Tipps Romania Ukraine Euro 2024 17/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Ukraine wins the match”

1. Previous performance: Over their last 5 matches, Ukraine has a better win rate (60%) compared to Romania (40%). In simple terms, Ukraine is showing better form than Romania.

2. Offensive and defensive potential: In terms of statistics, Ukraine has an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 36% in their last 5 away matches. This is significantly higher than Romania, which has an offensive and defensive potential of only 29% in their last 5 home matches.

3. Probability of success: According to the success probabilities, Ukraine has a 46.99% chance of winning the match, which is far superior to Romania’s 23.49% probability. Furthermore, the option of a draw or Ukraine winning the match has a success probability of 76.51%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent history shows that Romania’s home attack is quite poor, with an average of 0.8 goals per match. Therefore, they may struggle to significantly contribute to the overall score of the match.

2. Ukraine’s away games tend to be relatively tight, with only 1 goal conceded on average per match. This suggests that their defense is solid when playing away.

3. By examining the previous scores of Romania’s home matches and Ukraine’s away matches, it can be seen that they often have games with less than 2.5 goals. In particular, Romania has had less than 2.5 goals in all of their last 5 home matches. This reinforces the likelihood of a low total number of goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics demonstrate an offensive and defensive capacity of both teams. For instance, Romania has scored 6 goals and conceded 6 goals in their recent home matches, while Ukraine has scored 10 goals and conceded 11 goals in their recent away matches.
2. The numbers show a relatively high average of goals per match for both teams. Romania averages 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per home match, while Ukraine averages 1.8 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per away match. This indicates a tendency for both teams to score and concede in their respective matches.
3. The probabilities indicate that the match is likely to be competitive, with Ukraine having a 46.99% probability of winning and Romania having a 23.49% probability of winning. A competitive match increases the chances of both teams scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

More than 2.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Romania 1-2 Ukraine

1. Ukraine’s offensive potential is significantly higher than Romania’s, with an average of 1.8 goals scored per match compared to 0.8 for Romania. This suggests a higher probability that Ukraine will score more goals.

2. The probability of Ukraine winning the match is also higher (46.99% compared to 23.49% for Romania), which increases the chances of a score in favor of the Ukrainians.

3. The average goals conceded per match for Ukraine and Romania are quite close (1 for Ukraine and 0.8 for Romania). This increases the possibility of successful shots exchanges as they face each other, supporting a possible score of 1-2.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Romania, playing at home, has a moderate performance with only 40% of wins in their last 5 matches. They seem to struggle to score, with only 6 goals scored. Their defense is balanced, having conceded the same amount. They average 0.8 goals per match. The probability of them winning the match is 23.49%.

On the other hand, Ukraine shows good form away from home with 60% of wins in their last 5 matches. More offensive, they have scored 10 goals, although they have conceded more (11 goals). Their average goals per match is 1.8. The probability of them winning the match is 46.99%.

The possibility of a draw is 29.52%. The probabilities indicate more than a fifty-fifty chance (53.01%) of Romania winning or drawing the match.

Based on the numbers, it is more likely to have less than 3.5 goals in the match (76.51% probability). More than 1.5 goals in the match have a success probability of 64.46%.

The chance of both teams scoring is slightly lower than both teams not scoring (47.59% vs 52.41%).

In summary, the statistics favor a Ukraine win, but a Romania surprise cannot be ruled out. A low-scoring match is also very probable.

The potential number of goals

Romania, in 5 home matches, has shown a balanced performance with 6 goals scored and conceded. Their win rate is at 40%.

On the other hand, Ukraine has a better record, with a 60% away win rate, scoring 10 goals and conceding 11.

In terms of average performance per match, Romania has an average of 0.8 goals scored and conceded. Their offensive and defensive potential is at 29%.

Ukraine, on the other hand, has an average of 1.8 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per match. Their offensive potential is at 64% and defensive at 36%.

In terms of predictions, Ukraine is expected to win with a 46.99% probability (odds of 2.05). A draw has a probability of 29.52% (odds of 3.41).

In regards to goals, it is more likely to have less than 3.5 goals in the match, with a 76.51% chance of success (odds of 1.25). Another odds to consider is that both teams might not score, with a probability of 52.41% (odds of 1.87).

These statistics are supported by the recent matches of each team, showing a weaker offensive trend from Romania and a better away performance from Ukraine.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on statistics and recent performances, Ukraine has better chances of winning the match against Romania. However, a football match is always unpredictable, and a surprise from Romania cannot be completely ruled out. According to the probabilities, the number of goals is expected to be less than 3.5, and there is a reasonable chance that both teams will score. Nonetheless, the interesting value bet would be to bet on over 2.5 goals in the match, given Ukraine’s offensive potential away from home. As for betting on the exact score of the match, the data suggests a possible 1-2 in favor of Ukraine. Finally, it is crucial to remember that sports betting remains a game of chance and uncertainty, with the final outcome of a football match depending on multiple factors that can exceed simple statistical analysis.