Tipps Sagan Tosu Kashiwa Reysol J1 League 30/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Sagan Tosu or draw.

1. Sagan Tosu has had a strong home record – winning and drawing in 40% of their last five matches. This trend suggests they are less likely to lose the upcoming match.

2. Kashiwa Reysol has had poor performances away from home, with no wins in their last five away matches. This trend increases the likelihood that Sagan Tosu will not lose this match.

3. In the last five matches, Sagan Tosu has scored more goals at home (6 goals) than Kashiwa Reysol away from home (4 goals). This ability to score at home could help determine the outcome of the match in favor of Sagan Tosu or a draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. Both teams have recently shown a low efficiency in attack, scoring only one goal on average per match.
2. In their respective last 5 matches, Sagan Tosu has conceded and Kashiwa Reysol has scored a number of goals that are compatible with a match ending in under 2.5 (less than 2.5 goals).
3. The success probabilities for the “both teams to score” option are very low (0%), implying that it is unlikely for both teams to score at least one goal each.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Kashiwa Reysol’s recent away performances have been poor, with zero wins in their last 5 trips and only 4 goals scored in total. This difficulty in scoring is likely to continue in their next match.
2. While Sagan Tosu has had a decent home performance, scoring 6 goals in their last 5 games, they have also conceded 8 goals in those matches. This indicates a fairly strong defense that could prevent Kashiwa Reysol from scoring.
3. Both teams have a relatively low offensive potential, each averaging 1 goal per game. Combined with their respective defenses, this increases the likelihood that one of them may fail to score in their next encounter.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Sagan Tosu 1-1 Kashiwa Reysol

1. Past statistics show a trend of a high number of draws for both teams, whether at home for Sagan Tosu (40%) or away for Kashiwa Reysol (40%). This suggests that another draw is a likely possibility.

2. Both teams have fairly similar average goals per match, with Sagan Tosu scoring an average of 1 goal per match at home, and Kashiwa Reysol also averaging 1 goal per match away. This could indicate a balanced match and strengthens the idea of a possible draw.

3. Finally, the defensive performances of both teams are comparable, with Sagan Tosu conceding an average of 1 goal per match at home and Kashiwa Reysol conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match away. This suggests that it is probable that each team will concede a goal in this match, leading to a potential score of 1-1.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Sagan Tosu is strong at home with 40% of victories in their last 5 matches. On the other hand, Kashiwa Reysol is struggling away with 0% of wins in their last 5 matches.

In terms of offense and defense, Sagan Tosu and Kashiwa Reysol are evenly matched. They both score and concede an average of 1 goal per match.

Tosu recently won 3-0 against Kyoto Sanga and 2-1 against Kochi United. Reysol, on the other hand, suffered notable defeats against Gamba Osaka and Nagoya Grampus.

There is a 100% chance that less than 3.5 goals will be scored in the match and that both teams will not score.

Based on this data, a safe bet could be less than 3.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Sagan Tosu has had a mediocre performance at home, winning only 40% of their last 5 matches and scoring an average of 1 goal per game. They have conceded 8 goals, indicating a not particularly strong defense, with a defensive potential of 36%.

On the other hand, Kashiwa Reysol has failed to win any of their last 5 away matches. Their offensive team isn’t very fruitful, scoring on average only 1 goal per match. They have conceded more goals than Sagan Tosu, with an average of 1.2 goals per match, placing their defensive potential at 43%.

Based on their recent performances, there is a high chance that this match will not end in a victory for Kashiwa Reysol. However, with both teams having offensive potentials of 36%, a high-scoring match should not be expected.

In fact, the probability of fewer than 3.5 or fewer than 4.5 goals being scored in this match is 100%. It is also very likely that both teams will not score, with a probability of 100%. Therefore, it may be wise to place a bet on a match based on this data.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on past performances, recent statistics, and playing trends of Sagan Tosu and Kashiwa Reysol, there are several solid predictions that can guide us for this bet. Team Sagan Tosu is predicted to have an advantage, being less likely to lose this match at home than Kashiwa Reysol is away. The total number of goals is likely to be low, with less than 2.5 goals being the most probable prediction. Furthermore, there is a strong chance that both teams will not score. Lastly, considering the defensive performances of both teams and their low efficiency in attack, the most sensible bet might be to wager on fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. These predictions are, of course, not guaranteed – results can always vary based on many unquantifiable factors, such as current form, injuries, and other unforeseen events in the world of sports. However, when looking at data-based probabilities, these bets seem to be the safest and most intriguing choice.