Tipps Rotherham Cardiff Championship 04/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Cardiff City wins the match.

1. Cardiff City has a better away performance with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches, compared to Rotherham’s low home win rate of only 20%.
2. Cardiff City shows a higher offensive potential. With an average of 1.2 goals scored per away match, their attack is more effective compared to Rotherham who scores an average of 0 goals per home match.
3. Statistically, the probability of Cardiff City winning is highest in the match predictions at 37.65%, suggesting that even professional tipsters see Cardiff City as the most likely team to win.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. The offensive potential of Rotherham at home is very low, with an average of 0 goals per game and an overall performance that only confirms this trend. Therefore, we should not expect many goals from them in this match.

2. Cardiff City, despite having a slightly better away performance than Rotherham, has an average of only 1.2 goals per game. These are not particularly impressive numbers, especially when compared to their average goals conceded away (2.2).

3. Recent home match statistics for Rotherham and away match statistics for Cardiff City show a general trend towards low scores. In particular, Rotherham’s failure to score in 3 of their last 5 home matches indicates a lack of offensive potential which, coupled with Cardiff’s away performances, makes a match with under 2.5 goals likely.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1) The history of Rotherham’s previous home matches shows a low ability to score goals, with only 2 goals scored in the last 5 matches.

2) Cardiff City has a solid defensive performance in their away games, conceding an average of only 1.2 goals per match. Their probability of defensive success away from home is also quite high at 79%.

3) The probability of both teams not scoring is almost equal to 44.44%, indicating a tendency towards matches with a low number of goals.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Rotherham 1-1 Cardiff City

1. Recent statistics: In their last 5 matches, Rotherham has a draw rate of 40%, while Cardiff City has a more balanced performance with a win rate of 60%, but also a similar number of goals scored and conceded at 5. These statistics suggest an increased likelihood of a draw.

2. Score probabilities: The probability of a draw is higher (32.72%) compared to the chances of either Rotherham or Cardiff City winning (29.63% and 37.65% respectively). Additionally, there is a greater probability (68.52%) for a total of over 1.5 goals in the match, corresponding to the predicted score of 1-1.

3. Home and away goal performances: Rotherham concedes an average of 1.2 goals per match at home, while Cardiff City scores an average of 1.2 goals per match away, which could also result in a 1-1 score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Rotherham shows weakness at home, with only a 20% win rate and 40% draws. They have scored poorly, only 2 goals in the last 5 matches and conceded 3.

Cardiff City, on the other hand, has a stronger away record with a 60% win rate. However, they have as many goals scored as conceded, with 5 goals.

Rotherham’s home offense is almost non-existent (0%) while their defense is at 43%. Cardiff City, away from home, has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive rating of 79%, indicating a strong defense.

The odds suggest an advantage for Cardiff City with a 37.65% chance of winning. A draw is also quite likely, at 32.72%. Betting on “Under 4.5 goals in the match” seems like a safe option with a 93.21% probability.

Recent performances show that Rotherham has struggled to score at home, playing out two goalless draws. Meanwhile, Cardiff City has won their last three away matches.

Prediction: It seems more likely that there will be fewer than 4.5 goals in the match and Cardiff City could win or a draw could occur.

The potential number of goals

Rotherham has struggled to score at home, with only 2 goals in their last 5 matches. Their defense is also weak having conceded 3 goals. With a win probability of 29.63%, they are the underdogs.

Cardiff City scores more away from home, with 5 goals in their last 5 matches. However, they also concede the same amount, 5 goals. Their win probability is 37.65%, higher than Rotherham.

The match is likely to be tight. The likelihood of a draw is 32.72%, slightly lower than Cardiff City’s win.

The option “under 2.5 goals in the match” seems the safest, with a probability of 1.75. Given the low offensive potential of both teams, this seems credible.

Prediction: under 2.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the information and analyses presented, Cardiff City appears to be the favorite team with a higher probability of winning at 37.65%, although the possibility of a draw remains significant at 32.72%. Both teams have shown limited offensive potential recently, suggesting a low-scoring match. Therefore, the safest bet seems to be “under 2.5 goals in the match.”

On the other hand, despite Cardiff City’s advantage in terms of away performance, statistics show that a draw with an exact score of 1-1 cannot be ruled out. In fact, betting on the exact score could offer an interesting betting opportunity.

In conclusion, the forecast for the Rotherham vs Cardiff City match, based on statistics, indicates that bettors should consider the possibility of a low-scoring match. Therefore, betting on “under 2.5 goals in the match” seems to be the best value option. Lastly, it might also be wise to consider a draw or a win for Cardiff City.