Tipps Sagan Tosu Kashima J1 League 20/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the statistics and recent performances of the two teams, I would say “Sagan Tosu or Draw” for the match between Sagan Tosu and Kashima Antlers.

1. Recent Performance: Sagan Tosu’s recent performances at home show a positive trend with a 20% win rate and 60% draw rate. In comparison, Kashima Antlers’ away win percentage is only 20% and they have not managed to secure a single draw in their last 5 away matches.

2. Defensive Potential: Sagan Tosu has a solid defense when playing at home, with a defensive potential of 71%. This is significantly higher than Kashima Antlers’ 29% defensive potential when playing away. Furthermore, the Sagan Tosu team has conceded fewer goals than the opposing team (6 against 6).

3. Goal Average: Sagan Tosu scores an average of 0.4 goals per home match, while Kashima Antlers only average 0.6 goals per away match. Even though Sagan Tosu’s offensive potential is not very high, it still surpasses that of Kashima Antlers in the context of this home match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. In their last 5 matches, both teams have shown weak offensive statistics (Sagan Tosu averages 0.4 goals per match, and Kashima Antlers averages 0.8 goals per match). This offensive weakness is the primary argument for a under 2.5 goals prediction.

2. The recent home results of Sagan Tosu and away results of Kashima Antlers also demonstrate their struggles in scoring goals. Sagan Tosu has only scored 5 goals in 5 home matches, and Kashima Antlers has only scored 3 goals in their last 5 away matches, further reinforcing the likelihood of an under 2.5 result.

3. When analyzing information on the defensive potential of both teams, we see that it is quite high, especially for Sagan Tosu who has a defensive potential of 71%. This suggests that they are capable of resisting the opposing attack and limiting the number of goals in the match, another argument for the under 2.5 goals prediction.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The offensive performance of both teams is quite low, with Sagan Tosu scoring an average of 0.4 goals per home match and Kashima Antlers scoring an average of 0.8 goals per away match.
2. Sagan Tosu’s recent defensive performances at home have been solid. In their last 5 home matches, they have conceded an average of 2 goals per game, suggesting a high likelihood that they will not concede any goals.
3. The recent results of both teams also indicate a trend towards matches with only one goal scored or none. In their respective last 5 matches, both Sagan Tosu and Kashima Antlers have experienced matches with only one goal or no goals scored.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Both teams do not score.

Bet on the exact result

Sagan Tosu 1-1 Kashima Antlers

1. In its last 5 home matches, Sagan Tosu has a solid defensive potential (71%), which could limit the number of goals conceded. This supports the prediction of only one goal for Kashima Antlers.

2. Kashima Antlers has an average offensive performance with a 29% offensive potential away from home. However, Sagan Tosu has conceded an average of 2 goals per match at home. This could allow Kashima Antlers to score a goal.

3. The overall performance of Sagan Tosu at home and Kashima Antlers away shows a low win rate (20%) but a higher rate of draws (60% for Sagan Tosu). This suggests that a draw result, like 1-1, is plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Sagan Tosu struggles to win at home with only one victory in their last 5 matches. The team tends to draw more often (60%). They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6.

However, Kashima Antlers is not performing better away from home. They have also won only one of their last 5 matches and have not had any draws. They have scored fewer goals (3) and conceded the same number (6).

Sagan Tosu has a low average of goals per match (0.4) and a weak defense, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. On the other hand, Kashima Antlers manage to score twice as much as Sagan Tosu (0.8 goals) but concede the same amount.

Examining specific performances, Sagan Tosu seems particularly weak against strong teams like Vissel Kobe or Cerezo Osaka, with draws or losses. Similarly, Kashima Antlers struggle on the road, especially against FC Tokyo and Kawasaki Frontale, with heavy defeats.

In terms of probabilities, it seems uncertain to determine a clear winner. However, with a 100% probability, fewer than 3.5 goals have been scored in matches and in only 0% of cases have both teams scored.

In conclusion, this match seems very balanced despite the lackluster past performances. A plausible scenario would be a low-scoring match, suggesting a draw or a minimal victory for one of the teams.

The potential number of goals

Here is the analysis of the upcoming match between Sagan Tosu and Kashima Antlers on April 20, 2024 at 7:00 AM in the J1 League:

Sagan Tosu, playing at home, has had a mediocre performance in the last 5 matches, with only a 20% win rate but showing great resilience with a 60% draw rate. They have scored a total of 5 goals and conceded 6.

On the other hand, Kashima Antlers have not performed well in their last 5 away matches, with only a 20% win rate and no draws. With a total of 3 goals scored and 6 conceded, their form seems lackluster.

In terms of offensive and defensive potential, Sagan Tosu has a weak offensive potential of 14% with an average of 0.4 goals per match. Their defense seems more solid with a 71% potential.

Kashima Antlers, on the other hand, show a balance between offense and defense with 29% potential for each. They average 0.8 goals scored and conceded per match.

Looking at the probabilities, there is no clear recommendation on the outcome of the match or the number of goals. However, based on this data, a low-scoring match can be expected. The bet ‘Under 3.5 goals in the match’ and ‘Under 4.5 goals in the match’ both have a 100% success probability. Furthermore, the probability of both teams not scoring is 100%.

Based on these figures, my prediction would be a match with under 3.5 goals and both teams failing to score. Nevertheless, football is unpredictable, and anything can happen on the field.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Sagan Tosu and Kashima Antlers seems to be heading towards a low-scoring game, based on the weak offensive performance of both teams and Sagan Tosu’s strong defensive record at home. The probabilities support this, with 100% for ‘Under 3.5 goals in the match’ and ‘Both teams to not score’.

On the other hand, it’s difficult to make a clear prediction on the winner of the match. However, considering Sagan Tosu’s draw rate at home and Kashima Antlers’ poor away form, one might be tempted to bet on ‘Sagan Tosu or Draw’.

Ultimately, it’s important to remember that sports betting always carries a risk and there’s no guarantee of winning. Despite the statistical data, football remains unpredictable. It’s the teams’ performances on the match day that determine the outcome. So, before placing your bets, make sure to consider all possible factors.