Tipps Rosenborg Lillestrom Norvège 21/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Rosenborg wins the match

1. Rosenborg’s home performances are significantly better. In the last 5 matches, they have won 80% of the time compared to Lillestrom’s 20% away wins.
2. Rosenborg’s defensive solidity at home is, on average, higher than Lillestrom’s away from home. Rosenborg concedes an average of 1.4 goals per match compared to Lillestrom’s average of 2 goals away.
3. Based on recent match statistics, the probability of Rosenborg winning appears to be higher. Rosenborg has managed to win against strong teams like Manchester United and ODD Ballklubb at home, while Lillestrom has lost to teams like Stromsgodset and Molde away.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5

1. Both teams have strong defensive performances, with Rosenborg having a defensive potential of 50% and Lillestrom of 71%, which means they are likely to limit the number of goals scored by their opponents.

2. Analysis of the last 5 home matches for Rosenborg and away matches for Lillestrom shows that scores have often been below 2.5 goals, indicating a trend for low-scoring games in these conditions.

3. Finally, the offensive potential of both teams is relatively low. In particular, Rosenborg only averages 1 goal per home match, so even if Lillestrom scores, it is likely that the total number of goals will not exceed 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Recent statistics from Rosenborg at home show a trend towards low scores: in 4 out of the last 5 matches, only one team or none have scored.

2. Lillestrom’s offensive performance away from home is weak, with only one win in the last 5 matches, during which they have scored less than 2 goals on average per game.

3. Both teams have a relatively strong defensive level, with Rosenborg having a defensive potential of 50% while Lillestrom has a defensive potential of 71%. This suggests that both teams are more focused on defense than on offense, which could limit scoring opportunities for either team.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Less than 3.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Rosenborg 1-1 Lillestrom

1. Goal statistics: Both teams have scored and conceded a similar amount of goals in their last 5 matches, whether at home for Rosenborg or away for Lillestrom, which illustrates a possible balance on the field and supports the prediction of a 1-1 score.

2. Home and away performances: Rosenborg has a strong tendency to win at home (80% of cases) and Lillestrom, despite a poor away performance (20% wins), has managed to score in most matches, indicating they are capable of ending Rosenborg’s clean sheet.

3. Head-to-head history: The previous match between Rosenborg and Fredrikstad at home ended in a 1-1 draw, showing that Rosenborg can be held at home despite their recent form. Furthermore, most of Lillestrom’s away matches have ended with them scoring at least one goal, which strengthens the possibility of a 1-1 draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Rosenborg seems strong at home, winning 80% of their last 5 matches. They have been an attacking force with 7 goals scored. However, their defense is a concern, having conceded 8 goals.

Lillestrom, on the other hand, struggles away from home with only a 20% win rate. They have scored 6 goals but also conceded 8 goals.

On average, Rosenborg scores 1 goal and concedes 1.4 goals. They have a 36% offensive potential and a 50% defensive potential.

Lillestrom, on the other hand, averages 1.8 goals scored and 2 goals conceded. They have a 64% offensive potential and a 71% defensive potential.

The probabilities do not point to a clear winner. The score could be low, suggesting less than 1.5 goals in the match. Both teams have a high likelihood of not scoring, supporting a low-scoring game. Expect less than 3.5 goals, and most likely even fewer than 4.5 goals in the match.

Based on their recent performances, Rosenborg may have the edge due to their impressive home record.

The potential number of goals

Rosenborg has had a strong performance playing at home. They have won 80% of their last 5 matches, scoring a total of 7 goals. However, their defense has been breached, conceding 8 goals.

Lillestrom has had a mixed performance away from home, winning only 20% of their last 5 matches. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 8.

Offensively, Rosenborg averages 1 goal per home match, while Lillestrom averages 1.8 away from home. This gives Lillestrom a 64% higher offensive potential.

Defensively, Rosenborg concedes an average of 1.4 goals per home match while Lillestrom concedes 2 away from home, showing a slight defensive weakness in Lillestrom (71%).

It’s worth noting that in each home match for Rosenborg, there have been less than 3.5 goals, indicating a trend of low-scoring matches.

Similarly, neither team has managed to score in 100% of the cases, highlighting a possible offensive weakness on both sides.

Among the latest matches, Rosenborg secured narrow victories against Tromso and Manchester United by scoring only one goal. On the other hand, Lillestrom suffered defeats away from home against Stromsgodset and Kristiansund BK.

Taking these elements into account, this match could end with a low number of goals. Rosenborg might have the advantage being at home, but considering the statistics, the match could also end in a draw.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, with all the compiled and analyzed data, it is advisable to be cautious when placing bets on this match. Rosenborg, with their impressive home performance, seems better positioned to win the match. However, Lillestrom may still find the net due to their ability to score away from home. The statistics also suggest a potential low-scoring game. Betting-wise, one can expect less than 3.5 goals in the match and potentially a 1-1 exact score. As with all bets, even though analyses and predictions provide guidance, it remains crucial to bet responsibly.