Tipps Rosario Central Deportivo Riestra Copa de la Liga Profesional 19/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Rosario Central wins the match.”

1. Over their last 5 home matches, Rosario Central has performed better with a win in 60% of cases and a draw in 20% of cases, compared to Deportivo Riestra’s 20% away win rate in their last 5 matches.

2. Rosario Central has a home offensive potential that is 29% higher than Deportivo Riestra’s away potential (also at 29%), coupled with a home defensive potential of 64%, which is also higher than Deportivo Riestra’s 29% away defensive potential.

3. The probability of Rosario Central winning the match is the highest among the three possible outcomes at a success rate of 50%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. A generally low scoring trend: With a total of 10 goals scored and 13 goals conceded in their respective last 5 matches, Rosario Central and Deportivo Riestra have an average score of less than 2.5 goals per match, suggesting a trend towards low-scoring games.

2. Defensive performances: According to the provided statistics, Rosario Central has a defensive performance of 64%, while Deportivo Riestra has a defensive performance of 29%, indicating that both teams are capable of limiting the opponent’s goals.

3. Head-to-head history: Recent head-to-head matches of Rosario Central at home and Deportivo Riestra away show a trend towards relatively low scores, with the majority of matches resulting in a total of less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Rosario Central’s notable defensive performance at home is evident with an average of 1.8 goals conceded per match and a defensive potential of 64%. Meanwhile, Deportivo Riestra has an average of only 0.8 goals scored per match away, reducing the likelihood of both teams scoring.

2. Recent match statistics show that in most of Rosario Central’s home games, the opposing team has managed not to score (3 out of the last 5 matches). This reinforces the idea that both teams will not score during the match.

3. The success probability for the ‘Both teams to score – No’ option is 54.49%, which is higher than the ‘Both teams to score – Yes’ option at 45.51%. Therefore, it seems more likely that both teams will fail to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Deportivo Riestra wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Rosario Central 1-1 Deportivo Riestra

1. Based on the last 5 home matches of Rosario Central, they have an average of 0.8 goals scored per game. Additionally, they have an offensive potential of 29%, meaning they generally score at least 1 goal in their home matches.
2. Deportivo Riestra’s away statistics show they have an average of 0.8 goals scored per game, indicating they also tend to score at least 1 goal away from home. Furthermore, their offensive potential is 29%, quite similar to that of Rosario Central.
3. Both teams have shown a tendency to not have a significant difference in goals with their opponents in their recent matches. This is supported by the respective defensive potential of each team (64% for Rosario Central and 29% for Deportivo Riestra), suggesting there could be goals from both sides.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Rosario Central dominates at home with a 60% win rate and a 20% draw rate. However, they have scored fewer goals (6) than they have conceded (7). Deportivo Riestra struggles a bit more away from home with only a 20% win rate and 20% draw rate, scoring 4 goals while conceding 6.

On average per match, Rosario Central scores 0.8 goals and concedes 1.8. As for Deportivo Riestra, they both score and concede the same average of 0.8 goals per match.

Statistics place Rosario Central as the favorite with a 50% probability of winning compared to 20.51% for Deportivo Riestra. However, a draw is also possible at 29.49%.

In terms of the number of goals, there is a 28.85% probability of less than 1.5 goals in the match, while more than 1.5 goals in the match have a probability of 71.15%. Moreover, the odds suggest that the chances are higher for less than 3.5 goals in the match, with a probability of 105.77%.

Analyzing the teams’ recent matches, a striking pattern is visible: Rosario Central usually scores one goal per match at home, while Deportivo Riestra struggles to score away. This could suggest a possible victory for Rosario Central or a draw.

In conclusion, the probabilities and historical data suggest that Rosario Central has a chance to win or draw, with a probable number of goals below 3.5.

The potential number of goals

Rosario Central seems stronger at home, with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches, but their defense is weak, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game. Deportivo Riestra struggles away, with a win rate of only 20%, but their solid defense only concedes 0.8 goals per game.

The probability of Rosario Central winning is 50% with odds of 1.78, while Deportivo Riestra has a 20.51% chance of winning with odds of 4.85. The draw has a probability of 29.49% with odds of 3.40.

The “draw or Rosario Central win” option has a high probability of 79.49% with reduced odds of 1.19. If a close match is expected, “under 1.5 goals in the match” has odds of 2.66, while “Over 1.5 goals” has a 71.15% probability with odds of 1.45.

Going into more specific statistics, “under 2.5 goals in the match” has odds of 1.56, and “Over 2.5 goals” has a 40.38% probability with odds of 2.37.

Based on the past performances of these teams, the bet “both teams to score” has a probability of 45.51% with odds of 2.17, while “both teams not to score” has a probability of 54.49% with odds of 1.63.

Considering these elements, a defensive match with few goals can be expected. Interesting choices could be “under 2.5 goals in the match” or “both teams not to score.”

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, analyzing past data gives us a good idea of the likely outcome of the match between Rosario Central and Deportivo Riestra. Although Rosario Central has a stronger performance at home, Deportivo Riestra’s solid defense should not be underestimated. Overall, it seems likely that Rosario Central will win or draw, but the number of goals is expected to be less than 3.5.

When we take a closer look at the potential number of goals, the option of “under 2.5 goals in the match” or “both teams to not score” appears to be a safe betting choice due to the low number of goals typically scored by these two teams. However, as football is an unpredictable sport, there is always a possibility of surprises, so it is essential to bet responsibly.