Tipps Sagan Tosu Nagoya Grampus J1 League 18/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Nagoya Grampus wins the match.

1. Nagoya Grampus has significantly outperformed away from home in their last 5 matches, winning 80% of the time, compared to Sagan Tosu’s 40% home win rate.

2. Based on recent matches, Nagoya Grampus has shown better scoring ability on the road (9 goals in the last 5 matches) than Sagan Tosu at home (8 goals in the last 5 matches).

3. Sagan Tosu’s recent home losses (Sagan Tosu 0 – 2 Tokyo Verdy, Sagan Tosu 0 – 2 Cerezo Osaka) further support the prediction in favor of Nagoya Grampus.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The scoring history: Both teams have a relatively low goal average in their last 5 matches, with Sagan Tosu averaging 1.2 goals per match and Nagoya Grampus with an average of 1.2 goals. Moreover, recent results generally show a total of goals under 2.5.

2. Defensive performance: Both teams have shown defensive strength in their last 5 matches, with Sagan Tosu having a defensive potential of 36% and Nagoya Grampus of 57%. This indicates that the likelihood of seeing a high number of goals is relatively low.

3. Balance between the two teams: Both teams are fairly balanced in terms of performances, with Sagan Tosu winning 40% of their home matches and Nagoya Grampus winning 80% of their away matches. This could signal a close match with fewer goals scored.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Based on recent statistics, Sagan Tosu has shown a strong tendency to not score goals in their home matches. In their last five games, they have been kept scoreless twice, indicating a significant likelihood of not scoring.

2. On the other hand, Nagoya Grampus, despite a recent winning record away from home, has conceded at least one goal in all of their away matches. This indicates some defensive vulnerability that could result in an inability to keep a clean sheet.

3. Finally, considering the average number of goals scored and conceded by these two teams (1.2 per match), it is likely that the total number of goals in this match will be low. This reinforces the probability that one or both teams may fail to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Sagan Tosu 1-2 Nagoya Grampus

1. Nagoya Grampus has shown a high level of performance away from home, with a win rate of 80% in their last 5 matches. Their scoring ability is also strong, averaging 1.2 goals per match, which supports the prediction in their favor.

2. Looking at Sagan Tosu’s home performances, they have averaged 1.2 goals per match, suggesting they have the capability to score against Nagoya Grampus but may not necessarily secure a win given their 40% home win rate.

3. While it is important to note that Nagoya Grampus has a stronger defensive potential compared to Sagan Tosu, it is also crucial to highlight that both teams have conceded an average of one goal per match in their last five games, which could mean both teams have a chance to score, supporting the prediction of a 1-2 scoreline in favor of Nagoya Grampus.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Sagan Tosu shows a balanced record at home, with 40% of wins and 40% of draws. They score an average of 1.2 goals at home.
Nagoya Grampus is strong away from home, winning 80% of their matches, despite a weak defense conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game.
Sagan Tosu’s defensive resilience could counter Nagoya’s offense, as they concede on average only 1 goal at home.
However, Nagoya Grampus has proven their ability to win away from home and could prevail against Sagan Tosu, despite the lack of specific probability.
Ultimately, given the defensive performances of these two teams, a match with under 3.5 goals is the most likely outcome, with a 100% success rate in this context.

The potential number of goals

Sagan Tosu, in their last 5 home matches, have balanced the scales with 8 goals scored and 8 conceded. Their performances vary: win rate at 40%, draw rate at 40%.

Meanwhile, Nagoya Grampus has shone in recent away matches, securing 80% of wins. However, the attack has produced 9 goals while the defense has allowed 10 goals.

Analyzing the averages, Sagan Tosu and Nagoya Grampus show a similar offensive performance at 1.2 goals per match. But Sagan Tosu defends better at home, conceding only 1 goal compared to Nagoya Grampus’s 1.6 goals conceded away.

These data suggest a closely contested match. However, with Sagan Tosu’s stronger defensive likelihood, a total of less than 4.5 goals seem probable, given a 100% probability. Nevertheless, given Nagoya’s fragile defensive balance, it is also possible that both teams fail to score.

No prediction is certain for the final score of this match due to the missing probabilities.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the recent performances of both teams, our prediction for this J1 League match between Sagan Tosu and Nagoya Grampus is as follows: Nagoya Grampus has a strong likelihood of emerging victorious from this match, with a possible scoreline of 1-2. In terms of the total number of goals, we anticipate fewer than 2.5 goals to be scored in this match. Considering the offensive and defensive potential of each team, it is also likely that both teams may fail to score.

Furthermore, a bet offering good value could be to wager on a total of under 3.5 goals in this match. Given the defensive performances of both teams and their tendency to be involved in low-scoring games, this bet appears to offer good value.

Ultimately, while sports betting always carries a certain level of risk, the analysis of recent performances and statistics of both teams suggests that these predictions are well-founded. However, each bettor is encouraged to carefully assess the risks before placing a bet.