 goals in the match is a plausible scenario.

2. Odds analysis indicates an 81.58% probability for less than 3.5 goals to be scored in the match. This suggests a low-scoring match is likely, reinforcing the argument for under 2.5 goals.

3. Reviewing the recent matches of Romania at home and Bulgaria away shows that a large number of these games have had less than 2.5 goals. This sets a precedent for a low-scoring match between these two teams.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No.

1. At home, Romania has a strong defense, conceding an average of only 0.4 goals per match. This reduces Bulgaria’s chances of scoring a goal.
2. Bulgaria’s away offense is not very effective, scoring only an average of 1.4 goals per match. The likelihood of them scoring a goal is therefore relatively low.
3. Lastly, Bulgaria’s defensive potential away from home is at 36%. This indicates that Bulgaria tends to concede goals, so if Romania scores an early goal, Bulgaria may choose to focus more on defense to avoid further goals, further decreasing their chances of scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Romania 2-1 Bulgaria

1. Romania has shown solid form at home, winning 60% of their matches which suggests they are likely to win against Bulgaria. Additionally, their offensive potential at home is at 57%, showing their ability to score goals.

2. As for Bulgaria, in their away matches, they have only won 20% of their games and have conceded more goals (7) than they have scored (5). Furthermore, their offensive potential away from home is lower than that of Romania, and their defensive potential is also weaker.

3. The odds also suggest a high probability (55.79%) of Romania winning the match, and a slightly lower probability (44.21%) for both teams to score. This means a scoreline of 2-1 is quite probable given these statistics.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Romania plays well at home. They have won 60% of their last 5 matches. They have scored 9 goals but conceded 10. Their offensive potential is 57%.

On the other hand, Bulgaria struggles on the road. They have only won 20% of their last 5 away matches. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 7. Their offensive potential is 50%.

The probability of Romania winning is 55.79%. If you bet on them, the odds are 1.57. However, if you think Bulgaria can win, the odds are 6.00, but the probability is only 14.21%.

The match may not be high-scoring. There is a 74.21% chance of more than 1.5 goals, and 46.84% for more than 2.5 goals. Less than 3.5 goals is very likely, with 81.58%.

The probability of both teams scoring is 44.21%, while the probability of both teams not scoring is 55.79%.

In their recent matches, Romania drew with Northern Ireland and Israel, but defeated Switzerland, Andorra, and Kosovo. Bulgaria drew with Azerbaijan and Serbia, won against Tanzania, but lost to Albania and Montenegro.

In summary, Romania appears to be the favorite. The match may not be very offensive, with the possibility of both teams not scoring.

The potential number of goals

Romania is strong at home. In the last 5 matches, they have won 60% of the time. However, they have scored 9 goals but also conceded 10. In other words, they are robust but with a defense that needs to improve.

On the other hand, Bulgaria’s results away from home are more mixed. With only 20% of victories in the last 5 matches, their performance needs to be monitored. They have scored fewer goals (5) and also conceded fewer (7).

Romania appears to be more aggressive. They average 1.6 goals per match at home. Bulgaria is more reserved away from home, averaging 1.4 goals per match.

For this match, there is a 55.79% chance of Romania winning. However, a draw is also a possibility with a 30% probability. A Bulgarian victory seems less likely with only a 14.21% chance.

In terms of goals, there is a 74.21% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals. On the other hand, fewer than 3.5 goals seems to be the most probable scenario with an 81.58% chance.

Conclusion: This match looks intense with Romania being aggressive at home. Prediction: more than 1.5 goals and a win or draw for Romania.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistical and strategic elements presented strongly favor Romania in this match against Bulgaria. With its recent offensive and defensive performances, Romania holds a clear advantage, notably due to its strength at home. The match appears to lend itself to a defensive-oriented play strategy with a significant likelihood of fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. This could make it an interesting “value bet” for bettors. The prediction of both teams not scoring reinforces the idea of a defense-focused match. Despite the possibility of Bulgaria scoring as suggested by the predicted exact score of 2-1, the overall probability of Bulgaria scoring remains low. Romania, with its strong home form, is therefore the favorite in this match. For a safer bet, Romania’s victory combined with fewer than 3.5 goals in the match could be a solid betting strategy.