Tipps Sagan Tosu Tokyo Verdy J1 League 03/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Sagan Tosu or draw.

1. The home offensive potential of Sagan Tosu is significantly higher than the away offensive potential of Tokyo Verdy (50% vs. 29%). Sagan Tosu thus demonstrates a greater ability to score goals in their home matches.

2. Sagan Tosu has a fairly high home win or draw rate (80%: 4 wins or draws out of 5), revealing strong resilience at home, contrasting with Tokyo Verdy’s less convincing away win or draw ratio (60%: 3 wins or draws out of 5).

3. The recent performances of both teams indicate better form for Sagan Tosu at home, with 2 wins in their last 5 matches (compared to just 1 for Tokyo Verdy away). Despite losing more matches than they have won, Sagan Tosu has managed to score in most of their matches, showing an offensive strength that could counter Tokyo Verdy’s defense.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5

1. The recent offensive and defensive performances of both teams have been weak: Sagan Tosu scores an average of 1.4 goals per match and concedes 1.6 goals, while Tokyo Verdy scores an average of 0.8 goals and concedes 0.6 goals away from home. These averages suggest that both teams struggle to score more than 2.5 goals per match.

2. The recent match statistics of both teams show a relatively low number of goals: Sagan Tosu has scored 9 goals in 5 home matches, while Tokyo Verdy has scored only 4 goals in 5 away matches. Therefore, the match is likely to end with a relatively low score, supporting an “Under 2.5” prediction.

3. The last matches played by both teams have rarely produced a high number of goals. In fact, most matches of both teams have ended with less than 2.5 goals, indicating that these teams prioritize a defensive approach and that a high number of goals is unlikely.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The away performances of Tokyo Verdy are weak with an average of 0.8 goals per match, reducing the likelihood of them being able to score against Sagan Tosu.
2. Sagan Tosu has also shown relatively solid defensive performances at home, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match. Additionally, they have failed to score in 20% of their recent home matches.
3. The overall match statistics suggest there should be a low number of goals, with a 100% probability for under 3.5 goals and under 4.5 goals in the match. This means it is very likely that one or both teams will not score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Sagan Tosu wins the match.

Bet on the exact result

Sagan Tosu 1-1 Tokyo Verdy

1. Looking at the last five matches of Sagan Tosu at home and Tokyo Verdy away, both teams have a fairly significant tendency to draw – 40% for Sagan Tosu and 20% for Tokyo Verdy. This indicates that a draw could be on the cards.

2. Furthermore, based on the number of goals scored and conceded in their last 5 matches, it can be said that both teams have been quite evenly matched in their previous encounters. On average, Sagan Tosu concedes 1.6 goals per match while Tokyo Verdy only scores 0.8. On the other hand, Sagan Tosu scores 1.4 goals per match and Tokyo Verdy concedes exactly the same number, which could likely lead to a 1-1 result.

3. Finally, statistics show that both teams are not in exceptional form, with only a 40% win rate in the last 5 matches for each. A draw seems entirely possible given their recent performances.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Sagan Tosu has an average home performance with 40% victories and 40% draws. They score an average of 1.4 goals per match. Their defense is slightly weak, conceding 1.6 goals per match.

Tokyo Verdy has 40% away victories and 20% draws. Their attack is weaker, scoring only 0.8 goals per match. However, they defend well, conceding only 0.6 goals per match.

Interesting goal statistics emerge. There is a 100% chance that there will not be more than 3.5 goals in the match, as well as more than 4.5 goals.

Both teams are unlikely to score according to the stats, with a 100% chance.

In conclusion, Tokyo Verdy’s defense will face an average attack from Sagan Tosu. The match could be very tight, with few goals scored.

The potential number of goals

Sagan Tosu has an average of 1.4 goals scored at home, with a slightly weaker defensive performance, conceding 1.6 goals. In the last 5 games, they have scored 9 goals but also conceded 11 goals. They have won or drawn in 80% of the cases.

On the Tokyo Verdy side, they have a slight offensive output with an average of 0.8 goals scored away. Their defense seems stronger, only conceding 0.6 goals per match. They have scored 4 goals and conceded 6 goals in the last 5 games. They win or draw in 60% of the cases.

The probability of both teams scoring is 0%. However, the estimated probability of a match with less than 3.5 goals is 100%. Therefore, it is highly likely that this match will not be very offensive.

In conclusion, a low-scoring match could be predicted between Sagan Tosu and Tokyo Verdy. Tokyo Verdy’s defense may resist Sagan Tosu’s attack, and their low offensive potential could lead to a match with a total of less than 3.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Sagan Tosu and Tokyo Verdy is expected to be tight with a high likelihood of ending in a low score. Sagan Tosu’s modest home offensive strength appears to be superior to Tokyo Verdy’s weak away attack. On the other hand, Tokyo Verdy’s strong away defense is likely to resist the onslaught from the opposing team. However, Sagan Tosu’s relatively better performance at home seems to give them a slight edge. Bettors could therefore benefit from betting on a win or draw for Sagan Tosu and a total goals scored under 2.5. Additionally, betting “no” on the question “Will both teams score?” also seems appealing. Ultimately, the most probable exact score appears to be 1-1, considering the low offensive potential of each team and their tendency to draw matches.