Tipps Sagan Tosu Shonan Bellmare J1 League 31/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Shonan Bellmare wins the match

1. Recent Performances: In their last 5 away matches, Shonan Bellmare has a more convincing overall performance with a 60% win rate compared to only 20% for Sagan Tosu at home.

2. Offensive and Defensive Statistics: Shonan Bellmare has a higher average goals scored per match (1) compared to Sagan Tosu (0.8). Furthermore, Shonan Bellmare has a stronger defensive potential (50%) than Sagan Tosu (93%). This indicates better stability in Shonan Bellmare’s gameplay.

3. Success Probabilities: According to the data, Shonan Bellmare has a success probability of 44.62% to win the match, which is significantly higher than Sagan Tosu’s 26.67%. This suggests that Shonan Bellmare has statistically higher chances of winning the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. The low offensive performance of Sagan Tosu, especially at home, where they only average 0.8 goals per match.
2. Shonan Bellmare, although more offensive away from home with an average of 1 goal per match, still falls within a range that suggests a low-scoring game.
3. Historical data generally shows a low number of goals in matches between these two teams, with a maximum of 3 goals in recent games.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent statistics show that Sagan Tosu tends to score and concede goals at home, indicating that they are both offensively and defensively vulnerable. Additionally, Shonan Bellmare appears to have a similar trend when playing away, suggesting that there is a good chance for both teams to score in the match.

2. The specific statistics for “Both Teams to Score” in this match are 62.56%, which is a relatively high rate. This indicates that it is more likely than not that both teams will find the net during the match.

3. By examining the recent matches of each team, it can be seen that there have been several occasions where both teams scored. For Sagan Tosu, both teams scored in 20% of their recent home matches. For Shonan Bellmare, both teams scored in 60% of their recent away matches. These past results provide a solid precedent to support the prediction.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Shonan Bellmare wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Sagan Tosu 1-2 Shonan Bellmare

1. Over the last 5 matches, Shonan Bellmare has shown better performance than Sagan Tosu, with a win rate of 60% and a draw rate of 20%, indicating a high likelihood of winning the match.
2. Away in their last 5 matches, Shonan Bellmare have demonstrated better offensive and defensive performance compared to Sagan Tosu at home, with an offensive potential of 36% and defensive potential of 50% as opposed to Sagan Tosu’s 29% offensive and 93% defensive capabilities.
3. The win probabilities also suggest that Shonan Bellmare are more likely to win with a success rate of 44.62% compared to 26.67% for Sagan Tosu. Additionally, the likelihood of both teams scoring is quite high at 62.56%, further supporting the predicted score of 1-2 in favor of Shonan Bellmare.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Sagan Tosu seems to struggle at home, with only one win and three draws in their last five matches. They have scored only five goals and conceded six.

Shonan Bellmare, on the other hand, has shown better performance away from home, with three wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five away trips. They have scored eight goals and conceded nine.

In terms of offensive and defensive potential, Sagan Tosu has an average of just 0.8 goals scored per match and concedes an average of 2.6 goals. Shonan Bellmare, on the other hand, scores an average of one goal per match and concedes 1.4 goals.

The probabilities favor Shonan Bellmare with a 44.62% chance of winning. A draw is also possible with a probability of 28.72%. The probability of a Sagan Tosu win is 26.67%.

As for goals, “over 1.5 goals” is likely with an 80% chance. Both teams seem capable of scoring, giving “both teams to score” a probability of 62.56%.

Overall, the match seems to lean towards Shonan Bellmare, with potential for goals from both sides. However, caution is advised as Sagan Tosu could potentially cause an upset at home.

The potential number of goals

Sagan Tosu, at home, seems to struggle to win, with just a 20% win rate in 5 matches. Their offensive performance is weak, scoring only 5 goals during this period. They have conceded more goals than they have scored, with 6 goals against.

Shonan Bellmare, away, shows a better performance with a 60% win rate in 5 matches. They have scored 8 goals but have also conceded 9 goals, indicating a slightly leaky defense.

Sagan Tosu has a 26.67% win probability, while Shonan Bellmare has a 44.62% win probability. Sagan Tosu’s offensive potential is at 29%, while Shonan Bellmare is at 36%. Sagan Tosu’s defensive potential is at 93%, Shonan Bellmare is at 50%.

Based on the probabilities, there’s an 80% chance of over 1.5 goals in the match, and a 57.44% chance of over 2.5 goals. There’s a 62.56% probability that both teams will score.

Taking these statistics into account, Shonan Bellmare seems to be the favorite. However, football is unpredictable, and anything can happen on the pitch.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on recent performances and advanced statistics, Shonan Bellmare appears to have a clear advantage over Sagan Tosu. They show better form away from home, a higher average of goals scored, and a more solid defense. It is strongly recommended to bet on a Shonan Bellmare victory. For the over/under 2.5, a match with a moderate score is expected, making Under 2.5 a potential bet. Both teams are likely to score, hence the bet “both teams to score: yes” could also be interesting.

However, it is important to note that despite statistics and probabilities, football is unpredictable and nothing is guaranteed. Therefore, it is crucial to bet responsibly and not rely entirely on predictions to place bets.