Tipps Rudes NK Slaven Belupo HNL 12/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Given the statistics and past performances of both teams, my prediction is that the match will end in a draw.

1. History of draws: Rudes has ended 80% of its last 5 home matches with a draw.

2. Weak offensive performance: Both teams have a low offensive potential of 29%, indicating a lack of goals and increasing the likelihood of a draw.

3. Slaven Belupo’s away difficulties: Slaven Belupo has struggled away from home, winning only 20% of its last 5 matches and never drawing. This points to the possibility of a balanced result when facing a Rudes team that often draws at home.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5”

1. High goal ratio: With an average of 2.6 goals conceded per match for Rudes at home and 2.2 goals conceded per match for Slaven Belupo away, the total goals often exceed 2.5.
2. Weak defense: Both Rudes and Slaven Belupo have weak defensive teams, with a defensive potential of 93% and 79%, suggesting they are likely to concede goals.
3. Match history: The recent matches of Rudes at home and Slaven Belupo away have shown a high number of goals, often exceeding the 2.5 goal threshold.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: No

1. The offensive potential of both teams is low. Indeed, in their respective last 5 matches, Rudes has an average of 0.8 goals per match and Slaven Belupo also has an average of 0.8 goals per match, indicating a weak ability for the teams to score.

2. Rudes has a very high defensive potential at home, at 93%, and Slaven Belupo also has a high one away at 79%, meaning these teams have a strong ability to prevent the opponent from scoring.

3. The recent match history shows that Rudes at home and Slaven Belupo away have often had matches where only one team scores or neither does. For example, in Rudes’ last 5 home matches, 2 matches had only one team scoring, and for Slaven Belupo away, 3 out of 5 matches had only one team scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

“Rudes 1-1 Slaven Belupo”

1. Over their last 5 home matches, Rudes has a high rate of draws (80%) and statistics show that they score an average of 0.8 goals per match, which correlates with the predicted score of 1-1.

2. Away from home, Slaven Belupo shows a low win rate (20%) with an average of 0.8 goals scored per match. This also coincides with the predicted score of 1 goal for this team.

3. The defensive performances of Rudes and Slaven Belupo are 93% and 79% respectively. This suggests that both teams tend to concede goals, making a final score of 1-1 plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Rudes has shown mixed results at home. In their last 5 matches, they have won once and drawn 4 times. Rudes have scored 4 goals while conceding 5, indicating a slightly weak defense.

Slaven Belupo is also not in great form away from home with only one win in their last 5 matches. They have scored 5 times and conceded 9 goals, showing a struggling defense.

Rudes averages 0.8 goals per match at home and concedes 2.6 goals, suggesting offensive weakness. On the other hand, Slaven Belupo also averages 0.8 goals away from home and concedes 2.2 goals, showing similar difficulties.

It seems we should expect a rather closed match, with few goals. In fact, the prediction indicates a 100% likelihood of “under 3.5 goals in the match” and “under 4.5 goals in the match”.

The least likely prediction is that both teams will score in this match (0% chance).

In conclusion, this match seems tricky to predict in terms of a winner. However, there is a high likelihood that the game will be low-scoring.

The potential number of goals

Rudes’ home form is rather weak with only a 20% win rate. Their offense seems to be struggling with only 4 goals scored, and their defense, conceding 5 goals, is also not reassuring.

Slaven Belupo, playing away, also has a mixed record with a 20% win rate. They have found the back of the net 5 times but have conceded no less than 9 goals.

Rudes appears weak at home with an offensive potential of 29% and a defense that lets through almost all attempts, with a defensive potential of 93%.

Slaven Belupo is also struggling in their away games with an offensive potential of 29% and a defense at 79%.

However, the history of matches between these two teams reveals a strong tendency towards rather low scores. There is a 100% probability of there being less than 3.5 and 4.5 goals during the match.

The probability of both teams scoring is 0%, while the probability of neither team scoring is 100%.

Based on these trends, one can expect a match with few goals and a victory is certainly not guaranteed for either team.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Rudes and Slaven Belupo seems to indicate a balanced encounter with a high probability of a draw, as evidenced by the statistics and recent performances of both teams. Although both teams have shown weak offensive performances, the statistical analysis suggests a bet on “under 3.5 goals in the match” as an interesting and high-value betting choice.

Despite their struggling defenses, both teams have difficulty scoring, which reinforces the assumption of a low-scoring match. Betting on “both teams to score: no” therefore seems sensible, but is never a guarantee. Overall, this match is likely to be more focused on strategy and defense rather than a spectacular offensive display.

While victory is never guaranteed in sports, analysis and statistics can help make more informed bets. The safest bet is to lean in this direction, keeping in mind that football always offers surprises.